Daxtreme

nooooo, I wanted to see this movie

Just wanted to pop by and say that it is time to compare Rogue One actuals with my projected numbers in this post Last Monday I projected the weekly numbers for R1 based on the week-end estimates, and here is what I had after applying a 73% week-to-week drop to the whole week: 4-day week-end: 64.35M Tuesday: 6.1M Wednesday: 4.9M Thursday: 4.5M Total: 79.9M Now, here are the actuals for Rogue One's week: 4-day week-end: $65,522,676 Tuesday: $6,268,921 Wednesday: $4,237,535 Thursday: $3,893,517 Total: $79.924M Difference: +0.03% I must say, I didn't expect it to be THAT close. It all happened because of the higher than expected Monday hold, because for the rest of the week, I actually under-predicted the already-huge 73% week-to-week drop I gave Rogue One (it dropped more like 76% on average). I guess Monday's insane number compensated for those huge drops. I then applied a 50% weekly drop to this weekly number for 8 weeks and ended up with 535M. Did the same for 3 other movies (Sherlock Holmes 2, MI:GP, and Alvin) released in 2011, and got a difference between the projection and the actuals of + ~5% on average. (range was 4% for Alvin to 6.77% increase for MI:GP) So yeah, I said 535M was the floor for Rogue One based on those calculations, so of course that's not gonna change since nothing changed If we apply that 5% bump on average to $535M, we get $560M. To stay on the safe side, I'd say the more probable finish for R1 is $555M, with potential to go up to $575M or so (~1.07 x 535M) Cheers

Alright... Here is my front yard right now Brace yourselves ... Coming out of the house Looking toward the front door In case you're wondering, yes the door frame in total is 7 feet high There is almost 7 feet of snow in front of the door Actual, ahem, "front yard" Rest of the yard is about 6 feet of snow ---- Quebec City, bitches

I think I will take pictures of my yard right now I think some of you would have heart attacks. There is 2 meters of snow in most places (6 feet)

Welcome! And right at the beginning of the Week-end thread Great timing.

In line again with TFA's week-to-week drop. Once the actuals come in I will re-do my weekly calculations, and see how it compares!

If TFA was only popular with older people, how do you explain how it became the 11th highest ticket seller in the history of box office? (according to BOM) No movie has ever reached such numbers without appealing to, well, basically everyone.

I liked your post more for the first part I must say, because the second part is a bit too "hatey" for me. I mean, obviously they poured a lot of work into Moonlight, it's just not something you enjoy that's all! No need to bash the movie!

Seems like my cup of tea. I enjoyed Easy A, Mean Girls, The Perks of Being a Wallflower, The First Time -- you know, well-written/smart coming of age drama I absolutely loathe the bad written or cheesy ones, but when it has heart, count me in, and this one seems like it does.

Random but, has anybody seen The Edge of Seventeen? @Christmas Baumer maybe? I think I have to wait for rental/netflix, a shame I heard about it only recently

Before its release

-76.6% week-to-week drop, ouch and a 32% drop from yesterday No matter how you look at it, it's a pretty bad drop. Seems like the movie is finally course-correcting for the end of the holidays. Still, Monday was unusually high so it got that as a buffer Those international holds are great too edit: well, those week-to-week are in line with TFA so, I'd say it's "average" instead

Or maybe... Star Wars is just ridiculously popular in the US and not that much in Asia, and it has nothing to do with quality? It happens! I mean, Furious 7 is the top-grossing Hollywood import in China of all-time, does that mean it's the best movie of all-time? Different strokes for different people.

TFA dropped 53% on its post-holiday week-end, but it didn't have New Year's Eve during the previous week-end deflating the numbers. I think R1 can manage a better hold than that, since it will probably drop less due to deflated Saturday last week.

Deadpool nominated for best screenplay?

Dang son, Sing might just pass R1 for #1 today ... Amazing!

So a 60% drop for R1, about the average drop of 2011 Good, but not great. It's a 71.5% drop from last week, slightly less than my 73% projection. Let's see if that holds

... This place needs more @Rey epic gifs

@Porthos hunting for likes

I think I will run through my calculations again, but only after the actuals for the whole week are in, so I can compare between the 2 results. But with this monday... things are looking pretty interesting

That's the thing... it's not a box office prediction forum It's just a thread in a movies forum

Oh no, I went into the /r/movies box office week thread and now people are saying (with lots of upvotes) that Rogue One should have enough steam to... - surpass Avatar for #2 all-time domestic - Surpass TFA's gross in China - Get to 1.4B worldwide ... I think some people need to keep their expectations in check Also, side note but, Sing is performing exceptionally well. If these holds keep up, it could challenge R1 for #1.

Also, Rogue One's 3rd Monday is the highest 3rd Monday of all-time Not bad for a nonevent edit: For the record, the previous highest 3rd Monday was Toy Story 3's 5th of July gross. I would have thought a December movie had the crown... Nope!