Cooper Legion
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Everything posted by Cooper Legion
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Ah, so they have the state go ahead but not formally local yet 👍 I’m curious just how much of the population can move into orange tomorrow. -
If anything speed up. Should be about 38.8+ on March 26. If giveaways hit their budgeted supply, will be over 41B by Apr 9. More pessimistic if they do like 40% of supply, that’s still good for 800k admits and taking it to ~40B. I think it would be able to pick up another 1 from the very tail of the run.
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South East Asia Box Office Thread.
Cooper Legion replied to charlie Jatinder's topic in International Box Office
Damn -
Much to my surprise, the giveaways appear to be 1M each. The previous giveaways in the first couple months were calibrated to run out before the next one started, so I guess this indicates that they believe they can sell 1M admits the week of the the 27th, but I don’t think I believe that personally. But DS fandom in Japan is truly nuts, maybe a barely new version+ some paraphernalia really will be enough for a big revival 🤷♂️ If the giveaway goals hit it would actually get to 30M admits, which is a milestone I had long considered likely out of reach.
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Dolby paired with big giveaways in 2 and 3 weeks. Will likely see huge jump on 27th rather than stay flat.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Also to address some of the “surprised at theaters selling before it’s official” stuff — the new tier assignments from the vaccine update were officially announced Friday and went into effect Sun, so it’s all on the up and up. There will just be a 2nd assignment update this week on the usual Tuesday timetable. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
The equity quartile just hit 2m on Fri/Sat, and has been pacing some 20-30k per day. Even with some modest acceleration (To, say, a 40k avg), the 4m won’t be hit until late April/early May probably — after BW PS open but just in time for the OW it’s looking like. It won’t have any direct effect on movie reopening except making it pretty easy for everything to move to orange (50%) or yellow (100%) tier. Sacramento county’s metrics look pretty bad, so while I’m optimistic about LA moving to orange before GvK I really doubt Sac will. -
Black Widow | July 9 2021 | ScarJo secures the bag from Disney
Cooper Legion replied to Kalo's topic in Box Office Discussion
Disney marvel really put here saying “LATAM and EMEA who?” -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Disney committed to 0-day for exactly one movie. WB committed to 18 or whatever (though they can also reverse). GvK does seem like the first instance where it will really bite them. -
After the first two week were just fine, some really incredible late legs from DS here. I think it can settle in around $15M. If there’s no China release it could be the difference between #1 WW or not.
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Ah, such stimulating conversation about the Chinese box office specifically in these last few pages. Seems like Chinese Doctors did go to Labor Day, as @Gavin Feng was talking about being rumored. But after DC3+Hi Mom doing ¥10B from same date, I think Doctors and BW can probably coexist alright? If one gets bad reception the legs would suffer more than usual though.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
It seems pretty favorable compared to Raya, but yeah, who the heck knows where it’s going over the next couple weeks. -
Black Widow | July 9 2021 | ScarJo secures the bag from Disney
Cooper Legion replied to Kalo's topic in Box Office Discussion
100M Anything above Hulk’s OW would be pretty respectable though, if you want to be more conservative about it. -
Raya and the Last Dragon International thread.
Cooper Legion replied to charlie Jatinder's topic in International Box Office
Pretty good hold unless there are some new markets. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
LA not until next weekend, but it is gaining about 5% TC this weekend from somewhere. 6.7 seems crazy to me, would be quite satisfied with 6. -
Black Widow | July 9 2021 | ScarJo secures the bag from Disney
Cooper Legion replied to Kalo's topic in Box Office Discussion
It’s happening well before May 1. This has been quite evident for weeks, this is just more of the classic Biden lowball (which is a rhetorical tactic I’m totally fine with to be clear — but best to keep it in mind when predicting how things actually go). -
Black Widow | July 9 2021 | ScarJo secures the bag from Disney
Cooper Legion replied to Kalo's topic in Box Office Discussion
MCU movies (Deadpool aside I guess) only get green band trailers so they can theoretically play in front of anything from R to G.