MightyDargon

Except I get the impression Gladiator 2 was going to get whatever remaining money Paramount has for marketing no matter what. I've seen theater standees for IF but not many trailers or much attempt at hyping the movie. I wouldn't want One being promoted with the effort I've seen put into IF.

If TFOne is getting delayed, it's possible it may be because Paramount is in such dire straits they can't actually market their movies until a buyout occurs.

Okay, why would theaters be so deeply invested in Panda 4 by the 1st week of May? It's the second oldest big movie still playing and it did "good but not super blockbuster" results. I honestly think both Dune and Panda 4 will basically be gone by the 1st week of May. There's only so many little kids whose parents will take them to see Kung Fu Panda and most of them will have seen it by 1st week of May anyway.

I'm not feeling Fall Guy's buzz (it seems largely restricted to here) but I doubt most theaters would keep a 2 month old Dreamworks film that was already streaming onscreen by the time it comes out.

Attracting that audience is a very low priority once the actual summer drops start. It's useful for holding pattern months but Migration had to deal with mainly low demand movies in Jan/Feb. Things that actually eat up many screens will release in May. This basically means Panda is stuck with April only as its "easy month". I expect some attrition to kick in once we're about halfway through April but the real impact to be in 1st week May.

The Crow looks assy enough that it would get slaughtered by anything.

They mostly aren't buying tickets to Panda either. Panda played mainly to older kids.

Nah, they'll kick it. Unless all the releases are hard R there's very good incentive to punt Panda by 1st week May. It's not exactly a Mario situation where the movie was a super blockbuster in and of itself that warranted being kept over other, newer releases. Keep in mind Panda's streaming release is April 9. This gives theaters even less incentive to leave it on over exclusives they'll get.

If having kids makes me write insufferable long posts like yours, no thanks.

December won't be that great a slot if other studios get it into their head they can counterprogram lesser Marvel releases. Stuff like Deadpool is still formidable but if I was another studio, I would not move my release because Thunderbolts got a Christmas release.

Yeah but that basically ends 1st week of May. I don't think Ghostbuster/Panda will have much gas left by then against whatever opener will eat up 4,000 screens. Note that there weren't THAT many openers overall due to the strike. Ghost/Panda/Kong/Dune is basically only 4 movies that most of the audience wants to see. So once a whole bunch of summer drops start happening I fully expect the March releases to clear out fast.

Ultraman is a boring ass excuse for a villain anyway. "What if Superman but EEVVIIILLL" has already been done to death and Gunn is stupid to not use the fun version of the concept (Bizarro).

I'm very skeptical it will have that many through May. There's enough movies that have oomph from the distributors that Panda will be low priority to keep screens. The reason Migration could hold those screens was because it was a Christmas movie going into a dead zone. Going by BOM April 5 it looks like Panda's PSA is actually lower than Dune's so it's ability to hold has actually considerably weakened already. By 1st week of May most theaters will be trying to kick the March releases out if they haven't already.

Anecdotes really aren't helpful in any sort of analytical sense though. "Movie declined/rose by x amount" is but that always gets covered up by "middle class dad/politics" blathering.

Panda won't hit 200 mil because theaters won't hold it that long. The incentive becomes more limited the older the movie is and BIG movies will show up to eat its screens considerably before Garfield. So it DOES have competition even though people here love repeating the "no competitor until Garfield" theory since older movies will ultimately lose screens to something.

Please stop with the "middle class dad" anecdotes. They're essentially the equivalent of political stuff in the Civil War thread and make it even harder to determine what is factually occurring.

I wouldn't say that yet.

I'd argue people are pretty demanding but not in a "good" way. A lot of the later MCU movies did not exactly have great CGI for the money put into them. In terms of cinematography, music, etc. many were vastly inferior to Villeneuve's Dune. What the MCU audience was "demanding" of was continuity porn and rabbit hole/mystery box stuff. Guardians 3 was vastly superior to most late MCU movies because it WASN'T trying to put in a bunch of continuity porn to shill for future movies since it was the last Gunn MCU movie and it felt like "real" movie as a result.

8.5 mil is considerably higher than the earlier 7.5 mil Deadline gave anyway, which I'm sure will screw around with the projection attempts at this point.

This actually looks like a decent score for this movie. Meaning it'll probably do well on streaming once WOM gets out.

I mean, they kind of target a similar audience so they need oxygen anyway.

Not ANOTHER Ghostbusters remake! ...I'm sure certain people on here will say it's better than the 1984 film just to piss me off.

The Avengers films have most likely been extensively rewritten due to Kang getting put on a bus.

X-Men 97 seems more anticipated and better received than most of the actual MCU stuff was.

Hopefully Keanu and Carrie Ann show up again in Matrix 5 but we REALLY need the LISAN AL GHAIB