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YM!

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Everything posted by YM!

  1. Back to Alita, considering the budget the numbers are not fantastic but they’re better than tracking and will likely be in the green with a $100M/$450M-$500M performance as well as a win for Fox before they become part of a soulless monopoly. March better be big I can see some nice breakouts: CM O/U $150M OW Us over $60M OW Dumbo over $70M OW
  2. I can’t wait for Detective Pikachu to end the funnybook craze. I’m tired of fanboys.
  3. If in the very unlikely case Disney has the guts and Elsa is a lesbian, I bet it’ll be like how they did LeFou in BaTB 2017 and only subtlety hint at it.
  4. I sort off get what you mean but that’s only because it’s more or less in line with the character models of modern Disney princess films. Not cheap per say but bland. That said it’s an improvement from the first as lighting and technology improves.
  5. I honestly think this has a great chance at $200M OW moreso than any Disney film barring TLK and Endgame.
  6. You know, I really believe cold weather is partially why numbers are low that and franchise fatigue (which all in all I think we may see this year but not just franchise but remakes as well). Looking at the inevitable summer pileup and the barren January to February and as well as November, you think studio would spread out more.
  7. Pretty sure Endgame is going to be #1, but #2-6 is looking to be competitive: Frozen II, The Lion King, Episode IX, Captain Marvel, Detective Pikachu and Toy Story 4 all have chances at $400M (the latter two are long shots but semi plausible).
  8. Considering it’s out now, they probably will attach it to Captain Marvel, likely with an Endgame trailer.
  9. North Shore Cinema update Alita Battle Angel 7:00 - 6/301 - UltraScreen 3D 7:30 - 13/146 10:00 - 0/301 - UltraScreen 3D 10:35 - 2/146 I’m going to bed as I have classes early but I imagine that 10:35 will stay flat, all and all ouch for previews.
  10. To be fair, Frozen didn’t have a TV series to dilute the brand as well as the appeal to stay relevant.
  11. That feeling when Lord/Miller have announced a film, that’s the same as one of your upcoming films.
  12. Yeah, I just don’t see those TS4 numbers especially after the 1-2-3 hit of Pika-Aladdin-Pets 2. The trailers haven’t caught fire the way Incredibles 2 or even Dory has.
  13. Not to mention, considering the lack of big movies since The Lion King, audiences will be hungry for a blockbuster, as well as the fact the sort of young adult tone may bring back The now 13-14 year old girls who saw Frozen.
  14. I think DOM will be: 1.) Endgame $670M 2.) Frozen 2: $650M 3.) The Lion King: $625M 4.) IX: $600M 5.) Pikachu: $385M WW: Endgame: $2B The Lion King: $1.8B Frozen II: $1.5B Hobbs and Shaw: $1.1B Pikachu: $975M
  15. Two factors in my opinion will determine this, how frontloaded this will be and how barren the family market will be. A lot of the 7-8 year old girls who’ve seen Frozen are early teens now, and some mild nostalgia can take place and potential play more like Catching Fire than Frozen. There’s also a lack of big hits from Lion King to Frozen II except for Joker which is a wild card. In my honest opinion, there’s a plausible and somewhat realistic chance that Pets 2, Pikachu, Toy Story 4 and Aladdin all go sub or barely reach $300M DOM as Lion King does around barely over $600M due to how competitive the landscape is. As I’ve said early there’s a likely chance no family movie between TLK and Frozen II crosses $100M DOM, the best chances are Spies In Disguise from Blue Sky and Dreamworks Abominable in September, both apart by two weeke. Blue Sky hasn’t had a domestic hit since Peanuts in 2015 and I still believe it may end up on Disney+ as Abonimable is the third yeti animated feature in a year and the closeness of the two films will hurt in other. Those factors can cause to skyrocket OW along with how big and beloved Frozen is can potentially give us our first $200M OW for an animated movie.
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