Cooper Legion
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Everything posted by Cooper Legion
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I wish there was a source for Pixar adjusted OW PTAs. Old Mojo was so nice. Btw I’m not going to start a club because it would be in incredibly poor taste, but the smallest overall weekend of the domestic box office in the 2000s is Sep 15, 2000: https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office-chart/weekend/2000/09/15 with 54.2M It would have seemed like an unbeatable record given inflation, but now I’m wondering if it will be beat in the next 8 weeks.
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Black Widow | July 9 2021 | ScarJo secures the bag from Disney
Cooper Legion replied to Kalo's topic in Box Office Discussion
Won’t necessarily be a May opening, but it was probably going to be the lowest since Thor without covid. I mean, “lowest MCU May opening since Thor” could still be a top 30 all-time OW. -
Black Widow | July 9 2021 | ScarJo secures the bag from Disney
Cooper Legion replied to Kalo's topic in Box Office Discussion
In the absence of covid, 115/306 is a very reasonable guess at legs, and a totally plausible if a bit lower than my own estimate OW. Obviously LRFs for 8 weeks from now have almost no bearing on what will really happen though. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
50% + sequel drops are perfectly common. Especially for animation with a 5-10 year sequel gap. The worst performing Pixar movie is TGD with ~130M adjusted and lukewarm reception. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I floated a hypothetical where it finished with a 100M DOM total. John said it would make “the same amount” without coronavirus. This is a clear claim that Onward could finish at 100M under normal conditions. There’s a lot of info we don’t have, but we do have more than enough to identify that idea as laughable. -
Black Widow | July 9 2021 | ScarJo secures the bag from Disney
Cooper Legion replied to Kalo's topic in Box Office Discussion
Marketing expenses don’t really kick off until the next trailer. Guess they figure (probably correctly) that they can wait another week or two to delay. Even if F9 snatches the Aug 7 date, they can put this in Free Guy or Jungle Cruise’s spot and move them to wherever. -
Look, clearly overall holdover gross is going to be a better guide than openers anyway. But with where tickets stood Wednesday night, and reception, a 39M debut would be a pretty clear sign of Covid impact to me. And please keep in mind that the first signs aren’t going to be a 50% slash or something, just 5-10% or so.
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No Time To Die | October 8 2021 | 82% on RT | RIP Sean Connery
Cooper Legion replied to Neo's topic in Box Office Discussion
They were losing way more than 125-180 with the April date. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
See, it’s ridiculous nonsense like this that reduces your credibility when it comes to the subject. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Would not be surprised with something like 40->100 and a neverending debate about what it would have made without covid -
Box Office Theory's Most Anticipated Films
Cooper Legion replied to AniNate's topic in The Speakeasy
Wandavision 1) Eternals Falcon and Winter Soldier 2) Shang-Chi Black Widow Raya Jungle Cruise Mulan Lovebirds No Time to Die Soul 10) Uncharted -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Very poorly worded in retrospect. I’m been in enough arguments now with oblivious people (not just this site, primarily elsewhere) that I’m going to feel a sense of grim vindication when they start to wake up. But the underlying cause is horrific, and if it was within my control I’d keep conditions such that 90+ remained plausible. I still think Mulan will move, tbh. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Watching that tracking plummet below 50 will be a treat. -
No Time To Die | October 8 2021 | 82% on RT | RIP Sean Connery
Cooper Legion replied to Neo's topic in Box Office Discussion
That’s happening in DOM too, they’re just clueless. OS could be better by virtue of China being on the upswing and better mitigation measures in SK/Japan. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
It actually is helpful to note that the sky is falling when the sky is, in fact, falling. Coronavirus situation is much worse than many still realize. I don’t want people to react with panic, but realizing the seriousness of the situation and taking appropriate steps would be beneficial. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Although, coronavirus induced production delays could wreak havoc on the 2021 schedule. We’ll see how that develops. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Raimi has been working on it for a while and they’re fully on track for DS2’s date.