salvador-232
-
Posts
918 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Events
Blogs
Gallery
Annual Subscriptions
Media Demo
Everything posted by salvador-232
-
Endgame second weekend was 4m USD if the trades are to be believed. No idea about total cume so ar but should be 13-14m USD already. Astonishing. On other news, Detective Pikachu has passed Shazam in total presales despite fewer seats available and with many hours to go. I will wait until the evening to see how high it will go.
-
I've been thinking about this. If they released a sequel half as good as the original in July, in time for Winter's Holidays in South America, it would make an obscene amount of money. Minions on steroids and more. I hope they don't do a sequel though, Pixar sequel always disappoints unless they are called Toy Story (and honestly I'm not really sold on TS4) but I fear that the Chinese money will be too tempting. -
Coco in Chile is more impressive
-
POKEMON DETECTIVE PIKACHU - 283.2M OS - 425.5M WW
salvador-232 replied to PanaMovie's topic in International Box Office
Don't be sad @Nova, Shazam was very walk up friendly (a normal super hero presale would have indicated a 300k USD OW, while in reality, it did above 600k USD). Besides, the comp is only for OD, Pikachu has a lot of presales for the rest of the weekend, and that is quite unusual. And I insist, the buzz is very strong (both online and among real people) and families are hungry for something that isn't Endgame. -
POKEMON DETECTIVE PIKACHU - 283.2M OS - 425.5M WW
salvador-232 replied to PanaMovie's topic in International Box Office
There's a lot of buzz in Chile but pre-sales are just fine (seem on track to finish around Shazam). I think (and hope) that this will be a walk-up monster -
Don't know how many admission. Will know when it breaks another record or maybe after this weekend. My prediction for total gross right now is ~18m USD
-
The thing with market growth is that no one assures you that it will benefit the movie you want. Otherwise, Dory should have done like 200m in China or Star Wars like 20m in Chile (In fact, Star Wars is now smaller than the prequels in admissions despite the market being 2,7 times bigger!!!)
-
Difficult but not totally impossible if it hits 3m admissions. I give it a 10-20% chance of happening.
-
Just a quick update on the only thing people care: Endgame had a 6,5m USD OW, beating previous IW record by 44% in dollars (despite 10% worse ER) JUST INSANE. It is equivalent to a 513m opening domestic... Honestly, I think this is as close as the maximum ceiling that the market can do. Hard to see it being topped in a long time. Now one question remains: Can Endgame be the first movie ever to reach 3m admissions?
-
Avatar did 2,8m admission and did like 13-14m USD (Fun fact, Avatar didn't even won the year in Argentina) Endgame is locked to pass 3m admission. Ticket price was 5,7 in OW but is bound to fall (normal is more like 4 dollars) so could do 17m USD plus maybe? It would be much more with 2017 tickets prices, but since last year inflation hasn't been able to catch the ER
-
Ticket inflation is actually lower than general inflation which is the second highest in the world after Venezuela. Funny because they elected their current president precisely to not become Venezuela. Worked wonderfully so far
-
Will be crushed without mercy by Minions 2 in Latin America. Edit: sorry, confused
-
Inflation in Argentina until 2018 was greater than the fall in ER. Toy Story 3 did 16m USD with 3,5m admissions in 2010. Coco did 17,9m USD with 3,1m admissions just before the big devaluation last year.
-
Is just silly to assume that market expansion will benefit all movies equally. In Chile, Revenge of the Sith did 840k admissions in 2005 in a market of 10m admissions. 12 years later, in 2017, the market now has 27m admissions, 2,7 times bigger and The Last Jedi did 770k admissions... At least with inflation and exchange rates you are playing with money the movie actually earned. But enough of this.
-
And how exactly they adjusted by inflation? Did they adjust country by country or just applied domestic inflation to WW numbers which is even dumber?
-
China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30
salvador-232 replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
No, it was sandwiched between a lot of competition -
Weekend results: April, 25-29 Endgame The Curse of La Llorona Dumbo Shazam Captain Marvel Absolutely brutal, monstrous opening for Endgame. 935k admissions, biggest OW ever (Infinity War had the previous record with 597k) There are many holidays coming and I can see a path to 3m admissions. Just Wow. The weekend is locked to be over 6m USD! The only other thing of notice is that the OS animated movie Corgi held the line at 9th, keeping Chilean BO record alive for one more week.
-
Not really. Only in Argentina is the ER correlated with inflation (and even there since last year is not exactly the main factor). And well, Venezuela, but that's another problem entirely. LA growth has been mostly driven by increases in admissions and greater concentration in big movies (Your average LA country produce at least one new entry to the all time top 10 every year, while some old European markets can spend years without new entries to the top 20)
-
Yep, 66% above Infinity War, 171% above Dragon Ball Super Broly. Hard to get info for OD, for the full weekend I could have more comps.
-
Local press is reporting 250k admissions for Endgame in OD. Pretty much in line with my expectations. But that doesn't mean it isn't impressive. Is 66% above Infinity War (including midnights for both) and 92% of the market share. A movie doing 250k on its first full week could be considered a blockbuster. The full weekend could reach 800k admissions. USD total could be around ~1,7m USD (maybe more, dependent on ticket price).
-
I overestimated it
-
brazil Brazil Box Office Thread
salvador-232 replied to Fullbuster's topic in International Box Office
Endgame: 1.545.000 admissions. -
South America admissions: Compared with my Chile prediction: Huh, not bad considering I have like a third of the data you guys have. Perú could be like $1,6m-$1,7m USD. Chile ~$1,7m.
-
Average ticket price for Captain Marvel was under $3 USD, Endgame will be slightly higher but nowhere close $4,5. Argentina currency doesn't stop skydiving so is impossible to know, just in the last 3 days, it fell close 10%
-
Bolivia is up 68% from IW, Uruguay 45%, Paraguay 39% All of them should go up with final numbers
