Aristis

1st Trend #1 Sing 260k (350k i.P.) #2 NWH 185k (-35%) 3,75M #3 Kingsman 55k (-28%) 310k #4 Scream 50k (-41%/-49%) 165k #5 Gucci 45k (-18%) 967,5k

3rd Trend is even better: #1 NWH 240k (-36%) 3,510M #2 Scream 95k #3 The King's Man 75k (-37%/-46%) 235k #4 House of Gucci 55k (-25%) 902.5k #5 Clifford 45k (-31%) 435k #6 Matrix4 35k (-49%) 505k

NWH had an awesome 4th WE with 375k (-4%) and reached 3,21M admissions (and thereby passed SM3 3,205M). Kingsman 140k Gucci 72,5k (+7%) 827,5k Matrix 67,5k (-17%) 455k Clifford 65k (+38%) 385k, the 6th is the biggest WE yet, +70% from OW. NTTD on Friday became the first movie since Frozen2 to reach 6M. https://www.insidekino.de/News.htm

The 350k predicted atm would be only a 10% drop. It could be quite close to 3,2M on Sunday. If that happens 3,8M (and around $43,5M) should be safe.

MarkG expects 3,8M atm. So even though I don't know about 4M it could still come quite close.

1st Trend (the WE could again differ from the one in 2010, so the Trend might be off again...) NWH 450k (+25%) 2,63M Matrix 100k (-5%/-30%) 360k Gucci 70k (+94%) 710k Clifford 55k (+150%) 285k Encanto 50k (+72%) 457,5k NTTD only needs 15k more after Sunday to reach 6M

IW had around 3,5M too (3,457M). https://www.insidekino.de/SP/SPOTH/SPMarvel.htm

So, looking at 2010 when the holiday pattern was the same as this year, movies should have big increases - and MarkG expects a big increase for NWH atm. But knowing that last WE was very atypical he says we should still be cautious. He predicts for now NWH 504k +40% 2,68M (total after Sunday) and 3,75M possible end result - but that could be very optimistic...

I wouldn't rule the possibility out but a lower number might be more probable. Depends on the next days I guess.

Atm I don't see reaching 3M at danger. If it reaches 2M on Tuesday than it should be around 2,5M+ after next WE. Though I hope cinemas won't be closed early next year - that might be the only thing that could prevent NWH from reaching 3M.

NWH had around 360k 2nd WE (-56% from the 4-day WE) and reached 1,69M admissions. MarkG predicts it'll reach 2M on Tuesday. Also he explained why the first Trend was much higher: the last time we had this holiday pattern was 2010 and back then Sunday was the biggest day and Thursday and Saturday were about equal, so he assumed it would be like that again. But this time Thursday was the strongest day and Sat/Sun much weaker, which couldn't really be predicted. Matrix 103 (4-day) / 142,5k (5-day)

Monday numbers: #1 NWH: 815k (4-day) 967,5k (5-day) - Easily the 2nd biggest OW of the year. The movie is already the 8th biggest of the year and the 14th biggest of the twenties. It already beat every other Marvel movie of the year. . OW-Admissions Theaters Ø Title 1 1.194.778 830 1.439 NTTD 2 815.000* 593* 1.374* NWH 3 525.093 611 859 Fast & Furious 9 4 340.964 680 501 Dune 5 318.572 792 402 Tenet 6 291.542 554 526 Venom 2 https://www.insidekino.de/News.htm #2 Gucci 92,5k (-28%) 487,5k #3 Encanto 52,5k (-13%) 305k #4 Clifford 45k (+0%) 140k

Thanks, makes me feel like I was missed ☺️

My first post in like ages. I hope I can visit more often again but Corona really stopped me from doing so...

Insidekino now predicts 750k WE and 900k including preview Wednesday. Yesterday it had another 125k admissions and €1,3M. That means it should be around $10,5M after Sunday.

The ATP was a (bad) guess of mine The prediction is $3M to $3,5M then...

19€ is insane My ticket cost 11€ - I could imagine around that being the ATP so the 10,5$ could be way to low. I thought 2D wouldn't be that expensive though... Still, $3M OW should be around the prediction for now, shouldn't it?

Not the OW! MarkG, as I said, predicted 200k (4-day) and 250k (5-day). That may be $3M 5-day OW. It could go higher of course but that's far from certain. Where do those high predictions come from just yet? $11M would be lifetime number for now

It's just the last few days that my interest in BO began after a long time again. I hope Tenet can do good business to have me interested even more again. If german cinemas die that's not my fault, in the last 6 weeks I've been to movies 5 times (first Inception [I didn't see it in cinemas when it first came out], then LOTR 1-3 extended and yesterday Tenet). I really hope that it reignites the BO. MarkG predicts 200k (4-day) and 250k (5-day) so between $2,1M and $2,5M 4-day/$2,6M and $2,8M 5-day. I hope it'll be more but that seems like a safe first bet.

I'm pretty sure that TP will be above 10$ (I'd say around 10,50$ is likely). MarkG expects 1,05M total so around $11M total for now.

Last WE drive ins in Germany reached 100k+ admissions. With the first federal states opening cinemas on May 18th, that might have been the peak already, after many weeks of huge increases. On the InsideKino forum the rough numbers of admissions in drive ins have been shared, some of them are: Joker 32k admissions (3rd biggest release) BB3 22k (5th) F3 18k (6th) Bohemian 12k (8th) http://www.forum.insidekino.de/viewtopic.php?f=11&t=5078 As for Joker that means ~4,17M total and that it is the biggest DC movie in Germany (topping Superman (79) 4,15M)

So there are only two cinemas still playing in Germany, two drive-ins that had 1,892 admissions combined last WE. I wonder why there aren't more drive-ins still holding shows...

Do you have a different calendar? Is it possible you confused the months or is it in future perfect?

So as Taruseth expected, the 1st Trend was too optimistic... Känguru 85k (-74%/-77%) Invisible 40k (-60%) My Spy 37,5k (i.P.) Onward 35k (-78%/-81%) Lady Business 27,5k (i.P.)

1st Trend: With the uncertainity this might be pessimistic (or not): Känguru 110k (-66%/-71%) Onward 50k (-68%/-73%) Everything else below 50k