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Wrath

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  1. 1. Will Annihilation Open to more than $12M? 1000 NO 2. Will Annihilation Open to more than $15M? 2000 NO 3. Will Game Night make more than $12M? 3000 YES 4. Will Game Night make more than $15M? 4000 YES 5. Will Game Night open at number 2? 5000 YES 6. Will Black Panther make more than $85M? 1000 YES 7. Will Peter Rabbit make more than $10M? 2000 YES 8. Will The Cured have a PTA above $9,000? 3000 NO 9. Will Every Day make more than $4M? 4000 NO 10. Will 15:17 stay above Greatest Showman? 5000 YES 11. Will 50 Shades fall more than 64%? 1000 NO 12. Will Jumanji have a PTA above $2,000? 2000 YES 13. Will Maze Runner stay above The Post? 3000 NO 14. Will Winchester drop more than 65%? 4000 YES 15. Will Moral Kombat lose its crown as better Annihilation film this weekend? 5000 FINISH HIM! Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Game Night make for its 3 day? 17.5M 2. What will Black Panther's change be? -49% 3. What will Greatest Showman's PTA be for the Weekend? $2,450 Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. Game Night 4. Annihilation 6. Jumanji 7. 15:17 to Paris 10. Early Man 12. The Post
  2. What? Not another auto-win softball? I'm sad. For now, I'll go with: Wk19 - No
  3. Eh, I liked the first trailer a lot, and I thought it was the one that best captured the visuals. Second one I thought was deeply underwhelming and really concerned me. The third one I thought was good again, but its implying its this big epic about the breadth of imagination (which was implied before, but now its the center of the marketing) while also showing its substantially different from the book (I mean, just SEEING the other major characters in real life would have counted as major spoilers for the book). I agree that this is going to live or die by its reviews. Its got a lot of potential both up and down.
  4. Just incidentally, both my kids are losing their shit over this movie. The 11 year old is seeing it with her class when it comes out, and then she wants to see it with the family over the weekend. She's not the best judge of movie openings, but I was surprised by her enthusiasm.
  5. 1. Will Black Panther Open to more than $125M? 1000 YES 2. Will Black Panther Open to more than $175M? 2000 YES 3. Will Black Panther make more than $150M? 3000 YES 4. Will Black Panther's biggest single day make more than the 2nd-5th placed films' combined 3 day totals? 4000 YES 5. Will Black Panther make more than 38% of its gross on Friday? 5000 YES 6. Will Early Man make more than $4M? 1000 YES 7. Will Early Man make more than $6M? 2000 NO 8. Will Samson make more than $4M? 3000 NO 9. Will Samson make more than $6M? 4000 NO 10. Will Samson make more than Early Man on Sunday? 5000 NO 11. Will 50 Shades fall more than 64%? 1000 NO 12. Will Jumanji have a smaller percentage drop than Greatest Showman? 2000 YES 13. Will Winchester stay above The Post? 3000 NO 14. WIll Hostiles stay above 12 strong? 4000 YES 15. Will Matt Damon show up to protect Wakanda from dragons? 5000 They weren't dragons, they were insect monsters from a meteor. Amusingly, my older daughter just mentioned yesterday how much she liked The Wall and asked if we could buy a copy. The answer was "no", but her birthday isn't that far away. Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Black Panther make for its 3 day? 176M 2. What will Peter Rabbit's change be? -36% 3. What will Shape of Water's PTA be for the Weekend? $1,630 Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 4. Jumanji 5. 15:17 Paris 7. Greatest Showman 9. Samson 11. Winchester 12. Shape of Water
  6. Oh, huh. I thought the deadline for this one was last week. Maybe I'll do it after all.
  7. Argh. What was I thinking, putting a Christmas Eve opening PP3 on the list for OW instead of 50 Shades? So dumb.
  8. Um, The Avengers isn't an option? Bummer. Guess I'll go with: Wk18 - Strange
  9. Meaning you're an individual of many talents, not all of which you're equally talented at?
  10. Part A: 1. Will 50 Shades Open to more than $35M? 1000 YES 2. Will 50 Shades Open to more than $50M? 2000 NO 3. Will 50 Shades make more than $42.5M? 3000 YES 4. Will Peter Rabbit make more than $14M? 4000 YES 5. Will Peter Rabbit make more than $19M? 5000 NO 6. Will 15:17 to Paris make more than $12M? 1000 YES 7. Will 15:17 to Paris make more than $16M? 2000 NO 8. Will Fifty Shades make more than the other two main releases combined? 3000 YES 9. Will Maze Runner stay within $1M of Jumanji? 4000 NO 10. Will Winchester stay above Greatest Showman? 5000 NO 11. Will Hostiles stay in the top 8? 1000 NO 12. Will the Female Brain have a PTA above $12,000? 2000 YES 13. Will 12 Strong have a PTA above $1,400? 3000 NO 14. WIll Shape of Water cross $50M? 4000 NO 15. Will watching Peter Rabbit turn out to be more masochistic than anything shown in 50 Shades? 5000 It can't possibly be as bad as those %(*&$!% Chipmunk movies. Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will 50 Shades make for its 3 day? 44M 2. What will Maze Runner's change be? -45% 3. What will The Winchester's PTA be for the Weekend? 2,450 Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 3. 15:17 to Paris 5. Showman 6. Maze Runner 8. Post 10. Hostiles 12. Den of Thieves
  11. 1. Game Night 31M 2. Red Sparrow 24.5M 3. Annihilation 23.5M 4. Early Man 21M 5. Death Wish 12M 6. Samson 8.5M 7. Every Day 6.5M
  12. Wow. So bummed out. I mean, given its history, my expectations weren't high, but it still came in comfortably below them.
  13. I couldn't help but notice that my beloved strategy of frequently abstaining is not working out super well this time. Edit - On the bright side, I feel good about my pre-season picks and as a result am very confident of making it into the top 18.
  14. So, we're looking at something like: Star Wars: The Last Jedi: 612.12M (24/24) Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle: 341.64M (24/24) Thor: Ragnarok: 352.34M (24/24) Black Panther Justice League: 228.14M (24/24) Coco: 203.06M (24/24) Wonder: 130.72M (1/24) The Greatest Showman: 129.68M (19/24) Fifty Shades Daddy's Home 2: 103.79M (22/24) Pitch Perfect 3: 103.09M (24/24) Murder on the Orient Express: 102.57M (23/24) Ferdinand: 80.76M (20/24) Post Bad Moms/Peter Rabbit Star Wars: The Last Jedi: 220.01M (24/24) Black Panther Thor: Ragnarok: 122.74M (24/24) Justice League: 93.8M (24/24) Coco: 50.8M (23/24) 50 Shades Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle: 36.17M (14/24) Star Wars: The Last Jedi: 1.313B (24/24) Thor: Ragnarok: 852.34M (24/24) Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle: 825.66M (24/24) Coco: 681.87M (24/24) Justice League: 656.04M (24/24) Black Panther Murder on the Orient Express: 348.32M (14/24) Wonder: 266.39M (0/24) The Greatest Showman: 264.17M (5/24) Ferdinand: 257.61M (15/24) Fifty Shades Geostorm/Maze Runner/Peter Rabbit
  15. 1. Will Winchester Open to more than $9M? 1000 YES 2. Will Winchester Open to more than $12M? 2000 NO 3. Will Maze Runner make more than $11M? 3000 NO 4. Will Maze Runner make more than $14M? 4000 NO 5. Will Maze Runner stay in 1st place? 5000 NO 6. Will Jumanji drop more than 22%? 1000 YES 7. Will Hostiles stay above the Post? 2000 NO 8. Will Greatest Showman finally drop below its OW total? 3000 YES 9. Will 12 Strong stay above Den of Thieves? 4000 YES 10. Will Paadmavaat stay in the top 10? 5000 NO 11. Will Star Wars' PTA stay above $2000? 1000 NO 12. Will Paddington increase more that 215% on Friday? 2000 NO 13. Will Shape of Water increase more than 150% on Saturday? 3000 NO 14. Will the top 2 films make more than $25M? 4000 NO 15. In a shock twist, will Winchester turn out to be a Cloverfield spinoff? 5000 NO! Because Cloverfield will be revealed to be a WINCHESTER spin-off! Only in advance! Clever, no? Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Winchester make for its 3 day? 9.1M 2. What will Jumanji's change be? -25% 3. What will Paddinton's PTA be for the Weekend? $1,550 Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 1. Jumanji 3. Winchester 4. Showman 6. Post 9. Den of Thieves 11. Three Billboards
  16. Ow. I think that's my 5th consecutive week in the bottom 5.
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