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Menor the Destroyer

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Everything posted by Menor the Destroyer

  1. Menor the Destroyer
    493k tickets sold for OW, probably 550-600k overall depending on how big Thanksgiving and Black Friday sales are.
  2. Menor the Destroyer
    I was never expecting TS4 level reviews or the Oscar, I doubt most people were
  3. Menor the Destroyer
    For a sequel to a breakout hit it's very rare to get reviews as good as the original. I'm glad at least that it delivers on the promise of the trailers. GOTG2 got worse reviews but I thought it was a step up, hopefully this will be the same.
  4. Menor the Destroyer
    It's also the most hyped movie they've released though, so expectations play a role.
  5. Menor the Destroyer
    On MC it will.
  6. Menor the Destroyer
    These reviews are good enough. Not going to hurt the buzz like Lion King.
  7. Menor the Destroyer
    Hoping for 600+, but satisfied with anything above the first.
  8. Menor the Destroyer
    Cin OD is starting to fall down to earth (TLK had 59930 one day after this) but D2 and D3 are just insane. With reviews tomorrow, I could see a bump if they're good.
  9. Menor the Destroyer
    85-68 or something. There will always be those people who say "it's not as fresh as the first one"...like how could it be?
  10. Menor the Destroyer
    Some of these later reactions are actually better (and more interesting) than the premiere ones, which is a good sign.
  11. Menor the Destroyer
    I wonder if Marvel can get 9 billies in a row till the end of 2021. Difficult, but definitely not impossible.
  12. Menor the Destroyer
    I agree somewhat. I'm thinking 10-12 previews seems likely rn. Just pointing out that some AMC dominated areas are selling well.
  13. Menor the Destroyer
    @Inceptionzq has similar numbers though, and theirs is dominated by AMC.
  14. Menor the Destroyer
    Very healthy numbers, even if Cinemark and AMC had usual ratios it would still be beating TLK at this point.
  15. Menor the Destroyer
    That's not too bad actually. The % is in line with other trackers which is pointing I guess toward $12-14 million finish for previews. Actually a better % than Cinemark.
  16. Menor the Destroyer
    Also this is for all days (Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday and later weekdays) not just Thursday or Thursday+Friday.
  17. Menor the Destroyer
    Estimating from AMC and Cinemark data, not official but should be in the ballpark of the actual number.
  18. Menor the Destroyer
    I think lower Friday, higher Saturday and Sunday
  19. Menor the Destroyer
    Strangely weak Sunday (basically no increase from Saturday sales) but very strong overall. Can finally comp with TLK making approximate adjustments. Thurs (adj): 74% of TLK at equivalent point Friday (adj): 125% of TLK at equivalent point Saturday (adj): 192% of TLK at equivalent point Sunday (adj): 188% of TLK at equivalent point. Adjusting for Cinemark overperformance by taking the "real" Thurs number to be 50% of TLK gives more realistic numbers. Still it seems that the internal multiplier will be ridiculous with perhaps lower than expected previews.
  20. Menor the Destroyer
    We have almost chain-level data from scrapers that we can roughly extrapolate to nationwide data. Those of us who are thinking under 200 million aren't trying to be pessimistic, we're just calling things as we see them.
  21. Menor the Destroyer
    For me, about $40 million.
  22. Menor the Destroyer
    Deadline reported the Monday of EG release week that the top 3 chains were 75% of presales. Regal % should be between AMC and Cinemark just based on size.
  23. Menor the Destroyer
    No way the AMC/Cin percentage will be as low as 30%. We're still a month out, the big 3 will be at least 75% of ps (they were 75% until the final week for Endgame which also did huge business in smaller chains).
  24. Menor the Destroyer
    Can we please stop with the overreactions when one theater has low numbers? There's a reason that we have multiple trackers in this thread, and to selectively pay attention to bad-looking numbers while ignoring the many good-looking ones seems pretty disingenuous.
  25. Menor the Destroyer
    But why wouldn't it be so at Cinemark? Cinemark sales are like absurdly good lol
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