Ariadne

This thread is a train wreck, I feel sorry for the mods this weekend. Can we all try to tone it down guys and stay civil?

Just heard the tragic news - I hope there are no more deaths.

SOTM 9 This is a five part SOTM. By now you know the drill. You can go for one, several, all or none. 1) Will TDKR make more than 30 mill at midnight? Yes 2) Will TDKR make more than 74 mill OD? Yes 3) Will TDKR make more than 81 mill OD? Yes 4) Will TDKR make more than DH2 OW? Yes 5) Will TDKR make more than 190.5 mill OW? Abstain Each part you go for is worth 8000 if correct. Each part you go for and guess incorrectly will cost you 5000 points. If you choose to abstain from all five questions, you will receive 8000 points. If you choose to answer all five questions, you must be correct on all five questions. There is no bonus for getting all five correct as you get 40,000, which is the biggest SOTM amount ever given out. However if you get even one wrong, you will lose 20,000 points. The only way you can lose more is if you go for all five and answer all five incorrectly, that would cost you 25,000 points. You can go for any of the questions. Your answer is due WHEN I WAKE UP THURSDAY MORNING, JULY 19TH. THIS IS USUALLY AROUND 7AM EST. NO EXCEPTIONS.

Sweet drop for Magic Mike, it'll cruise past 100m. Can't wait till it opens here - my friends want to go opening day!

Relatively happy with my Ice Age 4 predict ($165m) - do you think it might crawl to $145m?

I can't believe TDKR isn't essentially opening day and date everywhere. Still, I think you should have waited till after the weekend to score the question.

Screw you Katy Perry!

It's fine if he wants to film some more footage to add to an extended edition, which I would of course buy, but splitting the 2nd film in two would be a very bad idea. I don't think it's going to happen.

All questions worth 1000 UOS. All questions pertain to the domestic box office UOS. And here we GO! 1) Will The Dark Knight break the opening day record? 5000 No 2) Will TDKR make at least 100.05 million OD? 3000 No 3) Will TDKR make less than 74.087 mill OD? 3000 No 4) Will TDKR make more than 12 mill OW in Australia? 2000 Yes 5) Will TDKR make more than 5 mill OW in Spain? 2000 Yes 6) Will TDKR make more than 25 mill OW in UK? 2000 Yes 7) Will TDKR have a Saturday drop of more than 30%? Yes 8) Will TDKR make more than 30 mill at midnight? Yes 9) Will TDKR make more than 15.95 mill at IMAX domestically? Yes 10) Will TDKR have a per theater average of more than $47,698? No 11) Will TDKR have a cinemascore of A+? No 12) Will TDKR make at least 60.05 mill on Sunday? No 13) Will TDKR make at least 57.5 mill on Sunday? No 14) Will TDKR drop less than 15% on Sunday? Yes 15) Will TDKR make at least 150 mill more than ASM, IA4 and Ted combined? No 16) Will TDKR make more than 185 mill OW? 2000 Yes 17) Will TDKR make more than 192 mill OW? 2000 Yes 18) Will TDKR make more than 208 mill OW? 2000 No 19) Will TDKR make less than 174.738 mill OW? 2000 No 20) Will TDKR have a world wide debut of more than 300 mill? Yes 21) Will TDKR have a world wide debut or more than 325 mill? No 22) Will TDKR have a world wide debut of less than 280 mill? No 23) Will the top 10 films combine to make more than 260 million? Yes 24) Will ASM drop less than 55.5%? Yes 25) Will ASM have a Friday increase of more than 50%? No 26) Will ASM have a Saturday increase of more than 25%? Yes 27) Will ASM's 6 day (including the BS Canadian Monday previews) be more than TDKR's first two days? No 28) Will Nikki's first Friday report come out before 1pm PST time (just go to deadline and see when she posts her tentpoles)? Yes 29) Will Nikki's first posting about TDKR contain the phrase "NOT A RECORD" anywhere in the post? No 30) Will Nikki's first "projection" about TDKR be higher than the number reported with official Friday estimates? 3000 The chances are hefty - Yes 31) On the first three days, will BKB post anywhere at anytime about how the film is not meeting expectations from a box office standpoint? Does a bear shit in the woods? 32) Will the Weekend Numbers thread (this starts with Thurs midnights and goes until Sunday estimates) reach 300 pages by 9AM on Monday July 23rd? (I'll keep track) Challenge accepted - Hell Yes 33) Will IA4 drop less than 50%? Yes 34) Will MM drop less than 45%? No 35) Will any film in the top 12, besides MM drop less than 45%? Yes 36) Will Moonrise Kingdom make more than MAD3? Yes 37) Will The Avengers drop less than 55%? Yes 38) Will Prom, MIB and SWATH all drop more than 58%? No 39) Will The Hunger Games fall less than 25%? Yes 40) Will The Intouchables fall less than 15%? Yes 35/40 5000 36/40 8000 37/40 10,000 38/40 12,000 39/40 15,000 40/40 25,000 Bonus 1: What will TDKR's weekend gross be? 5000 $189.45m Bonus 2: What will IA4's weekend gross be? 5000 $24.725m Bonus 3: What will ASM's weekend gross be? 5000 $18.135m Bonus 4: What will TDKR, Avengers and Tyler Perry's combined gross be? 5000 $196.82m Bonus 5: What finishes in spots: 6 Magic Mike 8 Madea 10 Madagascar 3 11 Katy Perry 13 The Avengers 2000 each and a bonus of 5000 if all correct Bonus 6: According to the International Report in the International section (first report will be the one we go by), Internationally, what finishes in spots: 3 The Amazing Spider-man 4 Brave 6 Snow White 2000 each one correct and a bonus of 3000 if all three correct.

TASM and TDKR on the same day. Seriously?

1. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey2. Star Trek 23. Breaking Dawn Part 24. Iron Man 35. The Dark Knight Rises6. Skyfall7. Les Miserables8. Django Unchained9. Elysium10. Man Of Steel

I recently watched Das Boot (1981), which is in German. Most of you have probably seen it - it's a great movie - the best submarine movie ever made. I found it cool that you could kind of understand a lot of what they were saying without the subtitles. Highly recommended.Another one was Let The Right One In (2008), which is in Swedish. It was good, but it wasn't as amazing as I'd heard.

North by Northwest (1959): 7/10 Stardust (2007): 7/10 Jumper (2008): 6/10 The King's Speech (2010): 8/10 Casino Royale (2006): 8/10 rewatch Fear and Loathing in Las Vegas (1998): 7/10 rewatch The Ides of March (2011): 6/10 Boy (2010): 7/10 Source Code (2011): 7/10 Contagion (2011): 6/10 Mean Girls (2004): 8/10 rewatch Crazy, Stupid, Love (2011): 7/10 The Help (2011): 7/10 Alien (1979): 10/10 rewatch The Cabin in the Woods (2012): 7/10 The Adjustment Bureau (2011): 6/10 Strangers on a Train (1951): 8/10 Shortbus (2006): 7/10 Sunshine (2007): 7/10 Immortals (2011): 7/10 Centurion (2010): 7/10 Shame (2011): 8/10 Haywire (2011): 6/10 Rebecca (1940): 8/10 Horrible Bosses (2011): 6/10 The Vow (2012): 7/10 This Means War (2012): 7/10 Atonement (2007): 8/10 King Arthur (2004): 6/10 Let The Right One In (2008): 7/10 Dinner For Schmucks (2010): 6/10 Lie With Me (2005): 6/10 Rear Window (1954): 7/10 Tranformers: Dark Of The Moon (2011): 6/10 The Dreamers (2003): 8/10 Prince of Persia (2010): 6/10 rewatch (not by choice) Hot Fuzz (2007): 7/10 rewatch Tristan + Isolde (2006): 6/10 Das Boot (1981): 8/10 POTC: On Stranger Tides (2011): 6/10 The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo (2011): 7/10 Midnight In Paris (2011): 7/10 The Eagle (2011): 6/10

Friday numbers - finally! I expect Ice Age 4 to do at least 45m from those numbers.

Good to know.

:sleep:So boring. Bring on Friday numbers.

No. The rule of thumb is 55% of domestic (it varies). International is more difficult to figure out but it's defintiely more than 10%. The only place where studies only get 10% is China.

Oh, I am not a Nolanite. I prefer Burton's take on Batman, I don't think TDK or Inception were that great. I'm completely neutral.

Oh my god. I'm completely indifferent to TASM, but with a budget of 230m plus whatever the marketing costs were, it will still easily make money in theatres.It's going to do over 700m WW, possibly more. It'll be at 500m WW at the end of this weekend.Such a tired argument.

God, someone give us Friday guestimates so we can stop this tired discussion.TASM will turn a profit in theatres. It will then make more through DVD sales, etc. It won't be a massive huge money maker, but it will do respectably well.If they reboot Batman in the next 5 years, In my opinion, they shouldn't do an origin story again - everyone knows Batman's origin - just start straight off with a new Batman.

You liar! Get all our hopes up...

Jerry! Jerry! Jerry!

Yay - I was hoping MIB3 would count.

That's awesome, good on him and everyone else who took part.

Great question!