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KP1025

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Everything posted by KP1025

  1. Unfortunately, it's going to collapse in its biggest OS market as China has 10 new local releases for the holidays next week. Going to get gutted in screen count.
  2. Thought TLM OS was already pretty bad, but Flash looks like it's going lower even with more support from China (not great either but at least not abysmal like TLM). And Flash won't even have good domestic numbers like TLM to fall back on. It rightfully deserves to be called a major bomb.
  3. Aladdin stayed basically flat its second weekend after a much larger OW, so it looks like TLM legs will be nothing special in Japan.
  4. Strange World very likely would have flopped pre Disney+ too given its audience scores. But something like Encanto would have done far better at the box office without it being advertised as dropping on Disney+ just a month after.
  5. Disney should advertise at minimum a 6-month theatrical exclusivity for their major films to disincentivize subscribers (particularly families) from just waiting to watch at home for free. Until they do, I'm afraid none of their animated films will come close to realizing their potential at the box office.
  6. They do, but TGM was a unique phenomenon whereas the last few MI films have been pretty stable in their performance. I'm sure MI7 will get a boost but probably not as big as some people are expecting. Even a 50% increase over MI6 in Yen gives it just $50 million under the current ER.
  7. Apparently it's due to the trans flag. https://www.dexerto.com/tv-movies/spider-man-across-the-spider-verse-banned-in-uae-over-trans-flag-2176722/
  8. Great teaser. Outside WALL-E, animated sci-fi films have not done well at all though. Hope Elio can be another exception.
  9. I think Mufasa will be delayed. That date is only 2 days after Despicable Me 4 opens.
  10. Excluding 2020, that would be 2007. Both HP5 and PotC3 grossed over $900 million WW though.
  11. I have a hard time seeing Ruby Gillman go under Strange World, especially in the summer. Even if it does though, at least it cost far less to make.
  12. The Numbers once again messing up their weekday OS update by going from $745 million to $753 million. 😅
  13. You're right, I was operating under a best case scenario where the film is a return to form for GA appeal rather than something that skews too old like The Wind Rises or a bit too young like Ponyo. That number is also factoring in a finale boost, as everyone knows this is certainly the last film Miyazaki will ever make.
  14. It just feels like there's been a resurgence in anime popularity in recent years with several franchises hitting record peaks far above what was the norm the previous decade or two. When Miyazaki retired previously, no other anime film besides those he directed had even crossed ¥10 billion. Now, it's not uncommon to have multiple a year across various franchises/directors/studios.
  15. I don't see why this couldn't beat One Piece Red in Japan (¥19.7 billion) as long as it's more universally appealing than something like The Wind Rises. As the final Miyazaki film (for real this time), I think it will bring in that older demographic that rarely goes to theaters.
  16. I remember that one because it was so amusingly pessimistic and borderline impossible as you said. TLM is already past the floor of their DOM prediction and almost past the ceiling of their WW prediction after only 2 weeks.
  17. Maybe it's because a lot of reviews specifically mention how Halle's voice is the standout of the movie? Could be a factor driving curiosity.
  18. I remember thinking this with Incredibles 2 and Frozen. The OS power of the Frozens was really incredible.
  19. That seems about right, though it's likely losing a lot of screens for the Flash/Elemental combo next weekend. $1.35 billion WW could be down to the wire and all up to Japan now.
  20. Lion King (2019) grossed $1.657 billion WW. https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/rl3321923073/
  21. I think it would, similar to actors negotiating a percentage of the total box office as part of their fee. Nintendo is getting a large share of the profits as part of the deal, as they also financed half of that $100 million budget.
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