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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
~16 hour total, so the same hourly times for both. But that's an estimated value based on @Porthos ratios as I don't have data until a few days later. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Rise of Skywalker Thursday and Friday (as of noon ET): Thursday: Theaters: 280 (+2) Showings: 2734 (+35) Sold Out Showings: 57 (+3) Tickets Sold: 120654 (+11452 since last night) (63% of Avengers: Endgame day 1 (est)) Tickets Available: 395025 (+6206) Estimated ATP: 13.18 (+0.01) Estimated Sales: 1589599 (+151187) Estimated Nationwide Sales: 11.9 million (+1.1 million) Friday: Theaters: 281 Showings: 4304 Sold Out Showings: 37 Tickets Sold: 67266 (making some eyeball estimates, probably about 35-40% of Endgame) Tickets Available: 667625 Estimated ATP: 12.34 Estimated Total Sales: 819482 Estimated Nationwide Sales: 6.1 million From this, total nationwide sales might be in the 24-25 million range. Edit: upped my multipliers based on the ones for Joker -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Let's say it hits 230k by 24 hr mark, using your data from OD overall sales would be about 500k probably. Using $13+ ATP that will be $6.5 million+ at AMC. Well below TFA but above IW by a good margin. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
What are the showtimes you're seeing the captcha at? I've clicked on a few and haven't seen one. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
TFA was about 2/3 Endgame overall on the first day, probably higher than that for previews only. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I don't have exact Endgame numbers for day 1. As I said in the post, using back of the napkin calculations about half of Endgame day 1 for Thursday. Overall, using similar approximations, probably less than a third of Endgame day 1 overall (because of how ridiculously insane Endgame's sales were for FSS). But, there's still time in day 1 yet. It's hard to say. One one hand people have been asleep for a decent amount of this time, on the other hand tickets dropped right in prime ticket selling time. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
The Force is certainly strong with these numbers: TROS Thursday: Theaters: 278 (!!!! Seems like a bunch of Cinemarks are switching to reserved seating for this one) Showings: 2699 Tickets Sold: 109202 (back of the napkin math and estimating ratios it's about half Endgame's first day total which I estimate to be in the 200k range based on my limited data for that) Estimated ATP: 13.17 (!!!) Total Estimated Sales: 1,438,412 (!!!) Estimated Nationwide Sales: 10 million Using normal ratios: Estimated Total Nationwide Presales: 20 million -
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker 558m OS 1.073B WW
Menor the Destroyer replied to Jamiem's topic in International Box Office
Any reason for it to decrease so much in Asia? I thought it was already pretty much at the low point anyway. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Using normal ratios, that would be 8 million presales for previews so far. Probably less since chains will have more presales. Say 6 million. Total PS seems heavily skewed toward Thursday from the eye test so let's say 9 million overall nationwide. Edit: Also AMC appears to be about 2-2.5x Cinemark in early presales from some of your earlier updates. So perhaps 2 million from AMC just for previews, say 4 million overall at AMC so far. Wonder how much it can push it to by EOD. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I wasn't going to run Cinemark until tomorrow but I think it's worth it to start Thursday and Friday now. But I'm not optimistic that I'll get through a full run without running into issues. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Not this far out it won't be. Right now anything post Saturday looks pretty dead at the theaters I've looked at. We're still 2 months out after all. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I wonder if we're about to see a second spike from the trailer. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Hopefully it can beat that. Honestly this might be one of the few movies where IW numbers aren't that great a sign considering that IW's first day presales weren't even at Rogue One level. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Remember it's Atom. Didn't they add a lot of theaters this year? Bc at most theaters I'm not seeing anywhere near Endgame levels. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
I think AMC is just having issues again tbh. I'm having no trouble checking showtimes with Cinemark or Regal but AMC has queues and errors all over the place. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
If it's AMC, you might be able to get around it with Fandango. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
At my old local it's not close to what Endgame was doing right after opening and well above everything else, so right about as expected. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Checking a few theaters, not as crazy as I expected but I guess word hasn't got out yet. Edit: It appears that Cinemark is live as well. Edit 2: Should be live everywhere now. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Menor the Destroyer replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Yep I'm going to be waiting until tomorrow night probably. -
Exactly! Even if you don't like the MCU, this same type of elitist attitude can be (and often is) used to bash animation as "kid stuff" *. I think it's not too much to ask for famous directors to be a bit more respectful when expressing their opinions. *although it looks like he deleted the tweet here