charlie Jatinder

$1.25mn today. Another week on week 15% drop. Cume $58.2mn. Let's see if it can manage 15% weekend drop for $8mn weekend and $67.5-68mn by Sunday.

I won't read much into weekend multiple as TFA had anomaly in previews and TLJ was different calendar placement. Despite $12mn less previews, TLJ True Friday was just $2.5mn lesser. Assuming Previews are $37-40mn, that will be $5-8mn, I expect OD to go down by similar amount at $48-52mn. The Saturday shall bump 10% to $57.5mn and much better hold on Sunday in low 10s. Something of these sorts.

Per my tracking, Previews have crossed $20mn T-9 Days. Will say it will almost double up. Still sticking to $37-40mn. http://bit.ly/JatUSPS

Damn. Star Wars India You Tube channel is awfully poor. Of 8 TR0S videos, only 2 have views over 1k. https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCxYG4E2wK6Q364qYmFmkoUA/videos

Also page 250.

Lol

So first year since 2014, with less than $500mn biggest domestic film.

well, technically speaking, mcu votes were divided in two. The Eternals is most hyped.

that will mean muted previews, right? I normally not focus on Previews to Weekend multi. Previews can be best judge to OD and derive rest of weekend from OD. That's my approach.

Spider Verse 6x its opening weekend-previews. Assuming $21mn 4th weekend for Frozen 2, that will lead to $473mn total.

So how much OW we are looking at with $3.5mn previews. Also @keysersoze123 @Menor how are FSS doing for J2? Looking at Bumblebee, that did $8.5mn from $2.25mn. So about $13mn OD. In fact that will be close to Spider Verse numbers. So a $35-37mn of $3.5mn Previews seems about right.

Post YJHD, only Besharam was horrible mistake, BV he took risk. Tamasha was classic. ADHM did well. Jagga Jasoos was again risky but I liked. Sanju we all know. Post Bhramastra he is doing Samshera.

it is irrelevant anyways.

Frozen 2 Day Date Gross % +/- YD / LW* Gross-to-date Weekend Weekly Fri Nov. 22, 2019 $2,783,000 $2,783,000 $2,783,000 Sat Nov. 23, 2019 $7,710,000 177.04% $10,493,000 Sun Nov. 24, 2019 $7,403,000 -3.98% $17,896,000 $15,113,000 Mon Nov. 25, 2019 $2,156,000 -70.88% $20,052,000 Tue Nov. 26, 2019 $1,316,000 -38.96% $21,368,000 Wed Nov. 27, 2019 $2,121,000 61.17% $23,489,000 Thu Nov. 28, 2019 $1,229,000 -42.06% $24,718,000 Fri Nov. 29, 2019 $1,595,000 29.78% -42.69% $26,313,000 $23,530,000 Sat Nov. 30, 2019 $5,248,000 229.03% -31.93% $31,561,000 Sun Dec. 1, 2019 $7,934,000 51.18% 7.17% $39,495,000 $13,182,000 Mon Dec. 2, 2019 $1,648,000 -79.23% -23.56% $41,143,000 Tue Dec. 3, 2019 $899,000 -45.45% -31.69% $42,042,000 Wed Dec. 4, 2019 $1,462,000 62.63% -31.07% $43,504,000 Thu Dec. 5, 2019 $855,000 -41.52% -30.43% $44,359,000 Fri Dec. 6, 2019 $1,129,000 32.05% -29.22% $45,488,000 $19,175,000 Sat Dec. 7, 2019 $4,090,000 262.27% -22.07% $49,578,000 Sun Dec. 8, 2019 $5,467,000 33.67% -31.09% $55,045,000 $9,557,000 Mon Dec. 9, 2019 $1,162,000 -78.75% -29.49% $56,207,000 Tue Dec. 10, 2019 $758,000 -34.77% -15.68% $56,965,000 Really good Tuesday.

And.. Frozen 2 is the biggest animation toon flick in India. Overall second biggest after The Lion King. Rank Title Year Gross (in ₹ crores) Net (in ₹ crores) Gross (in $) 1 The Lion King 2019 ₹182.83 ₹153.57 $26,421,000 2 Frozen 2 2019 ₹53.50 ₹44.88 $7,483,000 3 Incredibles 2 2018 ₹52.77 ₹40.75 $7,648,000 4 Kochadaiiyaan 2014 ₹52.00 ₹50.00 $8,667,000 5 Kung Fu Panda 3 2016 ₹29.75 ₹21.75 $4,440,000 6 Chaar Sahibzaade 2014 ₹27.32 ₹24.65 $4,337,000 7 Angry Bird 2016 ₹26.95 ₹19.65 $4,022,000 8 Ice Age: Continental Drift 2012 ₹24.15 ₹18.02 $4,391,000 9 Adventures of Tin Tin 2011 ₹22.62 ₹17.01 $4,228,000 10 Kung Fu Panda 2 2011 ₹22.27 ₹16.75 $4,841,000 11 Finding Dory 2016 ₹19.15 ₹14.03 $2,858,000 12 Ice Age: Collision Course 2016 ₹18.15 ₹13.25 $2,709,000 13 How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World 2019 ₹17.81 ₹14.90 $2,619,000 14 Despicable Me 3 2017 ₹17.29 ₹12.85 $2,681,000 15 Minions 2015 ₹17.09 ₹12.48 $2,670,000

$190mn.

No information. Will be around $108-109mn.

Probable OS Dailies Date Day Gross % +/- YD / LW* GTD Week Change 20 Nov 2019 Wed $6.75 $6.75 21 Nov 2019 Thur $11.60 71.85% $18.35 $18.35 22 Nov 2019 Fri $40.80 251.72% $59.15 23 Nov 2019 Sat $91.18 123.48% $150.33 24 Nov 2019 Sun $78.78 -13.60% $229.11 25 Nov 2019 Mon $18.34 -76.72% $247.45 26 Nov 2019 Tue $15.50 -15.49% $262.95 27 Nov 2019 Wed $16.34 5.42% 142.07% $279.29 28 Nov 2019 Thu $15.76 -3.55% 35.86% $295.05 $276.70 29 Nov 2019 Fri $26.10 65.61% -36.03% $321.15 30 Nov 2019 Sat $68.88 163.91% -24.46% $390.03 1 Dec 2019 Sun $63.35 -8.03% -19.59% $453.38 2 Dec 2019 Mon $12.83 -79.75% -30.04% $466.21 3 Dec 2019 Tue $10.76 -16.13% -30.58% $476.97 4 Dec 2019 Wed $10.52 -2.23% -35.62% $487.49 5 Dec 2019 Thu $9.04 -14.07% -42.64% $496.53 $201.48 -27.18% 6 Dec 2019 Fri $13.38 48.01% -48.74% $509.91 7 Dec 2019 Sat $38.30 186.25% -44.40% $548.21 8 Dec 2019 Sun $36.13 -5.67% -42.97% $584.34 9 Dec 2019 Mon $7.47 -79.32% -41.78% $591.81

If China clears $115mn after given an extension and Japan do say, 5% weaker than this comp.

So T-10 Days. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1_tFljn4mLbBwtXn2glN2PMA5XCy2ECBzaqo4QVVFYpM/edit#gid=0 Film added roughly $6.5mn in last 4 days, which is nice. Pre-sales are $68mn Approx and if pace is to go by shall be around $72-73mn T-7 Days, which is the first comp we have for Star Wars films.

CM added 6300 seats in final 10 days. The current rate is 1.5x CM but its reducing fast obviously. I expect TROS will sold another 7.5-8k seats perhaps for 22.5k final against 10.5k of CM and 26.7k of EG, giving it range of 42-50mn from these two comps 😛 The adjusted comp in same theatres will be a bit down at $41-49mn. Mean of that being $45mn. Adj Solo comp will be $46mn Approx. Let's see if final result are in that direction.

A comp as in it will do better in areas where Star Wars cater well.

Well for one, Endgame in Sacramento had a range of $53-66mn for previews. That's a big range, with most comps in lower side. Different regions work differently and if MTC 1 and MTC 2 data is to go by, Thursday hasn't cleared $20mn yet and Sacramento is suggesting $25-30mn sales already in various comps. As to MCU and SW not being comparable, that is in fact true as a franchise may overperform in certain region and underperform in other. The best comp for TRS will be TLJ and Solo.

the latter makes it better.

No I don't see there is any after seeing HP2 comp. Edit: That's assuming China remain below 120😛 i.e. not given extension.