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Cooper Legion

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Everything posted by Cooper Legion

  1. That was fast: https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/heat-vision/james-gunn-exits-guardians-galaxy-vol-3-1128786 So much for the first subfranchise trilogy completed with a single director.
  2. Oh, huh. Can’t tell if this is Ant-Man 1 doing well or Skyscraper doing very bad
  3. I am intensely curious for presales to start there. I really do not think 200 is out of reach if it gets received as it has in nearby markets, considering Ant-Man 1’s performance.
  4. Well, since opening Saturday or so catching Solo was pretty unlikely. Weekdays have gone pretty well since then, 2nd weekend not so much. Getting within 5M of Solo would be really solid late legs.
  5. AM&tW has been having crazy Tuesdays, but if you look at Mon-Wed it’s down 6% vs SMH down 9%. So, solid numbers, quite possibly headed for 210s.
  6. Tues to Weds Fandango drops: HT3 25% AM&tW 25% Skyscraper 42% I2 25% FK 22% These aren’t 1:1 with the actual BO drops, but will be interesting to see just how bad things come in Wed.
  7. Nice drop for Ant-Man, already back above Skyscraper. I2 drop is incredible.
  8. Can’t wait for when 10AM Thursday preview showings get rolled into OD
  9. I that it will have a Solo issue of being a perfectly fine movie that pays for the sins of its predecessor. Especially with its current release spot.
  10. If the trailer or movie quality match the poster quality, Aquaman is in for a bad time.
  11. To be fair, I2 is doing 550M+ of simple good fun style business. Solo and AM&TW I’d put in a similar category of blockbusters and will do about 400M of business. So while there have certainly been some darker leaning entries it’s not that much of a drought.
  12. This resignation is TRASH. Who will make the A4 OW over 300M club for me now?
  13. If you want to quit at a high point, July 2018 is basically the best you can ever possibly do. 4 of the DOM top 10 from the past 7 months.
  14. Wrecks the Internet also has a very good shot I would say, which leaves it in the very precarious position of needing 0 movies to surprise. I'd be pretty surprised if it ended in the top 10.
  15. This is a 3.99 2nd weekend multi. Not even Ant-Man 1 or Homecoming legged it out that well from here. Not even BP. Pretty sure GotG1 is the only entry out of 19 to do it. 2.8 is a lot more optimistic-but-possible.
  16. FWIW that same 2nd weekend regression predicts 667 for IW (off by less than .05x), 301 for DP2 (off by roughly .15x, DP2’s 2nd weekend was really hammered by Solo), and 579 for I2 (should be within .1x or so), so it’s been doing very well and even slightly underestimating on SH movies not in the training set. Also I’d consider that pretty conclusive that I2 played like a superhero movie.
  17. Weird that they’re calling that a 61% drop. It’s 61.63, which pretty clearly rounds up. This simple linear regression of 2nd weekend drops to final multi for summer SH movies would map that to a 2.71 for a 205 total, which looks about right to me.
  18. No, the 1.366 OS total is correct, and so is the WW. The consequence of China’s real number being 376ish is that OS-China is 990, and will not reach 1B. There’s actually a thread on reddit right now that is high on the front page celebrating 1B OS-China, and the only comment correcting it is sitting at like -40, which is some pretty hilarious shit.
  19. Ant2 is having a decent increase, so this question is very strange. I think Strange 2 will almost certainly join the 2017 movies in 300+/800+ though, considering where the first one landed and how much the character perception was improved by IW.
  20. And the first 2 Ant-Man films made fine money. That's why this whole line of conversation from you is a bit odd.
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