JJ-8

This week you will also have makeup questions at the bottom. For anyone who has missed a week or a SOTM question, you will have one chance at makeups. These makeup questions will be worth 20,000 points plus bonus. Again, this is an honour system, please be fair. Regular weekly questions: All questions pertain to the three day UOS 1) Will November Man drop more than 35% on Thursday? Yes 2) Will Above So Below open to more than 15 MILLION? No 3) Will GOTG be number one? Yes 4) Will both GOTG and Turtles increase for the 4 day? Yes 5) Will more than 5 films drop less than 10%? Yes 6) Will Turtles have a Sat increase of more than 58%? No 7) Will any film make more than 18 mill for the 4 day? Yes 8) Will any film increase more than 10% on Sunday? No 9) Will more than 2 films decrease on Sunday? Yes 10) Will Turtles fall less than 5% on Monday? No 11) Will Into the Storm finish higher than Lucy? No 12) Will Expendables make more than Sin City? No 10/12 3000 11/12 5000 12/12 7000 What finishes in slots: 4 The November Man 5 Ghostbusters (30th) 8 When the game stands tall 9 The Giver 11 The Hundred Foot Journey 12 Sin City 2 2000 each bonus of 10,000 if all 6 correct No individual bonus this week as I will have enough to calculate. MAKE UP QUESTIONS ~ Yes I am doing these ... i missed 2 weeks All questions also pertain to the 3 day unless otherwise specified. The first 6 questions will be worth 1000 points, the last 7 will be worth 2000 1) Will Turtles finish in second? Yes 2) Will GOTG make more for its three day than Turtles does for the 4 day? No 3) Will Above/So Below open to more than 5 mill on Friday? No 4) Will any film fall less than 3% on Thurs? Yes 5) Will November Man make more than 12 million for the 5 day? No 6) Will Expendables open to more than 20 million in China? No 7) Will Expendables 3 fall less than 35%? No 8) Will If I Stay increase more than 80% on Friday? Yes 9) Will any film increase more than 145% on Friday? Yes 10) Will any film increase more than 60% on Saturday? No 11) Will any film increase more than 10% on Sunday? No 12) Will Let's Be Cops fall less than 20% for the three day? Yes 13) Will Sin City be in the top 10? No 10/13 3000 11/13 5000 12/13 7000 13/13 10,000 Bonus: What will GOTG gross for the 4 day? 7000 20.694m Good luck to all of you!

to be honest when i did my research, i never for 1 ever saw Dragon 2 making into the worldwide top 5 weekends. even if made a big start domestically (which it didn't anyway but that is irrelevant). it's weekends were all spread out... There were 3 obvious films (TASM2, Godzilla and DOFP) which were all known to be opening day and date in most countries. and at least 2 of those films were looking for an OW (at the time) domestic of > 100m which didn't happen . TF4 was also pretty obvious. only question mark was maleficent which i had picked purely on the fact it also was opening day and date... my research on the other contenders including GOTG, Apes etc, showed a much larger spread of dates and yes i used IMDB for most of the dates. To be honest this in my mind was a rather easy chart and the only choice which was a questionable one in the 5 i picked was maleficent. The other 4 all made logical sense due to the fact they were opening day and date everywhere.

just cleaned that up for you removed the extra 3 posts... all good

barely ever watched the series, haven't even seen the first film... little interest in seeing this one either... problem with these kind of films is typically they badly reviewed anyway due to the target audience. they are almost usually critic proof for the GA. In saying that, I just don't see this performing well no matter where it's based.

first post updated just wow @ GOTG... total > 290m is looking good now. We may get finally a 300m grosser from this summer can Guardian's make it to the top all time spot for august releases (already in 2nd ... only Sixth Sense to go @ 293m ) As for SC 2..... lol..... is that number getting worse for it ? falling short of 10m for the weekend now ?

Any news how the Inbetweeners is performing this weekend ? I'm thinking that GOTG will hold onto #1 for a 3rd weekend ... looking for a weekend >> 3m. the first inbetweeners managed 2.8m. I don't think it's userbase has increased from the first film given it only went on to make 8.7m. I'm thinking around 2m opening here for the sequel putting it in 2nd behind the 3rd weekend of GOTG.

This is the second last week. I am going to create 3 sets of individuals. ANYONE who has not had individuals, can take a crack at any of the three sets of questions. THIS IS YOUR RESPONSIBILITY TO DO THEM AND TO BE HONEST. If you do individuals and you have already had them before, I will deduct 100,000 points from your total, for being dishonest. Makeups will be conducted next week on the same basis. All questions worth 1000 Due normal time 1) Will any new release make more than 20 mill? NO 2) Will GOTG or TMNT finish first? NO 3) Will Expendables 3 drop more than 55%? YES 4) Will Let's Be Cops fall more than 45%? NO 5) Will When The Game Stands Tall open to more than 12 million? NO 6) Will If I Stay increase more than 11% on Saturday? YES 7) Will any film increase more than 8.5% on Thursday? YES 8) Will any film increase less than 55% on Friday? YES 9) Will any film increase more than 60% on Saturday? NO 10) Will Expendables 3 open to more than 20 million in China? NO 11) Will GOTG drop less than 39%? YES 12) Will One Hundred Foot Journey make more than Into the Storrm? YES 13) Will Giver increase more than 65% on Friday? YES 14) Will any new release have a preview number of more than 1 million? NO 12/14 3000 13/14 5000 14/14 8000 What finishes is spots 2 Fank Miller's Sin City: A Dame to Kill for 4 Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 5 Let's be cops 6 The Giver 7 The Expendables 3 2000 each and 3000 bonus for all five right. Bonus 1: What will GOTG gross on Saturday? 5000 6.5105m Bonus 2: What will Turtles gross on Saturday? 5000 5.9910m Bonus 3: What will Expendables gross on Thursday? 5000 0.878m No individuals as I already got mine and failed but i'll be in for the make ups when they hit

as you are no doubt aware... anyone running chrome SOTM 13 was a little bit simple hence the lock i suspect damn google eh ?

Fantastic for both GOTG and Lucy. Exp3 disappointing here too.

1) Will Expendables make more than 22 mill? Yes 2) Will Turtles fall less than 58%? Yes 3) Will GOTG fall more than 43%? No 4) Will Let's Be Cops make more than 15 mill for the 5 day? Yes 5) Will Giver make more than 18 mill? No 6) Will Expendables make more than 2 mill for previews? Yes 7) Will any film increase more than 75% on Friday? Yes 8) Will Turtles be number one? No 9) Will Giver make more than Expendables? No 10) Will Let's Be Cops drop more than 37% on Thursday? Yes 11) Will any film increase more than 55% on Saturday? No 12) Will Into the Storm fall more than 60%? Yes 10/12 3000 11/12 5000 12/12 7000 What finishes in spots 5 The Giver 6 Into the Storm 8 Lucy 10 Hercules 11 Step up all in 2000 each 3000 bonus for all correct. Bonus 1: What will the total weekend gross be of TMNT and GOTG combine? 5000 57.881m Bonus 2: What will Expendables 3 make opening day? 5000 8.4m Bonus 3: What will Into the Storm make on Sunday? 5000 3.3m Bonus 4: What will the combine total be for the three openers come Sunday (5 day and 3day and 3 day) 5000 53.914m Good luck!

Here are five questions for you pertaining to GOTG. Each one you get right is worth 5000. No points for wrong answers. Only caveat is that if you go for all five, you must get all five right, Missing even one question and you lose 15,000. Go for as many or as little as you want. Will GOTG drop less than 7.5% on Labour Day weekend (3 day only)? Yes Will GOTG pass Transformers before LD weekend? (so counting August 28th numbers) Abstain Will GOTG have a drop of less than 35% in the next two weekends? Yes Will GOTG have a Thursday drop of less than 7.5% in the next two weeks? Yes Will GOTG have a worldwide gross of more than 450 million by the end of the game (only Sunday estimates will count, so in other words, LD Monday is not part of this equation).? Yes Deadline is Thursday August 14th at 11:59 pm PST. Good luck!

As chasmi said. Turtles are threatening to turn the top 7 on its head. Estimates after Friday are 62m to 68m from DHD. Only needs 69m......

oh i'm pm'd you too b - about the excel file

edit

Excel + Array formulas are your friend when putting stuff like this together. But yes it's a lot of work compiling those numbers..... hence i thought i'd help ya out a bit and score these now ... should i hide the domestic top 7 ones too ? PS if you need me to PM them, i've got them all in excel also also happy to share the excel file to you if you want to check anything

all good.. no need to add them yet... the domestic top 7 scores aren't going to make or break anyones game seriously here.. but those scores for the worldwide weekends could turn game on it's head......

Well it's alll up to date : - Domestic Top 7 Weekends - Preliminary Scores - Worldwide Top 5 Weekends - Preliminary Scores I've posted both of the scores as per the top 7 and top 5 charts as they stand now (they are extremely unlikely to change from this point forward so I am fairly certain they can be scored) Not a lot of variance in the scores for the Domestic (nearly everyone lost on Dragon 2 for example ... lol) BUT the Worldwide is looking like a game change with scores ranging from under 100k up to nearly 400k. Special mention for "Film" who scored a stunning 565k (he basically nailed this thing) in this too... (he is the outlier here) out of a maximum score of 700k. Anyway for now check out your scores over in the Weekends thread under Baumer's game area. I'll leave it to B to choose when he wants to add them into the main scores.

Preliminary Scores - Worldwide Weekends Top 5 * assumes highest weekend for each movie... a movie cannot appear twice in the list. The Top 5 Worldwide Weekends are (As of August 4th, 2014), 1. Transformers: Age of Extinction (26th to 29th June) - 302.138m 2. X-Men: Days of Future Past (23rd to 25th May) - 262.866m 3. The Amazing Spider-man 2 (2nd to 4th May) - 208.989m 4. Godzilla (2014) (16th to 18th May) - 196.588m 5. Maleficent (30th May to 1st June) - 170.031m

This thread.. Watching the top 12 implode....

Yeah. There wasn't a large list films selected. We all failed for 7 films mainly due to dragon2 failing. Interesting the final 7 films were all predicted by at least someone meaning there are no massive surprises but maybe a few minor ones.

I will. Just got a little tired. That's a job for later. The WW scores could be very interesting.

My god. What have u unleashed Baumer?

I bet

The real question is how much Cjohn paid chewy.........

Preliminary Scores - Domestic Top 7 Opening Weekends The Top 7 OW Weekends are (As of August 4th, 2014), 1. Transformers: Age of Extinction - 100.038m 2. Guardian's of the Galaxy - 94.321m 3. Godzilla (2014) - 93.188m 4. The Amazing Spider-man 2 - 91.608m 5. X-Men: Days of Future Past - 90.824m 6. Dawn of the Planet of the Apes - 72.611m 7. Maleficent - 69.431m The top 7 is now very unlikely to change as no other films this summer are expected to open above 50m. The Scores: (Calculated based upon the original post by Baumer) Gross Score = Total score across your 7 predicted films against the grosses made on OW Position Score = +15k if guessed correct position, 10k if it's in the top 7, -7k if it misses the top 7 # Correct = +75k >5 correct; +150k all 7 correct and no one got all 7 btw User - Gross Score + Position Score + #Correct Score (# Correct) = Total 24 Lost - 25k + 58k + 75k(6) = 158k A song of iceroll and fire - 55k + 58k + 75k(6) = 188k Alfredstellar - 40k + 68k + 75k(6) = 183k AndyLL - 80k + 58k + 75k(6) = 213k Baumer - 65k + 41k + 75k(5) = 181k bcf26 - 20k + 63k + 75k(6) = 158k Blankments - 50k + 36k + 75k(5) = 161k Cedar - 60k + 63k + 75k(6) = 198k chasmmi - 75k + 68k + 75k(6) = 218k Chewy - 45k + 58k + 75k(6) = 178k cjohn - 45k + 63k + 75k(6) = 183k Claire Hol7 - 65k + 68k + 75k(6) = 208k cmaster - 70k + 68k + 75k(6) = 213k Dar - 25k + 51k + 75k(5) = 151k darkelf - 60k + 68k + 75k(6) = 203k Dipper - 65k + 63k + 75k(6) = 203k druv10 - 100k + 58k + 75k(6) = 233k Ed - 65k + 63k + 75k(6) = 203k Empire - 65k + 68k + 75k(6) = 208k Fern - 60k + 58k + 75k(6) = 193k Film - 55k + 63k + 75k(6) = 193k Gizmo - 45k + 63k + 75k(6) = 183k glassfairy - 30k + 51k + 75k(5) = 156k Goffe - 75k + 53k + 75k(6) = 203k Gokai Red - 35k + 58k + 75k(6) = 168k grey ghost - 60k + 63k + 75k(6) = 198k Grim22 - 50k + 63k + 75k(6) = 188k jajang - 50k + 63k + 75k(6) = 188k Jake Gittes - 65k + 46k + 75k(5) = 186k Jandrew - 45k + 63k + 75k(6) = 183k Jay Hollywood - 85k + 53k + 75k(6) = 213k JohnnY - 65k + 63k + 75k(6) = 203k kayumanggi - 65k + 63k + 75k(6) = 203k Kitik - 15k + 41k + 75k(5) = 131k LAGuy - 75k + 41k + 75k(5) = 191k mahnamahma - 75k + 73k + 75k(6) = 223k Mattrek - 60k + 58k + 75k(6) = 193k MeanGirlsFilms - 50k + 63k + 75k(6) = 188k Moviegeek - 70k + 63k + 75k(6) = 208k Movieman89 - 70k + 73k + 75k(6) = 218k narniadis - 55k + 58k + 75k(6) = 188k Neo - 20k + 63k + 75k(6) = 158k nerdygeek - 55k + 53k + 75k(6) = 183k Numbers - 60k + 58k + 75k(6) = 193k Olive - 80k + 68k + 75k(6) = 223k punishment - 75k + 78k + 75k(6) = 228k Rhyne0h1040 - 55k + 63k + 75k(6) = 193k Schumacher - 75k + 41k + 75k(5) = 191k Simionski - 45k + 58k + 75k(6) = 178k spaghetti - 45k + 58k + 75k(6) = 178k Telemachos - 75k + 68k + 75k(6) = 218k The Panda - 65k + 56k + 75k(5) = 196k The Stingray - 50k + 63k + 75k(6) = 188k Tylerdurden - -70k + 53k + 75k(6) = 58k VanAuger - -70k + 53k + 75k(6) = 58k Za Rukaio - -70k + 58k + 75k(6) = 63k The users below did not submit a complete top 7 (or didn't submit anything), I have chosen to score as follows: 1. for each film not submitted ~ -7k for position 2. for each film not submitted ~ -10k for gross Damien Roc - 15k + 24k + 0k(4) = 39k ** Damien only submitted the top 5 (lost for 2 films) Jesus of Suburbia - 50k + 41k + 75k(5) = 166k ** Did not list $ for 22JS (only impacts gross) Junkshop - -70k + 46k + 75k(5) = 51k ** Listed positions only (only impacts gross) MGS - -70k + -49k + 0k(0) = -119k ** Did not submit a Top 7 (lost for all 7) Mulder - -70k + -49k + 0k(0) = -119k ** Did not submit a Top 7 (lost for all 7) The Winter Soldier - -70k + -49k + 0k(0) = -119k ** Did not submit a Top 7 (lost for all 7) (I'll leave it up to Baumer on how he will score the users listed) ONCE AGAIN THESE SCORES ARE ONLY PRELIMINARY AND FINAL SCORES ARE UP TO BAUMER AS ALWAYS