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Tuesday 27/06/2023 Elemental: 68.408 (up 5% from yesterday, up 22.7% week to week) Roundup2: 54.725 Spiderverse: 27.318 Another amazing day up 5% from yesterday and up 22.7% week to week. Tomorrow is cultures day, I am expecting a big jump for Elemental tomorrow, definity over 100k, maybe 120k? Will update this when CGV for tomorrow is known. PS are also very good, they are back up to 93.3k vs 60.8k last week tuesday. These ps are inflate by cultures day so tomorrow's evening ps will give us a beter picture. Looking very good for another increase this weekend. Spidey had a good hold, it increased 3.4% over yesterday. Hoping to see a nice increase tomorrow but that might be hard cause it will lose a lot of screens. Indiana Jones had a good last day of ps up rougly 30k from yesterday but again it opened on cultures day, walkups will be important if this want to have a decent run.

As a general rule PS on tuesday seem to be higher than on monday. Well it's probably more correct to say that the % that PS contribute to tuesday is higher than the amount on monday.

Monday 26/06/2023 Elemental: 65.100 +24.2% from last week Roundup2: 64.713 Spiderverse: 26.414 Amazing day for Elemental, it's up 24.2% from last monday, more importantly it's up 7% from last weeks highest daily (wed). This is very good. Specialy because last weekend it's friday and saturday jumps came back down to earth so it should be able to match them this weekend. Meaning that the thursday to thurday drop should give us the weekend drop as well. Elemental is becoming less PS reliant during it's days, also good. Other good news is PS are up to 64.6k (thats 18k higher than last monday) Mostly because this wednesday is cultures day so it will get a big admission boost on wednesday, should easly go over 100k on wednesday. PS for new openers are very low specialy because they both open on cultures day so ps are even more OD heavy. With this monday it has a chance to stay flat this weekend, I am already quite confident in a drop lower than 10%. So 3rd weekend over OW seems almost a lock. Spidey didn't have a great monday hold, down 35% from last Thursday, so we are probably looking at a drop over 60% this weekend PS for indiana aren't good at all (66.3k so far), hopefully it has a nice surge in ps tomorrow and walkup heavy but it aint looking pretty.

A great 3.1% drop for Elemental, I had hoped for an increase though. # Título Thu-Sun Accumulated 1 Elementos 189.581 647.502 2 Flash 87.065 399.676 3 Transformers: el despertar de las Bestias 70.602 584.736 4 Spider Man: A traves del Spider Verso 53.484 712.941 5 La Sirenita 41.328 1.222.159 6 Rapidos y furiosos X 29.767 2.241.058 7 Boogeyman: tu miedo es real 10.644 102.736 8 Blondi 6.532 42.389 9 Super Mario Bros. La pelicula 3.995 2.828.495 10 Guardianes de la Galaxia Volumen 3 3.209 1.388.967

I have seen this site but from what I found it doesn't update regularly

How does the WoM seem? Does it have a shot at a 4x multi?

Elemental vs TGD: TGD didn't get released in china so that just extra. SK: after it's second weekend it has already outgrossed TGD by $1.4m Mexico: bad start for Elemental, was hopping for 100lc, should still match TGD total of $13.2m, should be able to 3x OW for atleast $13.8m. Argentina: Opened to $1m last weekend, $1.1m less than TGD, this week it added another $2m, closing the gap to $500k with TGD. France: opened 500k lower than TGD, TGD had very good legs in France so it might be hard to match but shoudn't be far off. Australia: it's bad, it's very bad, opened to $1.1m last weekend, atleast it held well but had to see it gross more than $6m, way below $10m of TGD. Italy: it opened 200k below TGD should be able to match the $6.45m in the end. Germany: It opened 500k higher than TGD, with cooler tempratures next week it should help boxoffice out and $10m seems doable vs $5.5m TGD. Brazil: Well this is just very very bad, only opening to $1.5m, TGD made $11.9m in Brazil, it should make half of that but anything over 4x multi is just guess work / hoping.

I like to compare Elemental with the good dinosaur, so far it has opened quite close to it in most markets. Because of Wom it should have better legs, so even opening a little below it should match or exeed it in the end. Obvisously there will be markets that it won't match TGD but in quite a few it might do better as well. TGD made $208m OS no china (I think) so if Elemental 'just' matches it that would mean (208m + 15m (china) $223m OS and $120m DOM => $343m WW. This said I think it might do a bit better than just go like to like with TGD so yeah

Amazing sunday for Elemental, it didn't dropped but increased over yesterday! Made 210.6k on Sunday up 2.2% from Saturday up 17.5% week to week. Meaning the 3-day FSS it up 18.1% over last week and it's looking at a great run. This wednesday it's culture day so that should give a very nice admission boost to Elemental. After a meh saturday an amazing sunday! Spidey had an ok sunday with 88.65k, dropped a bit over 12% from saturday, good for an OW of 354.1k, will be hard to beat the first movie.

Elemental made 206k today up 151.4% from friday, up 15.9% from last saturday. Actuals will probably a bit higher (maybe 500-600 extra admission). I am not expecting it to increase to morrow, hopefully it's manages to have a great drop (5% or so) finishing the over 10% up from last weekend. PS are still very healthy and the new movies opening don't have amazing ps's so far, next week should be another good hold. Spidey had another bad day comming in at 102.3k admission up only 105% from yesterday. Hopefully it will hold over 80k tomorrow or the total of the first movie might be in danger. Edit: actualy it's quite likely it won't reach that total, will only be at 340k by sunday no way it will double that

I am guessing 5.6m, 7.3m sat (+30%) and 6.2m sunday (-15%), that would give $19.1m. Sunday drop might be a tad bit higher though.

I think it's easly Elemental over TheFlash, currently thinkg Elemental should be able to over take both Lightyear and the TGD domesticly. Let's say Elemental has a 2nd weekend of $19m, that would be good for a total of $66m after it's 2nd weekend, vs TGD $75.8m comming of a $15.3m weekend. Elemental has summer weekdays and a second weekend that is $3.5m higher, it should be easily doable to close that $10m gap. So I guess a DOM total over $120m is quite likely if the weekend comes in at $19m. Higher than that will depend on how it holds its screens.

Well Elemental sadly didn't have an amazing friday jump, came in at 81.8k up a bit more than 40% over thursday. Up 25.8% over last week, still amazing ofcourse. Hopefully sat jump will be able to match the jump of last week, anything over 20% would be a truely amazing increase over last week. Sadly we won't see a 30% jump week over week ^^ Spidey had a bad friday increase, only making 49.8k, up 22.2% over yesterday. It won't do much mover than the first movie, whilst the first one opened a lot lower.

Yesterday it started at 9980, today is over 15000 (could be 15050, could be 15650) so it's starts atleast 50% higher than yesterday, but could easly be 55%. Hoping it can match last weeks jump, and with these PS it has a shot at 90k day tomorrow.

The first weekday that it didn't increase, it ended today with 58.1k down 4.5% from yesterday. Week to week it's up 38.5% over last thursday. Meaning this weekend 100% should see an increase, don't think we will see an 30%+ increase but it's hard to see it not increasing over 10%, 20% should be very doable as well. PS are up to 99.5k, thats 25.7k up from yesterday. PS are also rougly 10% going in to friday compared to lastweek. Spidey came 4th today with 40.8k, worse than TheFlash although PS for the weekend don't look to bad. It had almost the same walk up's as yesterday meaning % wise it was a lot better. CGV ratio's are doing weird again, yesterday Elemental ended with 24k and got over 60k, today it ended with 26k and it's down.

Today pretty much confirms that Elemental is breaking out in SK. Elemental increased once again, it made 60.800 admission up close to 9% from yesterday. It's about 15% higher than OD + previews. And this whilst 2 new movies opened. Should be aming for a run over 3m admission, might do 4m. EDIT: PS are up to 73.8k up 13k from yesterday. Sadly Spidey didn't do well, started with 24k CGV and only managed to get to 35k by the end of the day. Only opening to 70.8k admission (72k with previews). WoM doesn't seem to be amazing so no break out. CGV ratio for Elemental is abnormaly high, specialy compared to yesterday.

Walk up's for Spidey have been very bad so far, it will probably open under 80k and it starts with an egg score of 96% and that's not bad, but also not amazing either. Edit: egg score down to 94% same as the Flash

That's a great start 50% of PS seemed to be for OD, behaving more like a CBM. That said if walkups are half decent it's looking at an OD over 100k and might make / come close to the lifetime total of the first movie in it's OW! The other new movie stats with 15k CGV should be able to get close to 80k would be my guess. Elemental starts with a CGV of 9k that's basicly down 10% from yesterday, expecting it to drop to 47-49k tomorrow. A drop around 10-12% would be great accounting for the loss in showings.

Another great day! Elemantal got 55.700 admission today that's up 6.3% from yesterday! Over 10% higher than OD. Tomorrow new movies open so it will most likely drop. Ps are at 60.8k up 14k from yesterday. Should easly get over 120k by saturday. Might be a nice little run here!

Wow, Elemental is showing all the signs of mini breakout here in SK, sunday a tad bit higher than saturday. It's first monday is 52.370, higher than it's OD and PS are back up to 46.7k from 20k yesterday, might have a flat weekend, maybe an increase depending on the competition.

Somehow I read OW as OD and thought to myself "damm that would be prety damm impresive" But OW makes much more sense ^^

Just went through 2 reddit threads, like 100 + comment, how is it even possible to have that many post an like 1 or 2 boxoffice analysis comments

Damm what a jump today, 149k up over 70%!! from thursday, also a crazy CGV ratio today

I do think people sometimes miss interpret making an educated ‘bold’ estimate on where something is going to land as optimistic or enthusiastic. I see it more as people (in this case Jat and Legion) seeing a pattern that in their head would lead to these outcomes. Instead of doing what a lot of people do and look from day to day / week to week, they are sticking out their neck by actually saying what they think they are seeing (obviously not always correct), and this doesn’t mean they won’t adjust with new information. But that’s the whole fun of predicting no? Based on the info you have making a educated guess on the outcome, and this way you get a feel with the boxoffice. Of course being very cautioned and looking day by day is fine and that can be very useful, you won’t get carried away. But damm does it feel good to instead of adjusting week by week to just see (and let’s be real sometimes ‘feel’) the big picture and predict on those factors.

Nvm I am dumb! Sorry for the confusion!