That’s a bit to high for Ralph and a bit too low for Grinch. Both open within the span of two weeks within each other, and that’s too high of a jump for Ralph. Both will also be hurt by Bumblebee, Poppins and Spiderverse. Something like Lorax adjusted numbers for Grinch and $235M-$250M for Ralph 2. Poppins also isn’t sparking social media on fire. I can see $175M for Spiderverse but that’s due to legs. However an advantage all of them share is that after CR nothing for families will be big. Smallfoot is probably screwed, Goosebumps 2 is eh and Clock seems too off putting for families.
Lion King is going to destroy all of them easily. In fact I can see Lion King over Aladdin + Pets 2 + TS4. That’s going to be a bonafide 4 quadrant monster.