Poseidon

This is a tough one, nothing works in that trailer. Could very well end up in Three musketeers (2011) or Pompeii regions.

"Rogue One", in my opinion, is a different story. It completely lived off the hype, the big comeback named A force Awakens left behind. Just as a comparison: Rogue One was the #1 most anticipated Movie on Fandangos List for 2016. "Solo" only was #5 (and #3 behind Avengers and Deadpool for the Summer Season). I think that this is quite telling, how much interest it lost by the general audience. Paired with the incredibly low trailer views and the negative press TLJ got and the gap of only a couple of months, I think that this might turn out as one of the rare underperformers for Disney. Hell, when was the last time, a Premium-Disney-Sequel came in under early expectations? I never thought, that there was any possibility, that a Justice League Movie could open to under $100m, but still it did. But we'll see, how things go from here, after Avengers are done and the big marketing push for Solo starts.

Mh, unaided awareness is not the score I would look at in an environment, where Infinity War, Deadpool and Solo open within a month. It's SW, of Course people know it's coming... I still doubt, it's opening that high, but I have been wrong on SW before.

I really don't get it. People are fighting over the fact, that they saw it all coming, The $250m (or more like 260m) and the $230m-predictors get humiliated. Reality Check here. We are talking about 10%. Have you ever seen something like this, when one user predicted $45m for a movie and another one $50m?

And adjusted numbers at best an estimate, taking average ticket prices, while you can bet, that the average Ticket Price for HP is way higher with all the premium formats and 3D.

Maybe they shifted some of the very late night numbers to Saturday.

I don't think they grow older, It's more of a genaral hype thing. You need a 4Q crowd to pull those enormous crowds and in the case of IW, it's likely, that those additional crowds are older ones that passed on other Marvel movies, but now show up for the Must See Character of IW.

How is this even possible at this point with the favorable exchange rates and the overperformance all over the world?

It's the equivalent of a $9,5m-$10,5m range. Nothing unusual.

Sequels often lose the casual moviegoers. I think IW won them back by selling it as the Must See movie of the year. That's what I meant with my post. Of course it IS a sequel, but the hype is definetely wider spread, than it was for Ultron.

In my opinion, Infinity War doesn't play like a sequel, it feels more like an original movie, that's why i'm expecting the numbers to go up as the day progresses. It has the certain kind of hype around it, that reminds me of the run of the orininal Avengers or JW. We'll see, will be an interesting night.

Seriously, you could see it coming with the very first trailer. I was quite confused by the muted predictions od the other users.

Reads like something resulting out of a Oval Office meeting of recent months. It's beyond me, how this will do this place any good, but well, have fun I guess. Reason has left many parts of the country, so why would it stop here? You have a great privilege in being able to provide early numbers. You don't have to share them, but you can. You can behave like a prviledged person because of it, but you could also just do it, because you are a nice person and feel good about sharing that information, because it makes others happy.

Hollywood Reporter: I feel Pretty: 5,5m-7m/17-20m Super Troopers: 10-15m Traffik: 4m Rampage: 54% drop or more (would mean 16,5m or less) https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/weekend-box-office-super-troopers-2-beats-i-feel-pretty-thursday-previews-1104402

Variety: 20m AQP 17m I Feel Pretty 11m Super Troopers 2 4m Traffik http://variety.com/2018/film/box-office/box-office-i-feel-pretty-quite-place-1202772858/ Feels more like it...

I wouldn't be surprised if ST2 is extremely presale heavy and more in the 5m-range in the end.

Mh, the trailers sell it, as if all is going down and Thanos wins. That's exactly what I expect of IW to be honest. The Avengers will be in ruins when Infinity War ends. Avengers 4 will be the resurrection, that's already going to be teasered at the end of Infinity War. I actually would bet a little money on a funeral scene to finish the movie.

We knew the underground-shot from the pictures, but I thought this would be for promotional purpose. Didn't they spoiler pretty much the probable twist with Hathaway being with them in the end?

It's a horrible trailer for such a movie. It takes itself way too serious and has literally no fun written above it. It's like they tried to be Jurassic Park with a budget of $20m. I once thought this could be a guilty pleasure surprise, but when a trailer for Sharknado 3 looks like more fun, you have a serious problem... Oh, and are the $150m Budget-Rumors really true? I have a hard time believing it. The visuals do certainly not look like a $150m budget.

Of course there is. The whole selling point of the movie is having cast 2 big teenie stars with Hale and that Teen Wolf Guy. They would be very stupid, not to get a PG-13.

Kids movies traditionally have a very soft drop after easter. Easter weekend actually isn't too kind for kids movies. Boss Baby -39% Easter, -21% After Zootopia -35% Easter/ -20% After Home -48% Easter/ -31% After

A quiet Place finally arrived at Movietickets #4 with 7,2%. That's ver encouraging. I just had a random 1m-look at Pulse and counted: 24 A Quiet Place 11 Blockers Not too shabby...

That's what I thought, too, but on the other hand, might be inflated due to easter holidays. My big fat greek wedding 2 opened to $3m+ in Australia, but that might be due to the big greek population there.

It unfortunately always depends who is calculating and which movies they use as a comparison. Espacially with a rare constellation like this weekend.

Looking at the inflated weekday numbers, this seems pretty solid for the openers. Not too great for Tomb Raider, but okayish.