salvador-232

Early numbers in Argentina: 300k admission OD (will go UP) 91% over Infinity War. Now just imagine a world where the dollar hasn't gone up 110% against the Peso Argentino... (Tough is close enough that with inflation it could manage a small increase in dollars if it sustains that over all it's run, which is a bit unlikely)

Sticking it to Disney by giving money to Disney . Amazing logic

Venezuela because obvious reasons. Argentina currency is worth less than half than last year, and with the economic crisis I can't see anything else than a decline. Turkey currency also has been devaluated by 43% in the last year, but I don't know the market, maybe it can overtake that ( I don't think so but maybe?)

Well, there can't be a major movie Opening without ER collapsing, can it?. -11% in the last 2 days... At this rate, Argentina will be a new Perú in $USD

Well, Avenger OD showtime count (EXCLUDING MIDNIGHTS) is 1115, widest ever. Unfortunately, I didn't count the number of midnights so it will be a little hard to make a "good" projection. I think I will stand by my earlier projection of 5,2m USD (equivalent to a 411m OW domestically), but tomorrow there will be actuals for OD.

South America opens today. Midnights were all past 00:00 so they will be rolled into OD today.

I did some math yesterday. For now, I'm predicting 5,2m USD OW for Chile and over 700k admissions. But is very dependent on how much showtimes it has for Friday-Sunday. Will know on Wednesday probably.

Top Weekend April 18-21th. The Curse of La Llorona Shazam Dumbo Captain Marvel After La llorona was first with a solid but unknown debut, while Shazam held the second spot. I hate that WB doesn't report Chile's grosses. Dumbo held flat with a drop of just 3% for 429k USD. Capain Marvel increased 2% to 214k USD, aided by Endgame hype and Holy Week. Ironically is likely to be the prime target for screen cuts next weekend. Just the top 3 likely grossed more than the entire BO combined on this week last year. Will be interesting to see if theater chains keep them in some screens after Thursdays or go full in with Avengers.

Avengers: Endgame | 4 days before Release | 16,8% of the Market 223 (+3) showtimes for OD | 53167 (+591) seats available (Est.)| 44.646 (+1985) tickets sold (Est.) Close to 2k tickets in the last 8 day, 84% of capacity sold. Despite that, the chain has only managed to add 3 showtimes. I think this is basically it, I think it's simply impossible to add more. Nationwide, there are 1123 showings listed for OD, and I estimate it could grow to ~1300. Widest release ever. It remains to be seen if it will hold all those showings for the rest of the weekend (I think not, especially given that holdovers are strong). So, how could OD go? Using CM ticket price (which was nearly 10% higher than IW in USD) and Dragon Ball Super Broly attendance per showing (202, highest I know) we could be looking to 262k admissions OD and 1,8m USD. Absolutely bonkers. Now I think this will open too big to decrease in admissions, even with increased competition.

Local media reviews say is fairly mediocre / bad and the few reactions I have seen say it is bad. Too bad, this had a lot of potential, but it was clear from very early that they weren't making any effort.

Wow, that's a whole lot of assumptions. I suggest you to read my comments on the controversy on this very same thread to see what I think of the controversy. Y en serio, borra eso, quierete un poco. O haz el esfuerzo de leer algo del thread en el que estas comentando...

South American ODs are perfectly fine and good. It isn't reaching Conjuring Universe heights but is better than 80% of Hollywood Horror, despite very lackluster marketing. Problem is that it won't have any legs because of EG.

Some of last weekend actuals 2.- Dumbo $422,666 -24.9% - - - $1,989,623 3.-After $262,402 - 77 - $3,408 $262,402 4.- Captain Marvel $210,143 -40.3% - - - $6,840,523 5.- Pet Sematary (running cume) $491,875 6.- Five Feet Apart $79,174 -48.3% 42 -18 $1,885 $821,553 Above all of them stood Shazam, that must have had a great hold given that Dumbo also fell very softly. After debut was just fine. Hellboy bombed at seventh while Overseas animation, "Corgi", was eight with a poor result, but thanks to it the Chilean BO was able to keep its 5-year streak of having at least one animated movie in the top 10. Unfortunately, I think the record is bound to fall on Endgame OW. Now for this weekend on OD: La Llorona debuts at first. Seems a good result but unfortunately, it won't have any legs. Corgi wasn't dumped by theaters by virtue of being the only animated movie in semi-wide release while Mirai of the Future managed to get on tenth place despite having a very limited number of showings, excellent!

Around 4m maybe. IW OW with Captain Marvel's avge ticket price gives 3,5m USD... BTW, for Chile, after checking some matinee's showings for the weekday part of the OW, $5m is looking better. I will still wait for the final number of showings to give my verdict but is definitively possible.

Is basically impossible for Argentina to do $6m USD. ER is less than half than last year and inflation hasn't been able to catch it. $5m in Chile depends on the average ticket price. With last year's I would say that is physically impossible to do (outside summer at least). But Captain Marvel had higher prices in USD even with worse ER so there's hope.

Speaking of Conan, Corpse: I'm estimating a weekend gross of ¥1,370,000,000 ($12.3 million) on 1,065,000 admissions. That's the traditional 2-day, and doesn't include any figures from its Friday opening day. If this number holds, then it'll achieve: >Biggest April Opening Weekend.>Biggest Opening Weekend in the Detective Conan Franchise.>3rd Film to Exceed 1 Million Admissions on Opening Weekend This Decade.>3rd/4th Biggest Opening Weekend for a Japanese Film.>3rd/4th Biggest Opening Weekend for an Animated Film.The 3rd/4th place ranking will depend on if it bested One Piece Film Z (very, very close), currently the 3rd ranked film on the Japanese and Animated Film Opening Weekend Charts. And while daily numbers are almost never revealed, I'm confident in saying that its Sunday gross/admissions is the second biggest this decade, only behind the first Yo-Kai Watch film from 2014. Also, given that imported films tend to drop/stay level on Sunday, it's likely that this film had a potential All-Time Top 5 Sunday performance.

Avengers: Endgame | 12 days before Release | 16,8% of the Market 220 showtimes for OD | 52.576 seats available (Est.)| 42.2661 (+2049) tickets sold (Est.) While the number of tickets sold in the last week could seem disappointing, it is around 80% of capacity already, there just isn't much room to grow in this chain. A curious thing to notice is that the chain has not added more seats or showtimes, and I think is probably because it just isn't possible to add more. 220 showtimes for OD for this chan is already the widest release I have seen by a wide margin, and for OD I think they could squeeze a few showtimes, it is very close to its ceiling. This is other of the thing bothering me about End Game opening. Infinity War already played on 80% of all the screen of the country and while several multiplexes have been opened in the last year, the longer runtime could compensate that. With ER 10% worse I don't know if the OW can grow significantly from IW 4,5m USD. Besides, with heavy competition earlier on its run, I think that a decrease in admissions is not totally out of the question (IW staying power later on this run was very tied to the lack of competition outside Deadpool)

Last Weekend actuals April 5-8 Dumbo 1 4 $563,077 -24.9% - - - $1,469,637 Captain Marvel 2 4 $351,802 -39.2% - - - $6,554,102 Pet Sematary 0 4 n/a - - - - $296,142 Five Feet Apart 3 4 $153,001 -36.2% 60 -12 $2,550 $710,863 3 Wonder Park 0 4 n/a - - - - $456,895 Shazam had a solid debut, above dumbo and probably around 600k (But we'll never know how much) Pet Sematary did well for horror while Five Feet Apart couldn't sustain momentum after increasing last week.

I estimate 42661 presales for the chain I track in Chile. It sold 2419 tickets in the last week (hard number) Will do a more detailed post later on the Chile thread

Latin American holds are pretty strong too

Hi @terrestrial , If you wish to post data for Uruguay and Paraguay, this site is better: https://web.ultracine.com/ It gives admission data for Argentina, Uruguay, Paraguay and Bolivia. For Perú I suggest following https://twitter.com/SoyAlPacine , he gives admission data for the top 3 every weekend, OD data every Thursday and general updates on how the yearly BO is doing. Is all mixed between his tweeter of general use though.

Ok found time to do it: Impressions are the same as above but Dragons was actually stronger in Asia while Europe was basically up for grabs for everyone (minus Ralph) http://i.imgur.com/o9ULVtR.jpg Sweden is missing because HTTYD still has a small chance passing The Grinch and Greece because HTTYD hasn't been released there yet. Also, this is all from Mojo, so doesn't account for changes in ER etc

And all of them got there with wildly different paths. HT3 was extremely latin american-heavy. Grinch was domestic heavy WIR2 was meh almost everywhere but did better in Asia This was stronger in Europe and weaker domestically I'm going to do a map comparing its grosses (eventually), I think it will be interesting.

They were good, but they were nowhere as good as say, Broly. Dragon Ball Super Broly would be the best comp but unfortunately, I didn't track that and had way fewer showtimes for OD since theaters sub estimated the demand BIG time. In Fact End Game still is quite behind the proportion of sellouts and near sellouts that Broly had. But we are nearly 3 weeks away, It will obviously go way beyond that by OD and in much more screens

I finally have my own estimate of Endgame Presales at the usual chain Avengers: Endgame | 19 days before Release | 16,8% of the Market 220 showtimes for OD | 52.576 seats available (Est.)| 40.242 tickets sold (Est.) Remember, unlike my other PS tracking, these are all estimated number, based on the average seating per screen at each multiplex of the chain. Is not hard numbers like my Captain Marvel or Shazam figures. Still, these numbers are just mindblowing, it has sold an estimated 76,5% of its available seats, and it is 10 times CM final presales. Infinity War OD was 130k admission across all chains. Endgame already has 40k in the bag from the smallest chain 19 days before opening... (Unfortunately, this chain is by far the one that put more showings for presales, so so I can't do linear extrapolation to estimate nationwide presales since this chain has a disproportionate share of presales compared with its market share)