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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. Cooper Legion
    I think we can expect pretty good legs with this reception, but Royale and Skyfall did benefit from Thanksgiving and winter break for their late legs. NTTD is in the awkward position of having no Important holidays and not really any summer effect to speak of. Hitting 3x would be very impressive, not impossible. Bit frontloaded, sure, but doing 8-8.5x IM doesn’t seem too bad to me. It’s the last Craig film (for real this time) so some level of Thursday rush makes sense to me.
  2. Cooper Legion
    Actually pretty weak for Good Friday. Last 3 big Good Friday openers did just 2.5-2.6x True F for true FSS. Even curse of la llorona was in that range. So, going for a weekend in the range of 80M. 200 should happen but maybe not that much more with BW being in the same genre in the 4th weekend.
  3. Cooper Legion
    CM2 would need to wallop BP2 in China to have a shot Worldwide. BP is on another level domestically.
  4. Cooper Legion
    ? Is this also SB related?
  5. Cooper Legion
    Looool, shows what I know about football I guess it would be Feb 11 and trying to go early in China then.
  6. Cooper Legion
    It’s not like movies do better because of being in May, the May movies have been huge because it’s where they dated the movies that would be big anyway. Shang-Chi will do worse in its new date because of no CNY. Still expecting a push to Feb 4 2022
  7. Cooper Legion
    Disagree. Avatar and SW could both move off Dec in mid 20s depending on performance.
  8. Cooper Legion
    I would also like to see Xmas for MCU someday. I’d be pushing for BW Dec 18 except that I think Xmas 2020 will be a dead zone 😕
  9. Cooper Legion
    Also, Jat is correct that proximity to Memorial/Summer is basically irrelevant. All these “May” slots should move up 7 days to match OS.
  10. Cooper Legion
    Oh, March for BW+May Eternals does seem better than Feb+May. March also better than Feb with respect to a covid 2nd wave. Endorse that change.
  11. Cooper Legion
    However, I think most of these dates will change. If I had to bet: May 2021 BW July 2021 Eternals Nov 2021 DS2 Feb 2022 Shang-Chi May 2022 Thor July 2022 Spider3 BP and CM to 2023 More optimistic maybe BW Feb 2021 and Eternals May 2021
  12. Cooper Legion
    DS2, Thor4, BP2, CM2 back to back to back to back in a span of 8 months would be an insane money making corridor.
  13. Cooper Legion
    Ah, that’s right. I was thinking TLK had the biggest opening but was more on the big side of medium, but forgot about SW PS heaviness.
  14. Cooper Legion
    Every presale run since has been small. I don’t know if we’ll get a big one in the next 15 months even.
  15. Cooper Legion
    We’re still very early in the pandemic. National trauma hasn’t set in yet. I think looking to other countries is the best way to go, and China is very strongly signaling that things will only come back gradually.
  16. Cooper Legion
    Really tempting fate here by declining to TBD. Hope it works out for them.
  17. Cooper Legion
    Studios are really at the mercy of audiences here.
  18. Cooper Legion
    If closures last 5 months plus, which is not guaranteed but definitely on the table, I think it could accelerate the pre-existing trend of switching to home/digital media consumption. Even with 2019 as a banner year for blockbusters, admissions continued their downward trend from the turn of the century.
  19. Cooper Legion
    If corona virus disrupts production as much as I think: BW Nov Eternals May 2021 Shang Chi Feb 2022 possibly 2 other movies in latter 2021, some combo of Spider3, Thor4, DS2
  20. Cooper Legion
    Mulan is a global tent pole. It won’t be seen in China until rest of world theaters are also back in business.
  21. Cooper Legion
    Frozen to 1.45B
  22. Cooper Legion
    Hope this winds up on Feb 4 2022
  23. Cooper Legion
    Bingo. The thing we’ll start to see done to movies is like AQP2 and Mulan — announce they’re gone from he old date, but don’t announce a new date at all until having more info.
  24. Cooper Legion
    @charlie Jatinder thread titling was on point. Didn’t need to change all weekend, just got better and better.
  25. Cooper Legion
    ATP is over 9 now, so the digital rental costs ~2 movie tickets. Not such an exorbitant ratio considering families, imo.
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