WrathOfHan

Shazam sales are dreadful tonight. John Wick took Zachary Levi out to the back. Will not be surprised if Scream is ahead of it this weekend (which looks to be selling decently for week 3)

There's probably the same amount of, if not fewer, colleges out on spring break right now vs semesters wrapping by Mid-May for JW3, so I really don't get where these 80M doubts are coming from.

if it follows JW3: 34.1M Friday 29.7M Saturday (-13% Full Fri/+18% True Fri) 22M (-26%) 85.8M Weekend

IMDb doesn't list Todd Phillips or Emma Tillinger Koskoff anymore, so the final five is probably a matter of whether Spielberg or Kristie Macosko Krieger takes the Amblin spot.

Lord... So Scorsese could be a double nominee in Picture next year

My 90M prediction from December lookin preeeeeetty good right now

I'd guess the following wins would change: 2005: Brokeback Mountain>Crash 2001: Fellowship of the Ring>A Beautiful Mind 1995: Apollo 13>Braveheart 1990: Goodfellas>Dances with Wolves

Every time I get the Spider-Verse trailer, its reaction makes me think 300M is on the table. Mid-200s is my current guess; the reception to Guardians and overall superhero fatigue will probably determine if it goes higher or lower (or if Spider-Verse is meh, then low 200s)

BCoop's thirsty as fuck for an Oscar so I doubt Maestro will flop, but I could see something else being Netflix's main push depending what releases/where passion lies.

I want to see Scream overtake Shazam today

For now I'll go with (alphabetically): Dune Part II The Holdovers How Do You Live? Killers of the Flower Moon Maestro May December Oppenheimer Past Lives Poor Things Strangers Haynes and Haigh getting into Best Picture the same year might be a little bit of a stretch, but whatever it's March. We don't have an Everything Everywhere type contender this spring.

A look at NY Dolby tonight for their main evening shows: Empire: 54/295 Lincoln Square: 41/297 34th St: 36/129 Magic Johnson: 28/112 And IMAX: Lincoln Square: 104/475 Empire: 36/285 Kips Bay: 34/230 34th St: 13/212 Just pitiful.

My IMAX showing of Shazam later today is only 20% full with center seats still available. PLF showings all around have seen lots of cancellations; there are 7PM Dolby shows with prime seats up for the taking

Zach Levi is a dolt. I say let this FLOP.

It's time to get this shit into the main board. We ain't on the lot anymore, folks

38-40M for Creed per Deadilne https://deadline.com/2023/02/box-office-creed-iii-michael-b-jordan-1235275006/

Another important element of EEAAO's SAG sweep: that's concentrated solely on an American faction of one branch (albeit the largest one). When you add in all branches and international voters, not everything will translate at the Oscars based on how BAFTA went. For a close race like Yeoh and Blanchett, that has to be a big factor.

lol SAG really chose chaos. If SAG and BAFTA go 2/4 this year with Ke Huy Quan being the obvious winner, there are a few options for the other categories: Fraser/Blanchett/Condon (SAG gets the male categories right, BAFTA gets female) Butler/Blanchett/Curtis (BAFTA gets lead right, SAG supporting) Butler/Yeoh/Condon (SAG gets 2/3 EEAAO wins correct with BAFTA aligning on the other two) Curtis is only winning if Yeoh loses lead imo. I really don't see AMPAS giving the film three acting wins when international factions are more muted on the film. If SAG goes 1/4, it'd be the first year since 2002 (and 2001) where they've done that; coincidentally, this is also the first year since 2002 where there won't be a televised sweeper, so there could be a correlation between those two. Right now I'm probably leaning Butler/Blanchett/Quan/Condon just because I don't see Fraser winning Actor without a Picture nomination and there is precedence for SAG going 1/4 in the past multiple times. Everything Everywhere clearly has Picture, Director, and Supporting Actor in the bag though, plus I imagine Screenplay and Editing will more than likely go to it.

Ant-Man: Feb 24: 30.9M (9.3M weekdays, 175.3M Total) Mar 3: 10.7M (3.8M weekdays, 189.7M Total) Mar 10: 5.1M (1.6M weekdays, 196.4M Total) Mar 17: 1.9M (800k weekdays, 199.1M Total) Mar 24: 800k (300k weekdays, 200.2M Total) Final Total: 202M (1.9x from 3 day/1.67x from 4 day) Pitiful. 200M isn't even safe anymore, and it's almost guaranteed a sub-2x and total below Ant-Man and the Wasp. I'm assuming the early Creed IMAX shows on Tuesday will dampen any increase for Ant-Man when almost half of the box office is coming from PLF, so poor weekdays will lead into another 55-60%+ drop next weekend. By the time Scream is out, who will care anymore? Another 60% drop that weekend would likely kill 200M. There's no way to spin this as a win for the MCU.

Everything Everywhere losing BAFTA builds a stronger case for it being the frontrunner. The US guilds clearly love the film, and its sole win at BAFTA being Editing is impressive given that's one of the most competitive categories this season. Even as All Quiet was building momentum with Oscar shortlists, the guilds still mostly ignored it during phase one; it cannot win Picture without domestic support.