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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. Cooper Legion
    Still roughly 1200 sets behind Endgame, which has 2 rows.
  2. Cooper Legion
    Re: ca vs com, the web text says on MT.ca but the URL is still com: https://www.movietickets.com/box-office
  3. Cooper Legion
    17 PT 5/15/19 (End of Wed) 1 31% Avengers: Endgame 2 23.4% Detective Pikachu 3 16.5% John Wick:Chapter 3 - Parabellum 4 4.9% The Hustle 5 3.4% Long Shot Jurassic World 3 is now solidly in third place. Deadpool/Endgame ratio is 75%. Endgame share of non-Wick movies from 32.3% yesterday to 37.1% today, predictably dropping a bit softer than movies with a big Tues bounce.
  4. Cooper Legion
    @Shawn, as a normal user I can’t respond to your weekend thread question there, so doing so here. I believe Claudio’s point in quoting those tweets is that Endgame was #1 globally for the weekend, not Pika, as the 2nd tweet stated.
  5. Cooper Legion
    Those are both healthy multis. 250x 1.72=430 would be a much more concerning/disappointing run than either.
  6. Cooper Legion
    DP will easily beat DP, but lose badly to DP
  7. Cooper Legion
    Going out to 50,70 is just too far away for me, will do 45,65. 100M+ DOM OWs: 57. TS4 58. FFH (it’s a reach given the Tues nature, being optimistic with very low 100s) 59. TLK 60. It Chapter 2 (another close one) 61. Frozen 2 62. IX 63. Onward (finally time for a wildcard pick. I know this is a bit early, but I have a good feeling) 64. Untitled Marvel 65. WW84 Billie club: 40. TS4 41. FFH 42. TLK 43. F2 44. SWIX 45. Untitled Marvel
  8. Cooper Legion
    8 of the most recent 9 times a billie mark has been passed, it was a SH movie 😮
  9. Cooper Legion
    Is this Shivampa5
  10. Cooper Legion
    710M DOM is a great result, but 370->710 is a crap run. People can focus too much on a simple multi at risk of ignoring the actual $$ made, true. But you can also focus too much on a total at risk of ignoring how it got there. I see more new people make the former mistake and more “sophisticated” people make the latter mistake.
  11. Cooper Legion
    Obviously trends are not laws, but in the absence of a law trends are what you forecast based off.
  12. Cooper Legion
    You should be careful not to pay too much attention to raw numbers, % are usually more informative. I do agree that 2.4-2.5ish was realistic. Even 2.35 is like “well, the OW was huge.” But below 2.35 I’d say it’s quite reasonable to call the legs disappointing. Anyway, again, I think that’s pretty unlikely...
  13. Cooper Legion
    Lot of people in this thread seem to forget that movies which break the OW record often have good legs. TFA, JW, TA, TDK, DMC, SM, ... The farther back you go the less relevance they have of course. And Endgame did break the record by an unprecedented % in modern history because theaters could see the demand incoming and have it so many showtimes. But even still making 900+ would be well in line with the history of huge opening movies. It’s the people who were saying TFA was dead out of the gate who had unrealistic expectations.
  14. Cooper Legion
    Still don’t have a clue how to interpret FFH’s sales in terms of translating to the 6-day or 3-day 😅 @stfletch, you’re like the Pulse archmagus, will we at some point be able to see a breakdown between midnights, true Tues, W, Th, F, S,S? If so, around when would that be?
  15. Cooper Legion
    X2.34 for an A+ would be a bit of a bummer. Need to see how the weekend goes but I’d still take over on O/U 850
  16. Cooper Legion
    17 PT 5/14/19 (End of Tues) 1 30.7% Avengers: Endgame 2 26.2% Detective Pikachu 3 7.6% The Hustle 4 6.5% Maharshi 5 5.1% John Wick:Chapter 3 - Parabellum The Return of the Maharshi. Pika up to over 85% of AEG, likely falling back to around Monday levels tomorrow. Fairly expected results for discount Tuesday.
  17. Cooper Legion
    Going to be an hour or two late tonight since I’m about to see Pika. Speaking of, it seems to be getting a much stronger Tues bump and is already up to a lifetime high 81% of AEG on MT.
  18. Cooper Legion
    Well, 250+ OW from anything might be a long time away. Non-Avengers films haven’t done it ever. BP2 or Avengers 5 are perfectly reasonable candidates for the next 250+ open I would say.
  19. Cooper Legion
    CM was at 1.8 on Jan 10 after starting sales Jan 7, so definitely outpacing FFH a bit for now. That said, I feel like there’s a high chance that opening in a 6-day window of summer skews how much urgency people feel toward prepurchasing.
  20. Cooper Legion
    Back after a bit of a break. CW 728.5+96.7*1.17=842M IM3 728.5+96.7*1.33=857M AoU 728.5+96.7*1.47=871M IW 728.5+96.7*1.38=862M TA 728.5+96.7*1.94=916M The multi for CW,IM3, AoU, TA are a bit inflated by Memorial weekend being a week closer for them. IW a bit depressed by DP2. Latest outlook from me is 850-870, truly RIP my club bonuses (base goal still looking good).
  21. Cooper Legion
    No. Box Office Mojo is an unofficial site, any errors they have don’t affect the official numbers.
  22. Cooper Legion
    Seasons 1-4 are great, but I’m not comfortable recommending something to someone with a “make sure you only watch the first 60%” caveat
  23. Cooper Legion
    17 PT 5/13/19 (End of Mon) 1 37.6% Avengers: Endgame 2 27.2% Detective Pikachu 3 5.8% The Hustle 4 5% John Wick:Chapter 3 - Parabellum 5 3.6% Poms Baba Yaga is coming. Pika oddly dropping better than Endgame on MT this Monday, if that translates to actuals I think it at least points in the direction of Pika appealing more to nostalgic 20 and 30 yo than actual present day kids.
  24. Cooper Legion
    Probably 4.7ish, but 5 would be nice.
  25. Cooper Legion
    Disney will choose to end it with an exact tie, best of both worlds
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