Aristis

Thursday numbers: #1 Känguru 18k (-49%) €154k / $172k #2 Invisible 6,4k (-36%) €54k / $60k #3 Nightlife 6,4k (-33%) €54k / $60k #4 Gentlemen 5,3k (-41%) €45k / $50k #5 Narziss&Goldmund 5,1k (-) €43k / $48k

With things getting more and more unclear, after last weeks Känguru there's another german "hope" opening, Narziss und Goldmund. What I read, the movie cost around €10M. The InsideKino prediction is 80k WE and 250k total - it'll be a huge flop... If really all cinemas close (which in three cities already happened it seems) and stay closed for quite some time, I fear this year could be the first time ever to stay below 100M admissions... There have been 6 deaths yet and we're probably close to 3000 infected. I fear the german reaction to all this isn't very strict. Hopefully the low death count indicates that it isn't that bad...

Weekend Estimates: #1 Känguru 320k (4-day), 375k (i.P.) - 3rd biggest OW of the year #2 Onward 157,5k (4-day), 185k (i.P.) - 9th biggest OW of the year #3 Sonic 110k (-43%) 1,115M #4 Nightlife 110k (-35%) 1,025M - 4th 1M+ movie of the year #5 Invisible Man 100k (-16%) 245k #6 Gentlemen 65k (-26%/-40%) 205k #7 Bloodshot 57,5k (i.P.) #8 Parasite 47,5k (-39%) 937,5k - great drop considering the DVD release was last Thursday

There were some surveys saying that people in Germany don't really fear the virus that much, which is a bit surprising to me too... The only thing that changed seem to be some panic buyings. Maybe it is because many people trust the government. Especially the health ministers image greatly improved since the beginning of the spreading virus.

1st Trend: #1 Känguru 305k (4-day), 360k (i.P.) #2 Onward 150k (i.P.) #3 Invisible Men 95k (-20%) #4 Nightlife 95k (-43%) #5 Sonic 90k (-53%) #6 Gentlemen 80k (-9%/-27%) Onward is awful and for Känguru Chroniken I had higher hopes too...

Thursday numbers: #1 Känguru 35k // €300k / $335k #2 Invisible Man 10k (-17%) €90k / $100k #3 Onward 9,5k // €82,5k / $92,5k #4 Nightlife 9,5k (-50%) €81,5k / $91k #5 Gentlemen 9k (-14%) €78k / $87,5k

While the situation is tense, our government seems to be very cautios with shutting down things. Of course things can change but atm I don't see cinemas being closed... I think the bigger problem might be people panicking and deciding not to go to cinemas, which at least as of now doesn't seem to be big of a problem. Side note: Half of the german cases are from one city.

Monday estimates: #1 Sonic 190k (-25%) 980k #2 Nightlife 165k (-19%) 880k #3 Invisible Man 120k #4 Gentlemen 110kk #5 Lassie 85k (-6%/-19%) 235k #6 Parasite 75k (-32%) 850k #7 Call of the Wild 50k (-40%) 165k

It'll probably affect moviegoing when it's getting worse, I don't think they'll close cinemas anytime soon though.

Thursday numbers: #1 Sonic 21,5k (-4%) €150k / $165k #2 Nightlife 19k (-14%) €160k / $175k #3 The Invisible Man 12k / €110k /$120k #4 The Gentlemen 11k / €95k / $105k #5 Parasite 10k (-29%) €85k / $95k

Actuals are in for 2019 and, well, it's not good. It's even below the 120M I hoped for... Yearly admissions 118,6M (+12,6%) Yearly gross €1,024B ($1,105B, applying XR as of now) (+13,9%) TP €8,63 ($9,32) (+1,1%) http://www.insidekino.com/News.htm#Montag_17._Februar_2020 InsideKino has a nice stat with (by year): Besucher (admissions) Umsatz (Box Office in €) Ticket (TP) Orte (number of cities with a cinema) Säle (screens) % (share of german movies) % 3D (3D share) https://www.ffa.de/aid=1394.html?newsdetail=20200217-1351_ffa-kinobilanz-2019-deutliche-erholung-aber-noch-potential-fuer-den-deutschen-kinomarkt

2nd Trend: #1 Sonic 450k #2 Nightlife 325k 4-day (375k i.P.) #3 Dolittle 150k (-6%) #4 BoP 130k (-6%/-16%) #5 BB3 130k (-6%) #6 Enkel 80k (-20%/-26%) #7 1917 80k (-6%) #8 Parasite 75k (+++) ... Little Women 55k (-26%) Bombshell 37,5k Frozen2 30k (-17%) Jumanji 30k (-0%) Knives Out 25k (-31%)

Would happen with ~6,67M admissions so it really should.

Thursday numbers: #1 Sonic 45k (-) €320k/$345k #2 Nightlife 30k (-) €235k/$255k #3 Parasite 15k (+++) €125k/$135k - That's the biggest Thursday yet (18th WE) and will be the best WE above the first (52,5k). On BlickpunktFilm they said it already is the biggest Korean movie ever and if it passes Hero (560k) it'll be the biggest Asian movie since 2001 (Tiger&Dragon 865k)! InsideKino expects 75k/550k atm #4 Dolittle 12k (-23%) €100k/$110k #5 BoP 11,5k (-42%) €105k/$115k

A very underwhelming WE, though thanks to relatively warm weather and the storm Sabine it was deflated. Hopefully we'll see some great holds next WE! #1 Dolittle 160k #2 BOP 140k (155k i.P.) #3 BB3 135k

Thursday numbers #1 BOP 20k (-) €175k / $192,5k - awful... I hope it at least gets to 200k including previews... Some other DC OD: BvS 140k Joker 140k SSquad 115k AQM 60k WW 60k JL 35k #2 Dolittle 15,5k (+24%) €135k / $150k - this is great! So it should easily be #1 for the WE again... #3 BB3 15k (-35%) €140k / $155k #4 Enkel für Anfänger 12,5k (-) €100k / $110k #5 Little Women 12k (+20%) €105k / $115k #6 1917 12k (-20%) €100k / $110k

#11 Jumanji2 47,5k (-37%) #14 SW9 42,5k (-48%)

3rd Trend: #1 BB3 235k (-24%) #2 Dolittle 215k (4-day), 245k (i.P.) #3 Hochzeit 145k (-13%/-31% i.P.) #4 1917 117,5k (-17%) #5 Little Women 90k #6 Lindenberg 75k (-30%) #7 Heinzels 70k #8 Countdown 67,5k #9 Knives Out 65k (-32%) #10 Frozen2 52,5k (-34%)

Should be at 6,55M after a 50k (-37%) WE, so I'd say yes.

Thursday number: #1 BB3 23k (-34%) €210k / $230k #2 1917 15k (-21%) €125k / $138k #3 Hochzeit 13k (-19%) €110k / $120k - I would have hoped for a worse hold... #4 Dolittle 12,5k (-) $125k / $138k #5 Little Women 10k (-) €90k / $100k

175k for SW1? Where does the rest hide? Lol. Seriously, is that the total number? Also 18th is really low...

Monday numbers: #1 BB3 305k (-31%/-37%) 885k #2 Hochzeit 165k (4-day), 205k (i.P.) #3 1917 140k (-18%/-27%) 400k #4 Lindenberg 105k (-26%/-37%) 325k #5 Knives Out 95k (-31%) 810k #6 SW9 80k (-43%) 5,085M #7 Frozen2 80k (-27%) 6,495M #8 Jumanji2 75k (-32%) 2,310M ... Jojo Rabbit 70k

As I'm a bit later I already put in the WE projection in Italics: SW: Frozen: Jumanji:

3rd Trend: Most movies increase! #1 BB3 475k #2 1917 180k #3 Lindenberg 150k #4 SW9 140k (-45%) #5 Knives Out 140k (-25%) #6 Frozen2 110k (-27%) #7 Jumanji2 110k (-36%) #8 Zauberhafte Schwestern 75k (-17%/-32% i.P.) #9 Geheimnis 60k (-29%) #10 Rosa Kaninchen 60k (-35%) #11 Spies in disguise 55k (-11%) #12 Weathering with you 50k

SW vs SW: Frozen vs Frozen: Jumanji vs Jumanji: