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Everything posted by Litio
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Litio replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
More like OD/Total, but I'm not sure, that's why I think is just likely. I mean, sales in fandango are pretty heavy for tuesday shows: 4804 2019-07-01 MON Spider-Man Far From Home 31702 2019-07-02 TUE Spider-Man Far From Home 7055 2019-07-03 WED Spider-Man Far From Home -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Litio replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
For sure. The Amazing Spider Man did $35m on a tuesday OD 7 years ago and its total was $262m. Spider Man 8 is going be higher and likely more frontloaded. Yes, with $3m, I can see $40m+ 5-day happening. Walkups were strong yesterday. fdg = fandango 😅 -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Litio replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Opening is tomorrow. Today is previews. Maybe it is releasing tomorrow to take some advantage before Spider Man and Stranger Things 3 release next week. I don't know right. Another month would be better imo. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Litio replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Annabelle Comes Home fdg sales for tuesday compared to The First Purge says $2.4m-$2.5m. Maybe my judgement is wrong, but I see ~$3m. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Litio replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
''4 Conjuring movies combined'' meant TC 1 (2013) + Annabelle (2014) + TC 2 (2016) + Annabelle C (2017). The Nun came out only ~1-2 years after AC and TC2. Since then, fandango presales don't increased far enough to justify a spin off selling more on presales than its whole franchise combined since it didn't open so far above the previous movies. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Litio replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Presales for TN were too high ‘The Nun’ Outpaces All Four ‘Conjuring’ Movies Combined in Fandango Presales -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Litio replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Lol. Based on fandango sales for now, I see about $12m for TS4 with some comparisons I did. Child's Play $1.5m+, but maybe I'm wrong, let's see final sales. -
Child's Play | June 21, 2019 | Orion Pictures
Litio replied to Box Office Hit's topic in Box Office Discussion
4 fresh, 0 rotten. Lol. Is UAR buying reviews? I hope yes. They need a hit. -
Child's Play | June 21, 2019 | Orion Pictures
Litio replied to Box Office Hit's topic in Box Office Discussion
UAR is doing an aggressive marketing campaign -
"(...)For the record, the version of the film that Boone turned in was allegedly decent enough, with solid test scores and only a few pick-ups in the works to solidify what worked. The choice to go horror was allegedly first broached by Boone himself from the beginning but was accepted by Fox retroactively only after another studio’s “young kids confront a supernatural monster” flick hit pay dirt. That said, there was value in making the film stand out as an outright horror film so that the X-Men spin-off would be as distinct as Deadpool or the Wolverine movies. (...)" Source: As 'Dark Phoenix' Bombs, Should 'The New Mutants' Premiere On Hulu Or Disney+? BOT's psychic members told us movie is unsaveable and awful.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Litio replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I would say $2.4-2.5m for MIBI -
I was just making an assumption if Disney decided to reshoot NM. They really don't need it if they don't want to. A mid budgeted movie doesn't have to make $ 1bi to be considered a success and well ... Disney spent $ 170m doing Dumbo. How did you get to that number? The only costs that Disney would have with this movie, releasing it in the theaters (as it is) would be the marketing and release costs. Do you know how much is spent worldwide to release and marketing small films? According to the deadline: Unfriended ($ 44m) Insidious 3 ($ 44m) The Second Best Exotic Marigold Hotel ($ 54m) Paper Towns ($ 51.50m) And those are the total approximate costs. These expenses increase after the film is released according to reception / success. Films don't significantly increase initial release costs if the film doesn't do as expected. People told me that Dark Phoenix would have the same FF 2015 quality level and it didn't. Seriously, if New Mutants is so garbage, horrible, unsaveable, why didn't Disney simply put it on Hulu? If the film is unsaveable, why are they still wondering what to do with it? If Disney is forced to release this "unsaveable piece of crap" in theaters, why haven't they released it on a limited theatrical run with little or no marketing?
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If Fox refused to pull the trigger on reshoots for NM, why would Disney when DP just bombed, and by all accounts NM is a worse mess then DP was? What part of "Maybe it's impossible to save" don't you understand? You really do have no idea of the realities of the film business. And you continue to ignore that just releasing and marketing a film is going to cost as much as NM cost to make. Maybe Disney would reshoot New Mutants to prevent it from becoming a bomb like DP? Like I said before, New Mutants is not a kind of expensive movie. It's not fair to compare it to a movie like Solo. Wasn't I clear when I said: "I'm not saying it will be bigger because of... trailer views, but I mean there's a lot of curiosity about this movie"? I mean there's big potential for NM.... just like there was bigger potential for Red Sparrow.
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Dark Phoenix is going to do about $300m WW with weak reception from audience. A well received New Mutants movie could to do that or even more. In youtube, New Mutants has more trailer views than Dark Phoenix. I'm not saying it will be bigger because of... trailer views, but I mean there's a lot of curiosity about this movie. Horror movies has a audience and superheroes movies too. A well received NM movie can bring enough people to do $300m+ WW.