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Legion Again

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Everything posted by Legion Again

  1. Legion Again
    I agree that the info is still valuable if you know whether someone is a pessimistic and you should adjust their nums up or an optimist and you should adjust their nums down -- but newer people aren't going to know and ideally shouldn't have to try to keep track of those idiosyncratic prediction tendencies of long time members. Really it is best to always aim for pure accuracy rather than either conservative or aggressiveness.
  2. Legion Again
    Yeah, to be a little more serious I'm familiar with plenty of movies, but jackass is a nice low profile franchise. It's not exactly odd to have been unfamiliar with it.
  3. Legion Again
    Sure, I know DC too
  4. Legion Again
    I live in America and I had no idea what jackass was until watching those awful trailers last year. I wouldn't sit through that if you paid me 2xATP
  5. Legion Again
    So when they lower the price, will just result in lower grosses 👀
  6. Legion Again
  7. Legion Again
    Not really sure how Fri/Th will go, but worth nothing that Jackass 2 and 3 both had true IMs under 2.5x. So an opening day of 2+7 could still miss 20
  8. Legion Again
    Basically, yes. But also the weekdays will probably be a bit more ON inflated than the weekend.
  9. Legion Again
    Right now I’m working with: 2.75 tues-Th 9.35 wknd 3.1 next weekdays 7.2 SB wknd (759 cume) So quite close to what you just said. Same legs as TFA from the M-Sun week give 790 from there but I expect better legs for NWH.
  10. Legion Again
    Quebec showing up could be worth like $3 or 4, and no Deadpool or Black Panther level competition (until March). Omicron receding may continue to help legs at the margin. However I think that TFA weekend is the SB? Probably better to line things up with the SB and Pres at this point when comparing.
  11. Legion Again
    Weekend should be 9+, so… 👀
  12. Legion Again
    China has forsaken the old ways now reaps the consequences 😏 I guess they can always take another shot at having a good performance… in 5 months
  13. Legion Again
    Is this scheduled to miss Labor Day OS? Wild. It’s got the same calendar as CW.
  14. Legion Again
    I’ve got over 800 as more likely than under 780, let’s see how it develops.
  15. Legion Again
    Sub 3.5B
  16. Legion Again
    Maoyan with that 3.5 D2 PSm, yeah right
  17. Legion Again
    Lionsgate is withholding from theaters the ability to play Moonfall at an X% cut. Theaters are rejecting the option to play Moonfall at a Y% cut. Neither condition gets you a lack on play on its own, both are required. Basic failed negotiation.
  18. Legion Again
    At 1.55 off a 21 wk seems like it should go 1600+? Getting awfully close to #1 USD…
  19. Legion Again
    WGB has the highest Maoyan right now at 9.6, though I don’t know whether it’s totally genuine. Also seems to be having a higher PSm than I expected.
  20. Legion Again
    I mean, some sub 70% drops are good 😛 But if we're talking like 69% then yeah, either dom-ON had a pretty rough mon/sat despite snow delfated sat or Ontario was pretty meh.
  21. Legion Again
    Moonfall OD has been looking underneath Jackass OD for a while imo. At least BOP has been on that train.
  22. Legion Again
    Yeah gonna need a better Wk8 than that.
  23. Legion Again
    4.01 IM vs 4.00 of reality. There but for the grace of Fri go I
  24. Legion Again
    Looks like Flat turkey wknd, should be flattish 2nd holiday week? Makes getting #1 look quite possible.
  25. Legion Again
    Good rule of thumb is to pretend luiz’s projections don’t exist.
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