Parasite

Paris 14h suggests that Ford v Ferrari is doing nowhere near 80k OD. It's playing more like Anna and John Wick 3 than Ad Astra or Gemini Man in terms of pre-sales frontloading. Maybe 40k OD if evenings are really good. Not great. J'accuse is breaking out, at least in Paris. Probably 60k + previews OD at least.

The only showings listed now are 3D, full ps will start on 18/11, so they will be adding many shows, but for now it looks like normal 9-10am start, without midnights. Ford v Ferrari is looking at about 100k OD if it follows Ad Astra or Gemini Man in pre-sales. That would be a lot higher than what was expected, but even a likelier 80k OD would be a big overperformance. Presales are also indicating J'accuse to open at around 50-60k OD. 1M will be in play.

Original Screenplay and maybe Production Design.

Top 20 Weekend https://www.boxofficepro.fr/box-office-week-end-la-belle-epoque-a-la-fete/ Rank Title Distributor Admissions Prints Average Total Week 1 LA BELLE ÉPOQUE PATHÉ 392 757 (NEW) 548 717 392 757 1 2 JOKER WARNER 341 000 (-51%) 754 452 4 951 618 5 3 HORS NORMES GAUMONT 269 631 (-39%) 719 375 1 416 116 3 4 MALEFIQUE : LE POUVOIR DU MAL DISNEY 205 391 (-61%) 575 357 2 312 581 4 5 ABOMINABLE UNIVERSAL 174 083 (-69%) 742 235 1 549 202 3 6 MIDWAY METROPOLITAN 172 925 (NEW) 403 429 172 925 1 7 RETOUR À ZOMBIELAND SONY 122 604 (-52%) 328 374 419 576 2 8 TERMINATOR: DARK FATE FOX 92 000 (-63%) 455 202 815 397 3 9 MON CHIEN STUPIDE STUDIOCANAL 86 233 (-63%) 425 203 376 489 2 10 DONNE-MOI DES AILES SND 69 649 (-64%) 579 120 1 135 766 4 12. Doctor Sleep : 54 000 (-59%) 13. Adults in the room : 49 506 NEW Harsh drops for everything because of the end of the school break. Hors Normes is showing its incredible WOM with the best hold of the top 20 (tied with Le Traître ). Joker's hold isn't glowing, but it's still far better that some other films. Very good OW for La Belle Epoque. Should go well above 1M admissions. It isn't in the chart, but the Mylène Farmer Concert broke records and should be ranked 7th. All the other openers bombed. Midway's score is better than its OD suggested, but it's stil very poor. Terminator : Dark Fate has had awful holds and will be crawling to 1M. All films will be boosted by 11/11, which isn't included here.

62 169 admissions OD (inc. 15k previews) for La Belle Epoque. With Nov. 11, OWeek should be in the 450k area. 1M total is locked, and it can probably shoot for 1,5M admissions now. WOM seems pretty good. 19 318 for Midway and 10 137 (inc. 5k previews) for I lost my body. Awful for both. La Belle Epoque led all movies on Wednesday, followed by Joker. Hors Normes was third.

La Belle Epoque should open to at least 60-70k OD. 1 million admissions total is likely. 30-30k OD for Midway, not great. Hors Normes started outgrossing Joker on Tuesday. Hopefully that means WOM is spreading and a great hold next week.

How high can Born 1982 go ?

Les Misérables has 2M+ potential. It opens on the same day as Frozen. J'accuse also opens in two weeks, but it won't be that big. La belle époque too actually could be a nice success next week, but probably 1M max.

It was at 3 834 888 admissions last week. This week should be around 900k (4,730M total), 2,2M away from AEG (2.4x multi which seems reasonable). The thing is, this week was very inflated by the holidays. If it drops 45-50% next week, it will be impossible. However, Joker's been defying gravity in its run ; it can somehow find a way to manage a sub-40% drop next week for 550k admissions, then the following weekend will have Nov. 11, 440k (-20%), then 280k (-36%), 200k (-30%), 130k (-35%) for a 6.33M cume, where it needs a 4.3x multi. Christmas legs could get it there. Surpassing Endgame will be very tough, but it's not unreasonable to think it can finish in the same range. It might be doable if it gets Oscar expansions and a good Christmas boost.

11/11 falls on Monday, so it won't count for the weekend, but yes. Joker at 35.7 this weekend in France, so around flat weekend. Avengers : Endgame's total (6,9M) could be within reach if it doesn't crumble after the school break and keeps managing such holds. It's looking at 6,3- 6,5M rn.

Less % change. 800k + maybe. There was a holiday yesterday, but all schools are still closed, so it won't impact Abominable and Maleficent much, while helping Hors Normes and Joker. Both films will also suffer less when the school break is over on Monday/Tuesday.

Pretty good for Abominable considering its performance in the rest of the world. IMHO, Joker and Hors Normes seem a bit low while Maleficent (and Abominable) are slightly high considering the end of the school break. Awful for Dr Sleep. Italian film Le Traître (Il traditore) could outgross it this week. Joker got Label Plébiscite du Public (like Cinemascore, films with 8.5+ get it) with a 9.2/10 score. Hors Normes also got it, with 9.9/10, which is the highest score ever. Its opening is a bit disappointing, but it has an even better score than Intouchables. Let's see if it can hold flat this week.

Probably - 30% or slightly less for Joker for the weekend. The % drop should go down for the full week due to the school break. OW was revised up 30k.

@Charlie Jatinderanything on Parasite?

Anyone tracking Parasite's expansion?

1 576 425 OWeek for Joker. Very, very nice. If (that's a big if, French PS can be very misleading) it holds like TLK suggests it will, it should be around 3M, yes. The "weekend" is Wed-Sun.

As said in the France thread, very few data for PS holdovers, but 10/20 % drop likely.

Ok.. So Joker PS are down 65% from last week. BUT don't pull the trigger alarm so quickly. There's very few data on holdover PS. TLK dropped around 80% in PS, but still managed a stellar 30% second weekend hold. TLK Week 2 comp : 1 150 000 admissions (-32% inc. previews/-29% off a likely 1,7 (82k previews) OWeek) TLK Week 3 comp : 1 469 000 (-11%/-9%) Besides, neither of these TLK weeks losed PLF like Joker does to Maleficent, and the MTC (Pathé Gaumont) here has exclusivity to IMAX, 4DX, Screen X,... Last week's walk-ups were deflated by a technical problem on Saturday, unableling most Pathé theaters to sell any ticket, while this week has the beginning of the school break. Overall, I'd say Joker is headed to 1,3-1,5 second weekend, for a stellar - 10/-20 % hold. Maleficent is performing as expected, towards a likely 60-70 OD. La Vérité ! (...) is bombing horrifically, and will be incredibly lucky to hit 1M total. Everything below is awful.

1 357 118 admissions OW for Joker it seems! Next week opens : Maleficient 2, La vérité si je mens ! Les débuts, Hustlers (renamed Queens here), Fahim, Angry Birds 2, Matthias & Maxime, Shaun the sheep 2. Joker should retain #1, followed very closely by LVSJM! LD whose predecessor opened with 1,9M. This one has muted buzz and so-so response. It should still open around 1M. Maleficient opened with 627k back in 2014. A Mary Poppins Returns-like (389k) performance feels about right here. Fourth place should go to Matthias & Maxime, Xavier Dolan's latest. Even The life and death of John F. Donovan opened close to 200k. AB2 and Shaun should battle for #5 while Queens/Hustlers likely will be a non factor.

French ATP seems a bit low using RTH's numbers. Are they underestimating it again?

1.6 OWeek is back on the table then. 5M total likely then with the school break (week 2 and 3), maybe more.

Indeed. It has become a cultural phenomenon in France. Only its Paris admissions, where it posted MCU-level numbers would be enough to be the highest grossing Korean film here. Lots of repeat viewings, incredible WOM, it spent 3 consecutive weeks flat. Four months after its release, a lot of theaters are still playing it. One of them is also running a Bong Joon Ho marathon for the 20th consecutive week. Wouldn't be surprised if America catched Bong Hive.

ArcLight Hollywood - Parasite Update Afternoon and evening tickets sold for Saturday : 3374 (+879 from 4am) Afternoon and evening tickets sold for Friday at the same point : 1107. Now, Saturday is inflated by the two Q/As. Removing them gives 2075 (+87%). Final numbers probably won't have the same increase due to screen capacity though. Still, the 3374, with 17,75 avg. is 60k, with pre-sales only. Very, very strong. In fact, it seems too strong. Must be an error somewhere.

What's Parasite looking at ? Something in the low 20s ?

ArcLight Hollywood (without matinee showings). Friday : 5090 seats available Saturday : 5645 seats available (+11%) 1107 tickets pre-sold for Friday afternoon and evening shows at 2pm Los Angeles time yesterday. 2495 tickets pre-sold for Saturday afternoon and evening shows (including two sold out Q/As with a 1298 total capacity) at 4am Los Angeles time today (which is 44k with 17,75$ avg. price).