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Everything posted by Eric Deetz
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I mean you can't really change a release date this late in the game. They made their bed. They're gonna have to sleep in it. And honestly, while I'm sure the second weekend drop will be bad, I think it and Deadpool will co-exist. Important to remember this is the only big PG-13 tentpole for the rest of the summer. That goes a long way, as Planet of the Apes has shown.
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
Eric Deetz replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
https://deadline.com/2024/06/bad-boys-ride-or-die-will-smith-the-watchers-box-office-1235960054/ -
The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
Eric Deetz replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Quorum Updates The Bikeriders T-16: 20.04% Awareness, 34.52% Interest A Quiet Place: Day One T-23: 40.73% Awareness, 51.05% Interest Despicable Me 4 T-28: 63.21% Awareness, 58% Interest Smile 2 T-135: 22.56% Awareness, 42.9% Interest Red One T-163: 21.14% Awareness, 39.97% Interest Bad Boys for Life T-2: 66.59% Awareness, 57.65% Interest Final Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 88% chance of 30M, 85% chance of 40M, 73% chance of 50M, 58% chance of 60M, 46% chance of 70M Medium Awareness: 100% chance of 70M Final Interest: 79% chance of 20M, 60% chance of 30M, 45% chance of 40M, 31% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M, 16% chance of 70M Medium Interest: 75% chance of 20M, 58% chance of 30M, 25% chance of 40M, 8% chance of 50M The Watchers T-2: 30.97% Awareness, 45.89% Interest Final Awareness: 41% chance of 10M Horror Awareness: 47% chance of 10M Final Interest: 49% chance of 10M Horror Interest: 45% chance of 10M MaXXXine T-30: 18.43% Awareness, 34.74% Interest T-30 Awareness: 15% chance of 10M Horror Awareness: 11% chance of 10M T-30 Interest: 32% chance of 10M, 6% chance of 20M Horror Interest: 33% chance of 10M Harold and the Purple Crayon T-58: 15.26% Awareness, 31.59% Interest T-60 Awareness: 29% chance of 10M Animation/Family Awareness: 33% chance of 10M T-60 Interest: 33% chance of 10M Animation/Family Interest: 40% chance of 10M Trap T-65: 23.67% Awareness, 46.5% Interest T-60 Awareness: 60% chance of 10M, 31% chance of 20M Horror Awareness: 57% chance of 10M, 29% chance of 20M T-60 Interest: 62% chance of 10M, 34% chance of 20M Horror Interest: 68% chance of 10M, 32% chance of 20M -
This is cool!
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@Blankments @WrathOfHan I know it's a little late in the weekend thread, but better late than never. 17x: Inside Out 2: Wonka, The Boy and the Heron, Wonka Round 2, The Color Purple, Soul, Wish, Migration, Turning Red, Kung Fu Panda 4, Luca, Shrek 2, We Grown Now, Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes, Wildcat, IF, The Garfield Movie, Young Woman and the Sea 13x: Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes: Napoleon, Godzilla Minus One, The Iron Claw, Ferrari, Poor Things, Anyone But You, The Boys in the Boat, Dune, Dune: Part Two, All of Us Strangers, The First Omen, Civil War, Alien 11x: Dune: Part Two: Fast X, Oppenheimer, Oppenheimer Round 2, Haunted Mansion, Blue Beetle, The Nun 2, The Iron Claw, Mean Girls, Anyone But You, Lisa Frankenstein, 2024 Oscar-Nominated Short Films: Animation Furiosa: Ferrari, Drive-Away Dolls, Dune: Part Two, Dune: Part Two Round 2, Love Lies Bleeding, Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire, Monkey Man, Civil War, The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare, Alien, Challengers 10x: The First Omen: Poor Things, The Book of Clarence, American Fiction, Lisa Frankenstein, Argylle, Drive-Away Dolls, All of Us Strangers, Dune Part Two Round 2, Love Lies Bleeding, Immaculate Challengers: No Hard Feelings, Joy Ride, Barbie, Mean Girls, American Fiction, Anyone But You, The Boys in the Boat, The Beekeeper, The First Omen, Wicked Little Letters 9x: Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire: Wonka Round 2, The Color Purple, Poor Things, The Book of Clarence, American Fiction, The Boys in the Boat, The Beekeeper, Dune: Part Two, Kung Fu Panda 4 8x: The Fall Guy: The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes, The Iron Claw, Anyone But You, Dune, Argylle, Dune: Part Two, Monkey Man, The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare The Garfield Movie: Soul, Wish, Migration, Turning Red, Kung Fu Panda 4, Luca, Shrek 2, We Grown Now 7x: Arthur the King: The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes, Napoleon, The Iron Claw, The Boy and the Heron, Wonka Round 2, All of Us Strangers, Kung Fu Panda 4 Ghostbusters: Frozen Empire: Napoleon, The Book of Clarence, Anyone But You, The Boys in the Boat, Dune, Dune: Part Two, All of Us Strangers Abigail: The Book of Clarence, The Beekeeper, The Zone of Interest, Lisa Frankenstein, Immaculate, The First Omen, Monkey Man Despicable Me 4: Turning Red, Kung Fu Panda 4, Luca, Shrek 2, The Fall Guy, IF, The Garfield Movie Alien: Romulus: Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire, The First Omen, Late Night with the Devil, Alien, Abigail, Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes, Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga Beetlejuice Beetlejuice: Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire, We Grown Now, Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes, Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga, IF, The Garfield Movie, Young Woman and the Sea 6x: Civil War: The Iron Claw, Ferrari, The Zone of Interest, Love Lies Bleeding, Ex Machina, Wicked Little Letters The Bikeriders: The Creator, Ferrari, The Beekeeper, Dune: Part Two Round 2, Abigail, The Fall Guy Twisters: Dune: Part Two Round 2, Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire, Civil War, Challengers, The Fall Guy, Ezra The Wild Robot: Kung Fu Panda 4, Luca, Shrek 2, We Grown Now, Mars Express, Young Woman and the Sea Elio: Frozen, Beauty and the Beast, The Incredibles, Coco, The Lion King, Moana 5x: Problemista: Past Lives, Talk to Me, The Zone of Interest, Robot Dreams, Perfect Days Kung Fu Panda 4: The Boy and the Heron, Wonka Round 2, Soul, Migration, Dune: Part Two Round 2 IF: Mean Girls, Dune: Part Two, Kung Fu Panda 4, Dune: Part Two Round 2, Godzilla X Kong: The New Empire 4x: Luca: The Boy and the Heron, Wonka Round 2, Wish, Migration The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare: Argylle, Drive-Away Dolls, Dune: Part Two, Dune: Part Two Round 2 The Strangers - Chapter 1: The First Omen, The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare, Challengers, Abigail The Watchers: Dune: Part Two Round 2, The First Omen, Abigail, The Fall Guy Deadpool & Wolverine: Monkey Man, The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare, Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes, The Fall Guy White Bird: Thor: Love and Thunder, Are You There God? It's Me Margaret, The Little Mermaid, IF 3x: Boy Kills World: The First Omen, Monkey Man, The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare Back to Black: Lisa Frankenstein, Drive-Away Dolls, Challengers Daddio: Love Lies Bleeding, Immaculate, We Grown Now Longlegs: Dune: Part Two Round 2, Immaculate, Abigail 2x: 1x:
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Blink Twice | MGM | August 23, 2024
Eric Deetz replied to movies!movies!'s topic in Box Office Discussion
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
Eric Deetz replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
Quorum Updates Horizon: An American Saga Chapter 1 T-25: 21.61% Awareness, 36.11% Interest Longlegs T-39: 13.85% Awareness, 41.97% Interest Blink Twice T-81: 11.29% Awareness, 35.6% Interest Wolfs T-109: 16.37% Awareness, 40.41% Interest Gladiator 2 T-172: 28.87% Awareness, 46.14% Interest Captain America: Brave New World T-256: 48.64% Awareness, 56.13% Interest Bad Boys for Life T-4: 66.75% Awareness, 59.21% Interest Final Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 88% chance of 30M, 85% chance of 40M, 73% chance of 50M, 58% chance of 60M, 46% chance of 70M Medium Awareness: 100% chance of 70M Final Interest: 79% chance of 20M, 60% chance of 30M, 45% chance of 40M, 31% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M, 16% chance of 70M Medium Interest: 75% chance of 20M, 58% chance of 30M, 25% chance of 40M, 8% chance of 50M The Watchers T-4: 29.63% Awareness, 45.72% Interest Final Awareness: 16% chance of 10M Horror Awareness: 33% chance of 10M Final Interest: 49% chance of 10M Horror Interest: 45% chance of 10M Inside Out 2 T-11: 59.3% Awareness, 52.83% Interest Final Awareness: 92% chance of 20M, 73% chance of 30M, 35% chance of 40M, 23% chance of 50M, 15% chance of 60M, 11% chance of 90M, 8% chance of 100M Animation/Family Awareness: 100% chance of 20M, 50% chance of 30M Final Interest: 79% chance of 20M, 60% chance of 30M, 45% chance of 40M, 31% chance of 50M, 23% chance of 60M, 16% chance of 70M, 14% chance of 80M, 11% chance of 90M, 8% chance of 100M Animation/Family Interest: 100% chance of 20M, 86% chance of 30M, 71% chance of 50M, 43% chance of 90M, 29% chance of 100M Fly Me to the Moon T-39: 26.7% Awareness, 39.48% Interest T-30 Awareness: 54% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M Medium Awareness: 75% chance of 10M, 17% chance of 20M T-30 Interest: 32% chance of 10M, 6% chance of 20M Medium Interest: 50% chance of 10M -
I was pretty high on Garfield too, but in hindsight, I'd argue it's the opposite. The last major Garfield thing to premiere is The Garfield Show on Cartoon Network, and that premiered in 2009, and last aired in 2016. That's a long time without any new major Garfield media to make kids familiar and aware of the character. The character is now owned by Nickelodeon, and I don't think they've made a new cartoon or done anything else with him since they bought the rights outside of a few cameos in some cheaply-made Nicktoon crossover games. At least before the Bay Turtles movies came out, there was a super popular Nickelodeon series airing on Saturday mornings. If anything, from what I can gather, Nick's marketing machine has been way more focused on advertising and hyping up IF over Garfield (understandable!) The other cartoons and specials and movies might be on streaming, but it's hard to keep a franchise super relevant with modern generations when there's not a lot of prominence in the current pop culture landscape or a shiny new thing kids can claim as their own. Plus in 2004, even though Garfield and Friends was similarly off the air (though IIRC it was still airing reruns on Nick or Cartoon Network until 2001 or something), you could still rely on the character being relevant because you could still read the newest comic strip in your local newspaper. That idea is so foreign to today's kids that I don't even know if newspapers still put comics in their paper anymore.
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The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread
Eric Deetz replied to Shawn Robbins's topic in Box Office Discussion
That was also four years ago and pre-COVID, when walkups were expected. Nowadays, walkups are only something you're lucky to get and movies are more presales-driven than ever. So yeah, 50M is still very much in doubt, and it's honestly easier to just expect the worst and just...pretend that opening in the 40s is good for this.