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Everything posted by Litio
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Black Widow | July 9 2021 | ScarJo secures the bag from Disney
Litio replied to Kalo's topic in Box Office Discussion
How are they going to pay the high budget and marketing costs and still make a good profit? Disney receives absolutely nothing from porn ads on torrent download sites and I doubt they would make enough money by launching this product directly on D +. Trolls 2 died too fast domesticaly and piracy killed any potential overseas. Also, Trolls 2 only did "well" on VOD (only domestically) because of the quarantine and people being at home. In a normal situation and competition, it probably would have done just over half of what it did. https://www.forbes.com/sites/travisbean/2020/05/06/vod-movie-sales-skyrocketed-67-during-march-2020 https://screenrant.com/trolls-world-tour-box-office-streaming-profit-universal/ -
Reposting: Combined, the films made $ 665k last weekend in the UK, an average of ~ $ 222k per day. If that average drops 55% on weekdays (estimated drop. In the week between July 31st and August 6th, The film at # 1 fell about 60% in the average per day between the weekend and the weekdays, the film at # 2 dropped by less than 5%, the movie at # 3 increased by more than 10%), that would average ~ $ 100k daily on weekdays, meaning Tenet could have made $ 150k with pre sales on the first day. Obviously, that would be if Tenet sold 60% of the day's sales in all cinemas. If Tenet sold an average of $ 150k a day in pre-orders, that would be close to $ 2m with pre-sales until the launch day. If the combined total of the films on Wednesday is ~ $ 88k, a 60% drop from the daily average for the weekend, it would mean that Tenet made ~ $ 132k in pre-sales on the first day. If it keeps this average by day in pre-sales, by the day of release, it will have accumulated ~ $ 1.7m in pre-sales. Again, that would be if Tenet sold 60% of the day's sales in ALL theaters, not just the Vue theaters, but considering there are lot of theaters to reopen, it doesn't seem like an exaggerated estimate. Source: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/by-year/2020/?area=GB “You’re going to see a slow start and then it’s going to pick up very, very quickly in the week before release [as more venues open],” https://variety.com/2020/film/global/tenet-fever-christopher-nolan-vue-cinemas-ticket-sales-1234732897/amp/?__twitter_impression=true +: If Vue dominates 17% of UK cinemas, that would mean ~ $ 25k in presales on first day ONLY in Vue cinemas (in my projection). This is great
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I did a projection with the numbers that were given. There are films playing in UK cinemas. I used these numbers as a basis: https://www.britinfo.net/cinema/ukbox.htm Presales’ comparisons in the USA (not UK) are usually made between pre-sales, not between sales of films playing and pre-sales. This comparison took just 1 or 2 days before release, unless your movie is something like Endgame. Seriously, how much are you expecting Tenet will do on OW?
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Are you serious? This means that Tenet sold more than all films playing combined on Wednesday. The trend is to increase when it is closer to release. If all films playing made $ 100k combined on wednesday, Tenet already has done $ 150k. It was just the first day of presales and there are many theaters to open in the next few weeks. This number is huge!
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This. The other countries will be reopening theaters gradually. Legs are going to matter much more than a big opening. 'Unhiged' opened at $ 231k and has ~ $ 575k accumulated already after the second weekend. '100% Wolf' opened with $ 43k and has ~ $ 166k accumulated in the second weekend, both in the UK. Legs will matter a lot in these countries and, at least in UK, they are very strong and optimistic. It is really curious to see so many people being pessimistic about these numbers when the reality is different. If someone here is rooting for cinemas end and studios release movies directly on the torrent, this thread is not your place
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The not cool insignia is for you saying people trust in DC. I will switch to 'WTF' if you prefer. What I see is that if people trusted in DC, Shazam and Birds of Prey would have a bigger box office. People went to see WW, Joker and Aquaman because of the buzz the films were having and because of word of mouth and good reviews. Brand films get more buzz than original films. It doesn't mean that people trust in DC.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Litio replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Until the Tuesday before the release, there were still reports showing an opening below $ 40m to Shazam, even below $ 30m. Based on current reports, Birds of Prey is having a better hold on daily sales than their comparisons. If it keeps up the pace, I can see it doing $60m+ OW. But we will have a better look on Wednesday. If reviews are not as good as reactions were, walkups will be affected. That said, a box office below Shazam will be embarrassing. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Litio replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Both Shazam and Joker started previews at 4 pm while BOP will be starting its previews at 6 pm. I think $ 8m previews should be enough to do about $ 70m OW. -
China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30
Litio replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
The Earth is flat and vaccines cause autism too