I expect that the impulse to differentiate between both previous iterations (like we saw with SMH) is going to mean Val and Franklin in the 1st or 2nd movie and correspondingly an older side Reed, Sue, Johnny, and Ben.
Seems like Mother’s Day was a bit depressed. The Sat and Sun nums definitely put it in the running to miss 400 based on the appropriate historical comps. Will refresh some stuff soon with the mon actual.
It’s a not-quite-humongous OW. Probably outside top 25 adjusted, which undersells past OWs anyway. 40th percentile opening rank for an mcu nonAvengers sequel.
Top 9
DS2
Bad Guys
Firestarter
Sonic 2
EEAAO
FB3: Dumbledore
Lost City
Northman
Weight of Massive Talent
Memory probably rounds it out, in theory maaaaybe Stu?. I don’t know how wide family camp will be or how much it can make.
They’re pointing out that there has been less variance in total/sun than total/sat for mcu summer kickoffs, suggesting that the former is likely a more reliable metric. I probably would have posted the coefficient of variation for each to be explicit but it’s pretty clear which is more consistent from eyeballing.
Using @M37’s Total/sat avg gives 431M and Total/Sun gives 373M (off 57.5 and 39 respectively) for a geomean of… 401M 👀
Personally I would say that postOW gross/Sat and PostOW gross/Sun should be slightly more accurate since it uses the info that is currently “locked in” (first 3 days) more effectively — but I’m not going to calculate them right now, so
The true FSS is only low 150s, that’s a serious drag on legs relative to some of the comps being thrown around.
BW was also pretty previewloaded but summer weekdays.