Legion Again

Uni misreported the GBP as the USD seems like

Was referring to 350 there. Of course in theory movies can always overperform on legs, but hitting 400 even from 120 would be almost impossible imo.

No, even 350 would be great legs from there. Could happen with a combination of reception being great and reopening helping legs (larger factor in some markets).

Saturday and Sunday both brutalized by the holiday here. Thinking people might have been extra interested in normal July 4 stuff after having to skip the last one because of covid.

It ultimately wasn’t too far from the geomean of 15 and 35, bit under 23

Both previous PA releases are simply far too small. If you want a 0-day window comp, Eric’s GvK that he’s been posting regularly provides a bit of that flavor, and the OD bigger than F9’s previews. Although GvK’s final ramp up was limited by capacity in many regions.

I’d love a link to read the reactions

Eternals was fully leaked a while ago

Expected. Check out the last time we had this calendar: 1 (1) The Twilight Saga: Eclipse Summit Enter… $23,420,629 -17% 4,468 $5,242 $144,318,923 4 2 (2) The Last Airbender Paramount Pi… $14,388,363 -13% 3,169 $4,540 $48,513,572 3 3 (3) Toy Story 3 Walt Disney $11,433,451 +9% -49% 4,028 $2,838 $280,796,714 16 4 (4) Grown Ups Sony Pictures $7,055,905 +3% -52% 3,534 $1,997 $72,503,692 9 5 (5) Knight and Day 20th Century… $3,962,818 +18% -51% 3,104 $1,277 $42,632,044 11 6 (6) The Karate Kid Sony Pictures $3,087,227 +15% -50% 3,109 $993 $149,298,392 23 7 (7) The A-Team 20th Century… $1,197,509 +10% -51% 2,153 $556 $68,377,410 23 8 (8) Get Him to the Greek Universal $464,085 +6% -61% 884 $525 $57,143,260 30 9 (10) Shrek Forever After Paramount Pi… $328,505 +12% -74% 957 $343 $232,009,634 44 10 (12) Cyrus Fox Searchlight $313,120 +33% +162% 77 $4,066 $1,267,240 16 11 (9) Letters to Juliet Summit Enter… $307,561 -13% +89% 340 $905 $50,782,595 51 12 (11) Prince of Persia: Sands o… Walt Disney $266,681 +7% -77% 600 $444 $87,968,994 37 13 (13) Iron Man 2 Paramount Pi… $243,163 +13% -59% 522 $466 $308,112,705 58

Basically. Maybe a little less depending on how BW hits it, but been holding nicely so far vs competition

True. We should really be talking about David Harbour’s inevitable Oscar nom.

Lol, I skimmed over the “dumb children’s movies” part. Does seem like an unnecessary condescending way to halt that line of conversation.

F9 could go below 10M in 3rd place next weekend.

Um. I don’t really want any more posts on the topic myself at this point, but is this really a valid way to justify mod decisions? It’s not like that discussion, fruitless as it may have been, was crowding out more productive discussion. Once it ended it’s not like the conversation pivoted, it pretty much just dried up.

Use a feather, gg

BOSS BABY: FAMILY BUSINESS, THE (2021) FOREVER PURGE, THE (2021) Previous BB A- previous Purges C, B, B+, B-

New forecast: 80-110 OW, 205-310 final. Low end: 205/80 is 2.56, 310/110 is 2.82. My personal would be 80M OW probably 14ish previews, maybe 210. 110 probably 19ish previews, maybe 300. Basically, I now completely agree with legs.

If the new 94M opening (no point estimate specified, taking geomean) is +11%, then last week it must have been ~84-85 — +10% compared to 77M the week before, on the June 18 initial LRF. One more increase of 7% would do the trick

Hmmm Looking back, I can't tell if spiderbyte was aware that that was 15 month old tracking either. I definitely know what tracking was issued when, and imo the march 2020 range is a lot better for the current situation than the Jun 2021 range -- but we'll.jist have to wait and see how the final week goes, of course.

Presumably referring to how our actual expectations are now roughly within the original BOP 90-130 range

Wanda held about as strong post finale, stronger finale, more total views (and on a slightly smaller D+ user base, though I don’t think the difference there is too important). Full Nielsen runs (finale underlined):

I was on 120-150 pre-pandemic, now like 95-125. If it was theatrical exclusive there’s be very little % effect — especially to the total.

???? Don’t see anything to suggest this, FatW seems consistently the last in the ratings I’m aware of. What are you referring to specifically?

Is fake