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DAJK

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Everything posted by DAJK

  1. DAJK
    It’s doing WAY BETTER than BW in Canada.
  2. DAJK
    I wouldn’t go 90+ yet but I honestly wouldn’t be shocked if it matched Venom 1. one thing to note with Canada is that it is a national holiday today, so preview-to-Friday ratio will be skewed a bit (stronger previews than normal). I will take that into account with my comps, because otherwise I WOULD be saying 90+ is a real possibility.
  3. DAJK
    Currently at work so I’ll have a better analysis later but... holy crap at Venom. Walk-ups are real strong.
  4. DAJK
    ShangChi did ~2.4M in Canada for its Thurs+Fri (give or take a decimal point or two). Don’t have Thursday #s specifically, they are rolled into Friday. That should be the number for Venom to beat.
  5. DAJK
    If the cutoff for preview #s was RIGHT NOW (keep in mind I'm on the West Coast so it's only 9:30 AM here), Venom 2 already would be at 7.7M Thursday in my area as per my comps. Only going to go up from there. Will update in about 8 hours, and I'll see what I can gather from elsewhere in Canada, get a more clear picture of where this is headed.
  6. DAJK
    So... CJohn works for Sony. Got it.
  7. DAJK
    BIG jump for Venom in Canada the past 24 hours. Was squeaking past NTTD before, now it is VERY comfortably ahead. NTTD also saw some solid sales, but BAH GAWD Venom is looking very good. I’m not 100% sold on 70M yet, but I wouldn’t be surprised. I’d also be shocked if this opened below 60-65 at this point. As I mentioned before (maybe in another thread?) one issue in Canada is screen space; given limited capacity here, some markets are splitting Venom/NTTD screens. My theatre is one of those; we lost out on Venom, the other theatre is playing it, and we are getting NTTD. For that reason, I’m not going to be able to use my local comps for presales until the night of release, when I can compare final sales at the other theatres to my comps.
  8. DAJK
    It’s more Bond/Dune/ Halloween that I think will affect Venom. Big movies to take people’s attention away. And I know that in Canada at least where there are still capacity restrictions, some markets are splitting Bond/Venom between locations because they don’t have enough screen space to accommodate both.
  9. DAJK
    The Oct 1 release date is probably the best that Sony could have asked for in terms of hyping up the opening weekend. But it’s also the worst weekend they could have released on if they were hoping for any sort of legs.
  10. DAJK
    I’m going to be a bit careful using my region to track NTTD, as it already looks like it’s overperforming here significantly. For example, in Canada, BC is behind Ontario regions in terms of presales for Venom, which makes sense (Ontario is a much bigger market). Ontario south and north are the strongest regions, followed by BC. But for NTTD, BC is far and away ahead of both Ontario regions. I saw this with Shang Chi last month, which did our equivalent of ~120M 4-day opening at my theater. So when I track NTTD local sales, I’ll make sure to account for regional overperformance, and try to paint a less biased picture. Bottom line so far is that both Venom and NTTD are looking strong. Venom is currently ahead, but that’s of course because it releases a week sooner. I guess we’ll see how things shake out.
  11. DAJK
    Morbius cameo confirmed
  12. DAJK
    Venom 2 has overtaken NTTD in presales in Canada as of yesterday.
  13. DAJK
    Skyfall is an incredibly sexy movie
  14. DAJK
    You’re just a ray of sunshine aren’t you😂
  15. DAJK
    I’m almost certain that Ben Platt is going to win the Razzie now. even though there have been like a dozen worse performances (ahem everyone in Chaos Walking or everyone in Infinite minus Ejiofor)
  16. DAJK
    Congrats to the people who joined the under Cats club. I guess my personal liking of the trailer and songs blinded me to the fact that... yea, this wasn’t going to be a hit.
  17. DAJK
    Lol yea that’s not a good number AT ALL. Other than being another dead weekend for theaters (which isn’t ever good for my pay check), only thing that bugs me about this is that DEH flopping is only going to boost Film Twitter’s confidence/arrogance (which is never good) since they’re going to think that it was their pushback against the movie that caused it to flop, and we’re going to start seeing more and more of this negativity surrounding upcoming releases. When in reality, it was a bunch of things that led to these numbers (poor casting aside, you had mediocre reviews, lacklustre buzz, a hard-to-sell premise that isn’t the type of thing people are looking for right now). Although I will say, the fact that this is doing Cats numbers is baffling to me.
  18. DAJK
    Just rewatched the first for the first time in a while. It's not "good" but it is decently fun and it goes down easy. I can totally see why it had good WOM, and the second one looks more of the same, so it should do well enough. I'll stick with a 50/135 prediction unless reviews skew insanely positive or negative.
  19. DAJK
    This is the type of movie that would do pretty well in my market. But it's unconfirmed if it will even play here, since there is still limited capacity in Canadian theaters, and a lot of locations here aren't sure if they can carry this on enough screen space given their commitments to Venom, Bond, and Dune (and to a lesser extent, Halloween).
  20. DAJK
    I can vouch for this, but hiring new swaths of staff specifically for big movies is NOT out of the ordinary in the slightest. I was first hired for Age of Ultron, a couple of my friends were hired for BvS/Suicide Squad respectively. Big waves of hiring every time a Star Wars/Marvel movie comes out. It's normal.
  21. DAJK
    Ooof that’s pretty rough. I guess I they can hope for is good WOM (which is questionable). Maybe they can salvage 10M weekend and 30M total? But with how packed October is, they’re going to have a hard time holding onto screens.
  22. DAJK
    I mean, it seems like a pretty easy solution: have the Wizarding world have it’s own threat that wizards have to deal with that is part of the threat of the Axis powers. Wizards are fighting their own “WW2” while the Muggles do the same.
  23. DAJK
    Yea but D+‘s results were because of the content they were putting out. Marvel shows would do well no matter what day of the week they’re released on.
  24. DAJK
    So... a wednesday?
  25. DAJK
    I think this looks interesting, but I’ve never watched The Sopranos. Is it worth it? Or is the movie so tied to the show that watching it as a non-fan I would be totally lost and bored?
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