POTUS 2020

If one of his films ever get released. Could be post mortem

with such a late start and no promotion we will see something completely different. PS still not taking off. I assume a large PSm. I think 7 is the highest we have ever seen

That PS run sounds about right if its got a shot a billion. Gavin thinks that the shift to a female lead may hurt it. Wasnt T5 just 700m? A lot of sequels have failed to improve in the last 4 years

The tentpoles usually have their own built in audiences. My point was that they spend $100m+ on P&A for most of them. Some years there are a lot of $300mDom/1bWW÷ movies, other years far less but the years arent far a part in total BO The audiience will just go see the non tentpoles instead. In other words its a near zero sum game. If they cut their PA in half domestic would still do $11b and China would still do $8b Because they will go to the movies once a week, month or year regardless. The studios would save a couple billion.

Streisand effect. The ban caused curiosity. WoM will take care of the rest. Marketing is overrated. A good film will draw. A year with a lot of great films doesn't make much more than a year with a lot of bad tentpoles. They spend billions on marketing. Just throw a trailer on you tube and let it run imo

I was fearing this. I'm gonna miss the old 90s look of Mojo.

My guess is that it will we close to T5 which was 725m/$113m with average WoM. 725m is $103m at todays XR. It will need a 9.1+ rating to do more, low 8s will bring in less.

I messed up the PS with the wrong title with Maoyan not as accessible. M2 PS suggest $15m but did $22m. On track for $50m GM crashed and burned $25-50m is the norm for a toon since 2014. The genre has not grown accept for the breakouts- Zoo, Coco, NZ etc. Most sequels have not increased since 2014 like MI FF TF. My money would be on a $50m run. It would need a 9.6 rating to create a WoM buzz to do much more.

That is for Saturday M2 will make $22.5m for the weekend and will be close to M1s $47m total at a 12% worse XR, perhaps clear $50m. This like many other franchises since 2014 has not improved much in BO. Odds are Frozen 2 may only do $50m as well. GM dailies are crashing. It will just clear $20m for OW and finish $30-32m

I was wrong with the title. I cant pull up main page or movie page anymore. I thought One Piece was M2. GM still on track for mid $30s OW OP $30m M2 $15m

According to wiki Rambo: Last Blood was released theatrically in the United States on September 20, 2019.[67]Dadi purchased the Chinese distribution rights and agreed to an eight-figure co-financing deal.[68] On July 30, 2019, the MPAA assigned the film an R rating.[69]

PS bumping decent for both on Tues and Wed. GM over 40%, M2 50%. 10-20% higher on both movies for OW GM mid $30s M2 $30m+

Was looking this up just when you posted. Gemini Man lead PS at 6.8m Mal2 at 5.1m Im thinking Final PS OW GM 21m 220m/$30m M2 17m 200m/$27m

Hong Kong is rebelling now. Not an easy fight.

Its shows will increase tomorrow. could make a few million a day thru the rest of holiday and leg out to 5000m by end of Oct propaganda! welcome back!

PS for tomorrow at 300m. This holiday is going to more than double last year. @firedeep are these films highly anticipated or are PS high because of the void created by lack of big films during summer due to censorship.

yup, made it to $200m afterall NZ up to 4936m/$706m and counting. the 3 holiday releases are above 190m in PS for sept 30th and have 99% of 240k shows listed All holdovers have less than 200 shows so far, >0.1%. I assume 420k+ shows will list in total. I dont think any holdover will get more than 1% on the 1st day BO under 40m again today. A lot low days this month

3 Holiday releases start on Monday. They have 200k shows so far and 137m PS. HS will lose most/all of its shows, but will clear 1424m/$200m by Sat/Sun NZ should retain some shows and still has a shot at 5000m/$714m

FFHS listed on Maoyan Mon thru Fri next week. I guess it got extended, which I doubted with the holiday coming up. It will reach 1424m/$200m

NZ at 4897m. Over $700m now. It can get to 5000m/$715m if it gets just 1% of shows during the Oct holiday. FF8.5 at 1397m. It needs to get to 1424m by next Sun to reach $200m. It will be close.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/12PLNyaSw7jsw7X3QpSQ6OE3cTPl9V1-X204hKwDZXJM/edit?usp=sharing

Saw your post and looked at: Mojo $675m is @ Y7.12 XR The Numbers $701m is @ Y6.885 XR Both are wrong. 6.885 was the OW XR and 7.12 is the current XR. The average XR for the run is just under 7. I say 4880-4900m will be $700m $330m made @ 6.9 average in first 10 days $270m made @ 7.06 average after the dollar spiked in a few days Last $100m will be at 7.15 average after dollar spiked again to high of 7.18

53m total. That has to be the worst Friday in years. I remember 35m was the lowest day of the year 3 years ago, day before CNY. We may see under 35m next M T W Sept going to be down pretty big YoY

This Friday same as last. Several small releases that will take 40-50% of shows but will open to less than 30m. HS Fri may be 21m -61% WoW. PS for the following Friday are looking big but its a holiday. Friday will be larger than Saturday for new releases(Det Conan). Holdovers will lose a lot of shows but get a holiday boost at the same time. They will likely bump Sat as they gain shows. HS will make 264m for the week. 1250m total. -63% next week for 97m takes it to 1347m. May just reach 1400m/ $196m NZ still on target for 4900m/$700+

15k PTA. pretty good RT 83% Audience 99% Should expand next weekend