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MadmenEndgame

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Posts posted by MadmenEndgame

  1. 2 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

    Won't make a huge difference. December movies have larger legs but they also have smaller openings. The Force Awakens would have opened close to 300 mil if it released in May or the Summer and ended with the same gross.

    Okay, this is some straight up bullshit right there. 

     

    TFA wouldn't have open to 300M in Summer. 

     

    • Like 2
    • ...wtf 1
  2. 3 minutes ago, stfletch said:

    My previous methodology based the Thu-Sun split of the approx. 360,000 tickets that occured while Pulse was down on the first day after Pulse was back up. However, I think that first day probably would have had a much higher proportion of sales for the Thursday showing. So, as an alternative I used the split based on the first couple of days of pre-sales for Infinity War and this is what we get!

     

    AIW:

      MON TUE WED THU
    THU 135,699 150,926 170,797 204,244
    FRI 119,025 136,046 156,701 177,694
    SAT 95,621 108,364 123,769 136,023
    SUN 51,258 58,847 67,711 74,892
    TOTAL 401,603 454,183 518,978 592,853

     

    AEG:

    THU 277,621 291,403 310,132
    FRI 221,351 238,830 260,578
    SAT 184,166 197,792 214,937
    SUN 101,281 109,966 121,135
    TOTAL 784,420 837,992 906,783

     

    Factor:

      MON TUE WED
    THU 2.05 1.93 1.82
    FRI 1.86 1.76 1.66
    SAT 1.93 1.83 1.74
    SUN 1.98 1.87 1.79

     

    Estimate:

      AIW   Factor   AEG Est.
    THU $39,000,000 x 1.82 = $70,816,036
    FRI $67,334,939 x 1.66 = $111,971,392
    SAT $82,131,612 x 1.74 = $142,629,596
    SUN $69,231,632 x 1.79 = $123,855,559
    TOTAL $257,698,183       $449,272,584

     

    So conclusive proof that previews will be between $58M and $71M!

     

    Lol, or not.... But I still think they will come in around $60-65M.

     

     

    The alkavely data you are using doesn't contain total tickets sold on pulse. As per your link, there is no data for first 2 days.. 

     

    So could be very higher. 

  3. 5 minutes ago, JamesCameronScholar said:

    Just like Titanic... Jim really is a lucky guy eh? 

     

    I hope EG does beat Avatar otherwise some of the quotes in this thread are going to look mighty funny in just a few weeks time. :Gaga:

    We really don't care much Endgame passes Avatar or not. 

     

    The thing is Endgame got much better reviews and will always be remembered for the heavy lifting Marvel did for 10 years. 

     

    Marvel comes with 3 movies every year. 

     

     

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