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Everything posted by JimiQ
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I expect it to behave in the middle between regular blockbuster and his two previous movies (no drop vs 55% ~ 30%-ish drop)
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Wait wait wait. I am no Cameron fan. I want A2 end below NWH, if it were possible then below TGM. I was pretty adamite anti-cameronite before covid (IW-EG era). But I see what he managed to do before and I see certain fundaments speaking in his favor.
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First one dropped 2% (yeah, I know, blizzard and different calendar configuration) fullness of 3D screens, willingness of people to wait (low spoilerability) backloadedness of presales I mean - ten years have been people repeating “don’t bet against James Cameron” and suddenly everyone does exactly that I will gladly admit I have been wrong - after the fact. Till then I should be allowed some benefit of doubt
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I was expecting low 30s drop, because Cameron, big 25th and big 23rd (school’s out…), but I have been told that’s too optimistic and best A2 can hope for is around 40% drop. but I still think my fundaments are there. 35% to 30% drop would be $87M-$94M
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Rogue One had $29M thursday and also it’s a star wars movie, eg more frontloaded by devoted fans. Avatar fans can wait for better seat (or yet better format)
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I feel like second weekend drop will be in low 30s (because low thur number and general backloadedness) and third weekend (around NYE) under 10%. That would mean (with beefed weekdays 26-30.12.) around 500M DOM at the end of the year
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China Box Office Thread | Oppenheimer-August 30
JimiQ replied to A Marvel Fanboy's topic in China At The Box Office
Saturday is basically over in China, so $20.4M/sat? -
Avatar: The Way of Water -- Domestic Opening Weekend Contest!!
JimiQ replied to XXR vs XXR's topic in Box Office Discussion
I am changing mine $185M to $162.5M- 173 replies
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Avatar: The Way of Water -- Domestic Opening Weekend Contest!!
JimiQ replied to XXR vs XXR's topic in Box Office Discussion
$185M- 173 replies
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At least this ensures there’ll be no IT3 (you know some WB exec would think about it if IT grosses more than first one)
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Terminator: Dark Fate | Nov 1 2019 | Estimated to lose 122.6M
JimiQ replied to grim22's topic in Box Office Discussion
this would have been so great in 1995 -
In 2027 Titanic will outgross Avengers6
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AVENGERS ENDGAME | 1939.4 M overseas ● 2797.8 M worldwide
JimiQ replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
I am sorry, I thought this is endgame box office thread, no “things efialtes76 cares about” -
AVENGERS ENDGAME | 1939.4 M overseas ● 2797.8 M worldwide
JimiQ replied to kayumanggi's topic in International Box Office
Total Lifetime Grosses Domestic: $858,238,683 30.7% + Foreign: $1,937,901,401 69.3% = Worldwide: $2,796,140,084 100k DOM and 120k OS for $220k WW