RealLyre

17M Fri 22M Sat +29.4% 16.5M Sun -25% 55.5M~ weekend.

I could see score & cinematography

films like Paddington 2 and Leave No Trace were more low-key in comparison to Parasite & Irishman which are gonna be heavy awards players and get 300-400+ reviews. if something like Parasite which is as crowd-pleasing & fresh as you can get couldn't stay at 100% then a 3.5 hour scorsese gangster epic probably wouldn't.

no high profile movie will ever stay at 100% on RT when they keep adding more & more critics every year. it was gonna happen sooner or later. Marriage Story also dropped to 99%, Irishman is next.

so not for the general audience?

Will Smith's back-end deals aren't as big as Dicaprio/Tarantino?

don't underestimate Micky's Law. Disney hasn't had a single film not open at no.1 this year so far. (not counting Fox movies).

Ad Astra was one of the most boring films I've seen this year and I saw Long Day's Journey into Night and The Souvenir. it's only making what it's making thanks to Brad Pitt.

for a limited release I'd say 2.5M is pretty decent. especially if you've seen the movie. You Were Never Really Here is like Joker in tone but about 10x less accessible.

A24 and mainstream appeal don't go hand to hand from my experience. (I know they're just a distributor but their acquisitions are almost always niche, except coming of age stories like Lady Bird & Eighth Grade which still didn't find a huge audience for the latter)

Joker may not be the biggest DC character but it's outperforming films like Batman v Superman (on 2nd weekend and with a good chance to come very close WW) which had arguably the most popular superheroes at the time.

I figured Joker wouldn't come anywhere close to CM's 2nd weekend, low 50s is still not that bad for a DC film (which are usually very front-loaded with the exception of Wonder Woman). what a boring weekend though

that weekend projection for Joker will probably increase by 10M-20M

if Gemini Man follows Ad Astra (which had 1.5M previews and 19M OW) then Joker's 2nd Friday will be above Gemini Man OW.

Joker is not going to make more money on 2nd weekend than Captain Marvel..

why would it be at 310M by Sunday? it only has France & Germany left to open in. is it holding that good in Japan & S.Korea?

is it just me or is Picture looking predominantly white this year? out of the 10 frontrunners on GoldDerby the only films with minorities cast are Parasite & The Farewell (Taika is also Jewish) and even then those aren't sure noms, especially the Farewell. compared to last year where we had Roma,Black Panther,BlacKkKlansman, Spider-Verse and Green Book (Beale Street too but that missed out on picture iirc) and previous years with Get Out & Moonlight,Lion,Fences,Selma and Hidden Figures etc. I think some films with lower buzz could make a surprise appearance like Us,Dolemite Is My Name,Waves or even Just Mercy & Harriet.

neither of them will get nominated but wouldn't it be funny if the last 2 spots in the INTL category was Weathering With You vs Ne Zha

Bong's right. The Oscars are biased to American films as much as the BAFTAS are biased to British films.

if you watched more movies than Alita you'll find there's actually like 4.

8th, he got 3 nominations for ASIB last year. I think Cooper will win an Oscar in the next 5 years, he's slowly building an overdue narrative, he just needs another showy role

the last time a best actor win that didn't get a picture nom was Jeff Bridges for Crazy Heart in 2009. Phoenix will def get support from the globes (he's a previous globe winner and has 5 nominations) he's the popular frontrunner as of now. his performance is universally loved by audiences (except some critics ) in a showy transformative role about a pop culture icon, and is in a box office hit (Bohemian Rhapsody). now of course the best performance of the year doesn't always guarantee an Oscar and nothing is locked pre-globes but if Phoenix hopes to win this race, Joker will find its way into a picture nom.

eh, isn't it always a good thing when one less faceless corporation got a 100M OW.

I think discrepancy was coming from different demos according to Posttrack exist polls audiences under 25 rated it at 95%, and audiences over 25 rated it at 79%. The under 25 demo is probably what's dominating RT and IMDB. But Cinemascore is able to get a good mix of both.

Netflix isn't any better. unless you plan to pirate the Irishman.