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KP1025

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Everything posted by KP1025

  1. They should wait until Christmas. Even though domestic run will mostly wrap up by September, there's leggy markets like Japan which don't even release until next month.
  2. Lot of parallels with The Flash here. Overbudgeted nostalgia trip that studios were super confident in ends up being a flop of massive proportions, with pretty much near universal rejection around the world.
  3. Elemental is releasing in August in Japan, so even October would be way too early unless they do region specific dates (at minimum, a 6 month window for Japan). Japan is a special case where audiences don't mind waiting many months to watch a film, so they will happily wait to watch for free on Disney+ if the window is reasonable enough.
  4. Same experience here. Have not gotten any response back from BOM whereas The Numbers is quite good at responding to correction requests.
  5. That is strange, I'm not sure what's going on at BOM. Also weird this issue is only affecting these two movies. I don't think I saw a major discrepancy between the two sites for previous Universal films like Minions 2 or JWD.
  6. I reached out to The Numbers to find out what the source of the discrepancy is. It seems BOM uses official numbers provided by Universal, whereas the Numbers is also using numbers provided by local film boards. The main issue appears to be the inclusion of numbers from the Russian film board, which Universal is not including in their own numbers possibly due to it being an unofficial distribution due to the boycott. There are also some small differences with Universal vs local film boards, with some markets reporting higher numbers than Universal. That explains the large gap in Universal's OS numbers on BOM vs The Numbers, particularly for Fast X.
  7. The gap for Fast X OS gross on The Numbers grows even larger. Domestic Box Office $144,694,835 Details International Box Office $566,340,876 Details Worldwide Box Office $711,035,711
  8. But TLM hasn't passed AWOW in Japan? It had one good hold after a harsh drop last week, but where it finishes remains to be seen. I haven't seen any sign that it is noticeably better received either.
  9. Is South Korea going to be the only market where Elemental beats Mario?
  10. This is why we need region specific dates for Disney+. You can’t have staggered theatrical release dates and not delay the streaming date accordingly for those markets. Japan already had delayed home video release dates in the past, so this is nothing new for Disney.
  11. The Numbers has the updated international OW gross at $73,234,450.
  12. Depends if we use BOM or The Numbers. The latter has a higher OS total for some reason. Domestic Box Office $142,473,000 Details International Box Office $551,883,980 Details Worldwide Box Office $694,356,980
  13. The Rock is one of the bigger Hollywood stars in China even if you exclude the Fast and Furious films. Looking at films where he was the lead, San Andreas and Skyscraper both grossed around $100 million in China while Rampage grossed over $150 million.
  14. They did on The Numbers. $11,051,544 for TLM and $5,287,377 for GotG3. The latter did increase 20% on Father's Day whereas TLM dropped 35%. Elemental dropped 18% on Sunday for an OW of $29,602,429.
  15. Looks like TLM had its harshest Sunday drop yet at 35% versus the sub-20% the past 2 weeks. Not only did it not benefit from Father's Day or Monday being a holiday at all, it actually had the opposite effect. Makes sense in retrospect, as this is not a male-skewing film at all.
  16. I guess the Numbers has a problem with Universal updates because both Fast X and Mario just went up another $9-10 million from those OS estimates above. They've had the same issue for the past month now.
  17. It's crazy how the WW number could end up lower than the DOM forecast from a month ago.
  18. A lot of that just seemed like online bluster to me. The US Disney parks are almost back to pre-pandemic levels, which wouldn't be possible without significant support from red states. Maybe there is a percentage of people who have actually sworn off Disney products for good in their lives, but I suspect many are just all talk without actually significantly altering their consumer habits.
  19. And they still haven't corrected that Lion King number. They're using the animated film's box office and not the remake's.
  20. A shame Mario's run will end before it got to even take advantage of the summer. I have to admit I didn't see it fizzling out quite so fast after such a monstrous start (it's looking to gross about 1/3 of what Minions 2 did on its 11th weekend), but this summer is incredibly crowded.
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