Cooper Legion
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Everything posted by Cooper Legion
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Indonesia Box Office 2024 - thanks for updating
Cooper Legion replied to newbie BO buff's topic in International Box Office
Charlie’s Angels almost 5x FvF. Now that is a rare sight with both in OW. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
x172, lock it. No but seriously, these are suuuuper useful. I am thinking 9.5x16 maybe. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Iirc, this is the first huge schoolday family animation of the big preview era. I’ll just say that I wouldn’t be surprised if there’s kind of a softcap on preview demand due to Friday morning, and we get a pretty shocking IM. -
Fullbuster said Disney animation, so no IA3 or Minions. Incredibles 2 is technically Disney, but from context I guess they meant WDAS.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Nah, he works at MTC2. Other data is from a close source at MTC1. -
They’re Fri-Thurs weeks, so Column D= week 1 is the market’s FSS+upcoming MTuWTh. So D is equal to C+currently unestimated gross in weekdays of next week.
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Already over 900k presales lurking in Sat+Sun. Those should do huge business, perhaps 2nd only Endgame among HW.
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From a Wed OD to a Thurs D2, would expect PSm up be 20-30%, for 2.4x-2.6. With Fri D2, maybe higher PS and less PSm bump, will call for 2.2-2.5. 00:20 CGV is 129k, gives about 300k final CGV. Say .47 CGV ratio, roughly 650k total, 4.8 USD?
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Not final numbers. Initial estimates for daily gross inch up a bit as final data and counting rolls in.
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Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 Frozen 2 U.S. Nov 21, 2019 $4,153,672 ($4,163,101) 599,384 (600,549) 2,343 82.39% 2 BLACK MONEY South Korea Nov 13, 2019 $465,940 ($10,488,508) 67,525 (1,452,823) 842 9.24% 3 The Divine Move 2: The Wrathful South Korea Nov 07, 2019 $141,202 ($14,528,488) 20,295 (1,989,798) 633 2.8% 4 KIM JI-YOUNG, BORN 1982 South Korea Oct 23, 2019 $78,599 ($25,028,619) 11,990 (3,571,181) 447 1.55% 5 The Faceless Boss South Korea Nov 21, 2019 $30,141 ($33,560) 4,514 (5,037) 279 0.59% 6 Terminator: Dark Fate U.S. Oct 30, 2019 $27,884 ($16,794,058) 4,061 (2,359,920) 196 0.55% 7 Moonlit Winter South Korea Nov 14, 2019 $13,929 ($354,148) 2,217 (52,780) 71 0.27% 8 The Good Liar U.S. Dec 05, 2019 $15,807 ($15,807) 2,125 (2,125) 10 0.31% 9 The Irishman U.S. Nov 20, 2019 $13,336 ($36,547) 1,909 (5,106) 59 0.26% 10 Angel Has Fallen U.S. Nov 13, 2019 $10,454 ($1,155,561) 1,607 (165,949) 152 0.2% Should increase to 610+/4.25+ if I’m remembering correctly. That’s more the CGV ratio I was hoping for.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Hmm, might have gotten that one mixed up. Still I2 is like 17 months ago and selling much less for days 4-9, so was likewise expecting to beat its PS without trouble. If I2 was a lot ahead of TS4 then doing it with this timing is a bit more impressive. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Cooper Legion replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I hope it didn’t take until Wed night. All it really means is beating TS4 PS, and that’s kind of a duh. -
PS up to 1.174M. Lots of PS lurking in FSS, hopefully CGV shows how much for F in an hour. Today trajectory seems reasonable enough for a toon, and PSm reasonable enough for a super hyped mega preseller. Wish we had IW hourlies, but alas.
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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)
Cooper Legion replied to Olive's topic in China At The Box Office
Seems SK, China, DOM, Sat is where things are really concentrated. Wonder if it can pull the same Sat heavy trick in markets with great ODs though. Obviously much harder. -
It’s very early, but I’d take maybe 600+650+1.4+1.2= just under 4M? In USD I guess that gets you ~29M Being 4 day instead of 5 knocks maybe 11% off the OW, should increase legs commensurately. Thinking at least 2.7
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Yes, imo. One tick is dramatically more meaningful at high numbers. 86 vs 88 is whatever, but 96 vs 98 is big. Essentially twice as much negative will toward the 96 as the 98. This is not really egg specific, just how I think about these % approve scales generally.