Jay Beezy

Joaquin Phoenix is already well established enough for that to not really be an issue. Alicia Vikander was fairly early into her Hollywood career when she won. I remember Alan Arkin saying he was happy Abigail Breslin didn't win for Little Miss Sunshine for that reason.

I hope Phoenix gets snubbed so the Joker stans have a meltdown. They’ve conditioned themselves into thinking he will be getting all the awards, like it’s a sure thing.

Joker stans are ridiculously annoying when it comes to Joaquin Phoenix awards.

Exactly. 😆

They ought to change Comedy/Musical to Blockbuster or something like it since the category seems to be made up of the flashier movies or blockbusters or what have you regardless of actual genre. The question is was it reclassified on that day or was it simply reported that day? Those can be two different things.

When are votes finalized? Could there also be a time discrepancy in terms of when they reclassified it and when it was announced to be reclassified? Could the reclassification be based on votes?

Is it the Golden Globes who classify it that way or the studio that submits it? Even still, despite the change in rules after The Martian, it still feels like movies that aren't comedies first and foremost are being put into that category. Like Knives Out, which is a mystery first and foremost with some funny moments, is being viewed as a comedy while Marriage Story, a comedy-drama, is being treated as a drama. Last year, Get Out was nominated for Comedy/Musical. Regarding Uncut Gems, people seem to think that Sandler has *no* chance now because voters had supposedly already locked in their picks when the change happened, at least mentally locked in. Their predictions still seem to be based on how voters seemed to have felt *before* the change. The reality is we have no idea how voters feel about Sandler compared to the rest of the potential nominees. I'm not saying Sandler will be getting a nomination, but the impulsive reaction to the change shouldn't be that Sandler has *no* chance to get nominated now. I mean no disrespect to Jonathan Pryce, but he hasn't been nominated for any other awards yet for The Two Popes. And Christian Bale's role in Ford v Ferrari doesn't seem as central as Sandler's does in Uncut Gems.

I’ll go with: Antonio Banderas - Pain and Glory Robert DeNiro - The Irishman Adam Driver - Marriage Story Joaquin Phoenix - Joker Adam Sandler - Uncut Gems

Sandler just won National Board of Review for Best Actor so he might slip in.

National Board of Review Awards: Best Actor for Adam Sandler Best Original Screenplay for Josh Safdie, Benny Safdie and Ronald Bronstein http://www.nationalboardofreview.org/2019/12/national-board-of-review-announces-2019-award-winners/ Sandler's Oscar chances going up.

What's wrong with applying that bold approach throughout most of the film instead of just the first five minutes, which is only a prologue to set up a story that is ultimately too familiar? The problem with James Cameron here is that he has previously insisted that T2 was the end for him. So there's a sense that he came back not because he legitimately had a great idea, but because he was tired of the Terminator franchise getting tainted by lackluster sequels. And you suggest that because Cameron shot down the idea of a 180 spin on the formula, it was a bad idea. How about a reason why a 180 spin is a bad idea that isn't because James Cameron said so? Is Tim Miller wrong to say that setting up the movie with humanity losing sets up what's at stake for humanity?

It'd be one thing if James Cameron shot down a 180 spin after exploring the possibilities himself and feeling like it didn't work, but I don't get that sense. On the other hand, I'll agree that it seems like Tim Miller didn't really sell the possibilities to Cameron on that front.

It's just unfortunate that he wasn't receptive to a 180 spin on the Terminator formula. I guess if Avatar is any indication, James Cameron is not into original storytelling these days.

I like Miller’s idea about beginning with humanity losing. It would have created a role reversal, instead of the protector angle that we got yet again.

I think subversion of expectations should be a requirement of any style of reboot to an old property, not just adding a seemingly progressive angle.

It certainly doesn’t help that they’re being made by filmmakers who can’t seem to make anything unique out of them. Like, where’s the Lord/Miller mindset in these filmmakers?

With Hemsworth, it doesn’t help that his movies outside of Marvel have been bad for the most part. Like what if Men In Black International production went as it was supposed to and wasn’t sabotaged by a producer who just felt like it? Also, one could make the argument that Ross wasn’t very likable either. I’ve gotten the sense Schwimmer feels the same way.

That was the only good element of T3.

I think the willingness to play the same archetype from your long running show is why Jennifer Aniston has maintained a significant star status over her costars, on top of being the most popular star on the show. As an actress in comedy, she was arguably the most favored female lead for the male comedy stars who dominated that landscape when they did, so she was willing to continue playing the Rachel archetype and use that success as leverage. Conversely, David Schwimmer seemed very eager to shake off the Ross archetype, but we weren't ready something different from him. That episode of Entourage he was in where people in Ari's agency kept pitching roles too similar to Ross and Schwimmer kept telling them to go fuck themselves certainly has a level of reality to it. Other times, it is just luck. Who could have foreseen what's happened to John Krasinski in recent years?

You mean proved his starpower?

If movies are like burgers, IP/brand names are like the buns, starpower is like the cheese, and the meat of the movie is, well, uh... what would the meat of the movie be? 😜

Starpower these days is less about ability to put butts in seats than it is about leverage that is earned from certain successes. Like Ryan Reynolds solidified his starpower with Deadpool even if his other movies don’t do particularly well. *Maybe* Emilia Clarke has that from Game of Thrones, though that was TV thus the transition is likely harder and the leverage may not be that significant.

And it’s much harder to become A-list these days because starpower doesn’t sell like it used to. Starpower is like a condiment to a movie in terms of marketing it.

That is definitely low for this kind of movie.

I looked at her filmography. She's done a lot of projects, but nothing as high profile for her as Orphan Black. Any noteworthy project name she only had a small role in.