charlie Jatinder

Well, seems like Harry Potter: Chamber of Secret will be best film comp to look at. Frozen 2 Change Harry Potter 2 Change Week 1 $26,313,000 $25,946,262 Week 2 $19,175,000 -27.13% $18,371,922 -29.19% Week 3 $14,250,000 -25.68% $15,598,670 -15.10% Week 4 $12,113,000 -15.00% $14,528,146 -6.86% Week 5 $10,296,000 -15.00% $16,376,000 12.72% Week 6 $11,840,000 15.00% $17,111,291 4.49% Week 7 $7,696,000 -35.00% $11,483,624 -32.89% Week 8 $5,002,000 -35.01% $7,943,136 -30.83% Week 9 $3,752,000 -24.99% $4,702,327 -40.80% Week 10 $2,251,000 -40.01% $1,709,868 -63.64% Rest $9,004,000 $11,228,754 Total $121,692,000 $145,000,000 In its 4th week HP2 had just a 7% drop. Let's see if F2 can score under 15% drop. Increase in Week 5 may be tough due to TROS but I won't be surprised if it does. More hopeful for over WWY now .

If original had 4x legs, doesn't mean sequel will be 3x plus too, right. @a2k throw more light. I think it will have legs par other CBM sequels.

Frozen II Date Nett (in ₹ crores) Gross (in ₹ crores) Gross in $ % +/- YD / LW* Gross-to-Date (in ₹ crores) Gross-to-Date 22/11/2019 ₹3.36 ₹4.01 $559,000 ₹4.01 $559,000 23/11/2019 ₹7.08 ₹8.44 $1,177,000 110.55% ₹12.44 $1,736,000 24/11/2019 ₹8.64 ₹10.30 $1,436,000 22.01% ₹22.74 $3,172,000 25/11/2019 ₹2.05 ₹2.44 $341,000 -76.25% ₹25.19 $3,513,000 26/11/2019 ₹1.84 ₹2.19 $306,000 -10.26% ₹27.38 $3,819,000 27/11/2019 ₹1.72 ₹2.05 $286,000 -6.54% ₹29.43 $4,105,000 28/11/2019 ₹1.62 ₹1.93 $269,000 -5.94% ₹31.36 $4,374,000 29/11/2019 ₹1.45 ₹1.73 $241,000 -10.41% -56.89% ₹33.09 $4,615,000 30/11/2019 ₹3.52 ₹4.20 $585,000 142.74% -50.30% ₹37.29 $5,200,000 01/12/2019 ₹4.33 ₹5.16 $720,000 23.08% -49.86% ₹42.45 $5,920,000 02/12/2019 ₹1.09 ₹1.30 $181,000 -74.86% -46.92% ₹43.75 $6,101,000 03/12/2019 ₹0.99 ₹1.18 $165,000 -8.84% -46.08% ₹44.93 $6,266,000 04/12/2019 ₹0.86 ₹1.03 $143,000 -13.33% -50.00% ₹45.95 $6,409,000 05/12/2019 ₹0.78 ₹0.93 $130,000 -9.09% -51.67% ₹46.88 $6,539,000 06/12/2019 ₹0.50 ₹0.60 $83,000 -36.15% -65.56% ₹47.48 $6,622,000 07/12/2019 ₹1.75 ₹2.09 $291,000 250.60% -50.26% ₹49.56 $6,913,000 08/12/2019 ₹2.25 ₹2.68 $374,000 28.52% -48.06% ₹52.25 $7,287,000 Crossed $7mn and ₹50cr. All set to become biggest animation title by Wednesday. Has enough gas left for another $1.2mn.

In weekend (s) Frozen 2 is miles ahead TS4 and WWY but in Weeks they are parity. I think $150mn is tough (you never know Japan). Under WWY most likely.

Is DCEU a thing anymore? I was told that DCEU is scrapped.

Realised weekend tracking doesn't make much sense, so doing week wise and that seems like will be a nice comp. Well, see later post for better comp. The one down ain't that useful.

Was randomly checking, that if Frozen 2 keep dropping 20% week on week, it will do only $112mn, which is obviously an optimistic drop but gross seemed low. I was like TS4 did huge and didn't had any crazy holds and then I checked that TS4 missed $100mn in Japan and did only $93mn. In my head I thought it did 110mn Approx. TS4 3rd weekend was $5.8mn and total till 3rd weekend was $51mn. It did 7.25x post that weekend, which was also affected by Weathering With You release. Then I checked WWY 3rd weekend to full run multiple, that was around 10.45x. Applying those to Frozen 2, we have a range of $119-149mn. Talk about tracking Japan. 😛

Holidays Incoming.

I used to wonder, why DC films are more previews loaded than MCU. I think the reason is headstart DC had in films breakout with Batman films in late 1989. The then kids were in their late 20s or early 30s in 2008, explain the preview heavy TDK as the 20-30s are the audience for Thursday nights. MCU is there now, after 11 years inception, we are at stage that kids of 10-15 in 2008 are in mid 20s now.

GoTG: 3.53x IMDb 8.0 GoTG 2: 2.66x IMDb 7.6 Deadpool: 2.74x (from Holiday inflated Sunday. Normal weekend would have gone for 3.05x) IMDb 8.0 Deadpool 2: 2.54x IMDb 7.7 Wonder Woman: 4x I think legs of Wonder Woman will be around 2.7-3x. Depending on $130mn start, perhaps $350-390mn.

Probable Dailies for Frozen 2 Day Date Gross % +/- YD / LW* Gross-to-date Weekend Weekly Fri Nov. 22, 2019 $2,783,000 $2,783,000 $2,783,000 Sat Nov. 23, 2019 $7,710,000 177.04% $10,493,000 Sun Nov. 24, 2019 $7,403,000 -3.98% $17,896,000 $15,113,000 Mon Nov. 25, 2019 $2,156,000 -70.88% $20,052,000 Tue Nov. 26, 2019 $1,316,000 -38.96% $21,368,000 Wed Nov. 27, 2019 $2,121,000 61.17% $23,489,000 Thu Nov. 28, 2019 $1,229,000 -42.06% $24,718,000 Fri Nov. 29, 2019 $1,595,000 29.78% -42.69% $26,313,000 $23,530,000 Sat Nov. 30, 2019 $5,248,000 229.03% -31.93% $31,561,000 Sun Dec. 1, 2019 $7,934,000 51.18% 7.17% $39,495,000 $13,182,000 Mon Dec. 2, 2019 $1,648,000 -79.23% -23.56% $41,143,000 Tue Dec. 3, 2019 $899,000 -45.45% -31.69% $42,042,000 Wed Dec. 4, 2019 $1,462,000 62.63% -31.07% $43,504,000 Thu Dec. 5, 2019 $855,000 -41.52% -30.43% $44,359,000 Fri Dec. 6, 2019 $1,129,000 32.05% -29.22% $45,488,000 $19,175,000 Sat Dec. 7, 2019 $4,090,000 262.27% -22.07% $49,578,000 Sun Dec. 8, 2019 $5,467,000 33.67% -31.09% $55,045,000 $9,557,000

What an Idiot.

Good BGM. Okayish overall. Drop from original in Domestic. $800-850mn WW-C.

With sub-par pre-sales and awful China start, say Jumanji 2 open $30mn next weekend. Frozen 2 will be around $20mn next weekend most likely. I wonder if F2 will actually move up and be #2 film during 20th December to 5th Jan. Those 17 days can do crazy numbers.

UAE Frozen Week 1: $1.95mn Week 2: $2.2mn 3rd Weekend: $0.55mn (-60%) Total: $4.7mn

Thing is D+ need original content and that isn't really coming up for now. Will need Marvel to go big.

Is trailer USA PT 12:30 PM or Brazil 12:30 PM

Also, will the marvel shows be like a long movie stretched to 8 episodes thing because in normal shows, there will be seasons. So if Loki premieres in 2021, there must be second season in 2022 or 2023. What I am saying that number of shows will be more, no.

China ratio of Star Wars film to rest of world Star Wars: The Force Awakens: 11.96% Star Wars: The Last Jedi: 5.89% Rogue One: 13.4% Solo: 9.5% I think we are underestimating TRS a bit. Say TRS is 4-5% of $600mn overseas, that will be $24-30mn. May be it clear $30mn and who knows may be come close to TLJ. If you had told me that TRS may come almost par Jumanji 3 in China a month back, lol.

yeah. that's sorta unbelievable, especially for Solo. Well, as surprising as that may sounds, that's due to China. Solo China was over 9.2% of overseas while TLJ was just 5.9%. @POTUS 2020 I guess you wanna see that Asia - China - Japan did $70mn i.e. 9.8% for TLJ while $21mn i.e. 11.8% for Solo. Basically Star Wars niche is showing in smaller markets. But general audience in bigger markets is coming for only Episode films.

I meant Homecoming underperformer even more. FFH rebounded though.

Why did WW underperformed in Europe? Even more did Homecoming.