I'm not familiar with Little Women or Marriage Story (not even heard of that) but I reaaally doubt Jojo Rabbit is an Oscar player. It's a comedy.
I saw someone the other day suggest that Taika Waititi in Jojo Rabbit is a frontrunner for Best Supporting Actor...
Some sections of the internet are just deluded.
Comedies don't play well at awards, particularly Oscars, they never have and they never will.
As for Irishman not being ready, perhaps Netflix should push it back to next October 2020 and spent another $30m in the meantime...? 🤔