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JJ-8

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Everything posted by JJ-8

  1. oh and I do believe that the preseason q13 can be answered..... Q13) Will there be a worldwide weekend of over 220M this winter?
  2. Is horrible bosses 2 possible to make 50m over its 5 days ? I could see penguins making it. Hb2 isn't out of the question either.
  3. Still don't get why some put 60m for the hobbit 3. That would be outright embarrassing for its 5 day
  4. oh and next weekend will finally see us have more than 7 films predicted for (it will be 8) so depending on who performs the worst out of - dumb and dumber to - penguins of Madagascar (I see this one being ok) - horrible bosses 2 will miss the top 7. if penguins misses, then everyone is going to be hurting.. however only a select few miss out if either of horrible bosses or dadt misses. At least 1 more will make this chart meaning a further film will be lost here in a few weeks time. There is also a good chance for another film with a further 2 films having an outside chance. of course there could be a surprise too but no ones predicted that
  5. Domestic Top 7 Opening Weekend Standings Top 7 Opening Weekends as of November 24th 2014. (Films predicted are highlighted in BOLD) 1. The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 1 - 121.898m 2. Big Hero 6 - 56.216m 3. Interstellar - 49.662m ** 4. Gone Girl - 37.513m 5. Annabelle - 37.134m 6. Dumb and Dumber To - 36.112m 7. Fury - 23.702m ** # includes all grosses till first Sunday. The following colors only apply to films in the Top 7 Opening Weekends: If your prediction is in GOLD, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $1m. You get 40,000 points! If your prediction is in PURPLE, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $2.5m. You get 35,000 points! If your prediction is in BRIGHT GREEN, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $5m. You get 30,000 points! If your prediction is in BLUE, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $10m. You get 25,000 points! If your prediction is in DARK GREEN, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $15m. You get 20,000 points! If your prediction is in PINK, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $20m. You get 15,000 points! If your prediction is in GREY, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $30m. You get 10,000 points! If your prediction is in BLACK, the prediction is in the top 7 AND not within $30m. You get SAFE (0)! The following colors only apply to films that did not make the Top 7 Opening Weekends: If your prediction is in RED, the prediction is not in the top 7 AND within $30m. You lose 7,000 points (-7,000)! If your prediction is in RED strikethru, the prediction is not in the top 7 AND not within $30m. You lose 17,000 points (-17,000)! OCTOBER GONE GIRL (7/23) avi - 57m grim22 - 52m Alpha - 50m iceroll - 43m Snoopy of Suburbia - 38m Actual OW - 37.513m bcf26 - 37m Spaghetti - 33m ANNABELLE (1/23) Grey Ghost - 38m Actual OW - 37.134m NOVEMBER BIG HERO 6 (23/23) mahnamahna - 68.5m avi - 68m Spaghetti - 67m Empire - 66m Alpha - 65m Snoopy of Suburbia - 65m DAJK - 65m Blankments - 64m bcf26 - 64m iceroll - 63m Geraldino - 62m darkelf - 61m Telemachos - 59m chasmmi - 57m laguy03 - 57m Jajang - 56.3m Actual OW - 56.216m Wrath - 55m grim22 - 53m Filmovie - 50m The Panda - 50m Grey Ghost - 48m cmasterclay - 48m Punishment - 40m INTERSTELLAR (23/23) mahnamahna - 97m Jajang - 91.4m darkelf - 89m bcf26 - 88m The Panda - 85m chasmmi - 84m Geraldino - 84m Empire - 83m DAJK - 83m Blankments - 81m Alpha - 80m Filmovie - 80m Wrath - 80m grim22 - 79m Spaghetti - 78m iceroll - 78m Telemachos - 78m cmasterclay - 74m avi - 65m laguy03 - 61m Punishment - 55m Snoopy of Suburbia - 54m Grey Ghost - 52m Actual OW - 49.662m DUMB AND DUMBER TO (4/23) chasmmi - 41m mahnamahna - 40.5m The Panda - 40.000000001m Filmovie - 40m Actual OW - 36.112m THE HUNGER GAMES: MOCKINGJAY - PART 1 (23/23) Jajang - 173.4m Punishment - 165m avi - 162m iceroll - 161m Wrath - 160m cmasterclay - 160m Geraldino - 157m DAJK - 156m Snoopy of Suburbia - 155m darkelf - 155m laguy03 - 155m Telemachos - 155m Filmovie - 154m Spaghetti - 154m Empire - 153m Blankments - 153m grim22 - 152m Grey Ghost - 150m The Panda - 150m mahnamahna - 148.5m chasmmi - 147m Alpha - 145m bcf26 - 133m Actual OW - 121.898m
  6. Wow. Slightly more front loaded than normal. Not often we see that here in Australia. I've seen and liked the film but get the drop off too. It's quite a change from cf. Different style.
  7. 1000 Will Hunger Games Open to more than $125M YES 2000 Will Hunger Games total gross exceed $360M NO 4000 Will Hunger Games Gross more than $30M on its first Sunday? NO 8000 Will Hunger Games drop less than 53.5% on its second weekend (3 day to 3 day)? YES 12000 Will Hunger Games have a Multiplier above 2.6? YES 16000 Will Hunger Games open to more than $22M in the UK by its first Sunday? YES 24000 Will Hunger Games gross more than $25M total in Mexico? ABSTAIN!!!!!! STOPPING HERE 32000 Will Hunger Games gross 850M WW by the end of the game? 48000 Will Hunger Games have 5 or more $10M weekends during its run? 64000 Will Hunger Games have won the year by its 20th day in release?
  8. Given, they got the hobbit to the screen with all the issues with getting that one to happen.. i'm sure they will find a way to extend the cash cow........ but yes I know what you mean. i'm not even sure if the Tolkien estate want that part of the middle earth backstory on screen anyway.
  9. If they have any smarts, they'll catch on make a movie about each chapter of the Silmarillion.... especially some of the stories of gondolin I reckon would make a few great movies there...
  10. So it's another special week with the long awaited release of Happy Valley and so we're gonna have another mega week for Questions!! Deadline, connection to top 12 and scoring is the same as always UOS. 1. Will the Hunger games Open to more than 137M? YES 2. Will The Hunger Games open to more than 150M? 3000 YES 3. Will The Hunger Games Open to more than 160M? YES 4. Will 2nd-12th place's combined weekend gross more than Hunger Game's Friday? 2000 YES 5. What position will Big Hero 6 be in on Friday? 3rd 6. Will Interstellar drop less than 45%? NO 7. What film will have the biggest drop for the weekend? FURY 8. Will Birdman finish in the top 10? 2000 YES 9. How many films will increase more than 250% on Friday? 3 10. Will Gone Girl drop more than 38% on Sunday? NO 11. Will Dumb and Dumb stay in the top 3? NO 12. How many films will drop less than 50% this weekend? 4 13. Will Ouija finish above Nightcrawler? NO 14. Name any film (not just top 12) that drops more than 70% or write None if you think none will. 3000 OUIJA 15. Which will gross more Sleepwalker or V/H/S? SLEEPWALKER 16. Will Happy Valley have a PTA above $2000? YES 17. Will Saving Christmas gross more than $1M this weekend? NO 18. Will interstellar pass $350M Worldwide by the end of the Weekend? 2000 YES 19. Will Hunger Games gross more than $3M in South Korea by Sunday? YES 20. Will Fury Increase more than 45% on Saturday? YES 15/20 2000 16/20 3000 17/20 4000 18/20 5000 19/20 7000 20/20 10000 Bonus 1. What will Hunger Games' OW gross be? 168.451m 2. What will Big Hero 6 gross on Sunday? 6.901m 3. What will Gone Girl's Percentage drop be this weekend? -33.506% Placements: 1. (Because I am feeling charitable) mockingjay 2. Big hero 6 4. Dumb and dumber to 7. Beyond the lights 9. Birdman 12. Ouija 2000 each get all 6 for an 8000 bonus
  11. Thanks wrath. I don't think anyone picked hot tub in their top 7 ow. Only top 7's are shown.
  12. Domestic Top 7 Opening Weekend Standings Top 7 Opening Weekends as of November 17th 2014. (Films predicted are highlighted in BOLD) 1. Big Hero 6 - 56.216m 2. Interstellar - 49.662m** 3. Gone Girl - 37.513m 4. Annabelle - 37.134m 5. Dumb and Dumber To - 36.112m 6. Fury - 23.702m 7. Dracula Untold - 23.515m ** # includes all grosses till first Sunday. The following colors only apply to films in the Top 7 Opening Weekends: If your prediction is in GOLD, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $1m. You get 40,000 points! If your prediction is in PURPLE, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $2.5m. You get 35,000 points! If your prediction is in BRIGHT GREEN, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $5m. You get 30,000 points! If your prediction is in BLUE, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $10m. You get 25,000 points! If your prediction is in DARK GREEN, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $15m. You get 20,000 points! If your prediction is in PINK, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $20m. You get 15,000 points! If your prediction is in GREY, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $30m. You get 10,000 points! If your prediction is in BLACK, the prediction is in the top 7 AND not within $30m. You get SAFE (0)! The following colors only apply to films that did not make the Top 7 Opening Weekends: If your prediction is in RED, the prediction is not in the top 7 AND within $30m. You lose 7,000 points (-7,000)! If your prediction is in RED strikethru, the prediction is not in the top 7 AND not within $30m. You lose 17,000 points (-17,000)! OCTOBER GONE GIRL (7/23) avi - 57m grim22 - 52m Alpha - 50m iceroll - 43m Snoopy of Suburbia - 38m Actual OW - 37.513m bcf26 - 37m Spaghetti - 33m ANNABELLE (1/23) Grey Ghost - 38m Actual OW - 37.134m NOVEMBER BIG HERO 6 (23/23) mahnamahna - 68.5m avi - 68m Spaghetti - 67m Empire - 66m Alpha - 65m Snoopy of Suburbia - 65m DAJK - 65m Blankments - 64m bcf26 - 64m iceroll - 63m Geraldino - 62m darkelf - 61m Telemachos - 59m chasmmi - 57m laguy03 - 57m Jajang - 56.3m Actual OW - 56.216m Wrath - 55m grim22 - 53m Filmovie - 50m The Panda - 50m Grey Ghost - 48m cmasterclay - 48m Punishment - 40m INTERSTELLAR (23/23) mahnamahna - 97m Jajang - 91.4m darkelf - 89m bcf26 - 88m The Panda - 85m chasmmi - 84m Geraldino - 84m Empire - 83m DAJK - 83m Blankments - 81m Alpha - 80m Filmovie - 80m Wrath - 80m grim22 - 79m Spaghetti - 78m iceroll - 78m Telemachos - 78m cmasterclay - 74m avi - 65m laguy03 - 61m Punishment - 55m Snoopy of Suburbia - 54m Grey Ghost - 52m Actual OW - 49.662m DUMB AND DUMBER TO (4/23) chasmmi - 41m mahnamahna - 40.5m The Panda - 40.000000001m Filmovie - 40m Actual OW - 36.112m
  13. A little late this week sorry. As always all questions relate to the Domestic 3 day, the top 12 and are worth 1000 points UOS. Deadline is the usual 1. Will a New Release debut at number 1? 3000 YES 2. Will Beyond the Lights gross more for its 3 day than Big Hero does for Saturday? NO 3. Will both Interstellar and Big Hero drop less than 33%? YES 4. Will Big Hero 6's total gross be over 20M ahead of Interstellar's by the end of the weekend? YES 5. Will Dumb and Dumber open above 30M? 3000 YES 6. Will Birdman remain in the top 12? YES 7. Will St Vincent remain in the top 6? 2000 NO 8. Will Saving Christmas finish in the top 12? YES 9. Which film excluding Birdman will have the lowest weekend drop? Big Hero 6 10. Will at least 2 films not increase 100% on Friday? YES 11. Will Maze Runner pass $100M this weekend? YES 12. Which film will have the biggest Saturday jump? BIG HERO 6 13. Will Book of Life Finish above The Judge? 3000 NO 14. Will the top 3's combined gross be more than 110M? NO 15. Will the whole forum have unanimously agreed on whether Interstellar is a flop or a hit by the end of the weekend? NO Bonuses 12/15 3000 points 13/15 5000 points 14/15 7000 points 15/15 10000 points Bonus Questions 1. What will Dumb and Dumber's Saturday Gross be? 15.431m 2. What will be the difference between Big Hero and Interstellar's weekend gross? 8.443m 3. What will Birdman's percentage change from last week be (please state decrease or increase)? +6.8% Placements 2. BIG HERO 6 5. FURY 6. OUIJA 8. SAVING CHRISTMAS 11. John wick 16. Whiplash
  14. I nailed big hero 6 (less than 100k off ) but flatlined on Interstellar
  15. Domestic Top 7 Opening Weekend Standings Top 7 Opening Weekends as of November 10th 2014. (Films predicted are highlighted in BOLD) 1. Big Hero 6 - 56.216m 2. Interstellar - 47.510m 3. Gone Girl - 37.513m 4. Annabelle - 37.134m 5. Dracula Untold - 23.515m 6. Ouija - 19.875m 7. Alexander and the Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day - 18.36m The following colors only apply to films in the Top 7 Opening Weekends: If your prediction is in GOLD, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $1m. You get 40,000 points! If your prediction is in PURPLE, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $2.5m. You get 35,000 points! If your prediction is in BRIGHT GREEN, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $5m. You get 30,000 points! If your prediction is in BLUE, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $10m. You get 25,000 points! If your prediction is in DARK GREEN, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $15m. You get 20,000 points! If your prediction is in PINK, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $20m. You get 15,000 points! If your prediction is in GREY, the prediction is in the top 7 AND within $30m. You get 10,000 points! If your prediction is in BLACK, the prediction is in the top 7 AND not within $30m. You get SAFE (0)! The following colors only apply to films that did not make the Top 7 Opening Weekends: If your prediction is in RED, the prediction is not in the top 7 AND within $30m. You lose 7,000 points (-7,000)! If your prediction is in RED strikethru, the prediction is not in the top 7 AND not within $30m. You lose 17,000 points (-17,000)! OCTOBER GONE GIRL (7/23) avi - 57m grim22 - 52m Alpha - 50m iceroll - 43m Snoopy of Suburbia - 38m Actual OW - 37.513m bcf26 - 37m Spaghetti - 33m ANNABELLE (1/23) Grey Ghost - 38m Actual OW - 37.134m NOVEMBER BIG HERO 6 (23/23) mahnamahna - 68.5m avi - 68m Spaghetti - 67m Empire - 66m Alpha - 65m Snoopy of Suburbia - 65m DAJK - 65m Blankments - 64m bcf26 - 64m iceroll - 63m Geraldino - 62m darkelf - 61m Telemachos - 59m chasmmi - 57m laguy03 - 57m Jajang - 56.3m Actual OW - 56.216m Wrath - 55m grim22 - 53m Filmovie - 50m The Panda - 50m Grey Ghost - 48m cmasterclay - 48m Punishment - 40m INTERSTELLAR (23/23) mahnamahna - 97m Jajang - 91.4m darkelf - 89m bcf26 - 88m The Panda - 85m chasmmi - 84m Geraldino - 84m Empire - 83m DAJK - 83m Blankments - 81m Alpha - 80m Filmovie - 80m Wrath - 80m grim22 - 79m Spaghetti - 78m iceroll - 78m Telemachos - 78m cmasterclay - 74m avi - 65m laguy03 - 61m Punishment - 55m Snoopy of Suburbia - 54m Grey Ghost - 52m Actual OW - 47.51m
  16. This chart will finally start updating again on Monday .... it's coming...
  17. 1. Will Interstellar make more than 65M for its OW? YES 2. Will Interstellar make more than 73M for its OW? 3000 YES 3. Will Interstellar make more than 81M for its OW? NO 4. Will Big Hero make more than 48M for its OW? YES 5. Will Big Hero make more than 53M for its OW? 3000 YES 6. Will Big Hero and Interstellar combine to make more than 125M? YES 7. Will St Vincent stay in the top 8? 3000 YES 8. How many films in the top 12 will not drop any positions from last week? 2 films 9. Will Book of Life drop less than 20% for the Weekend? NO 10. How many films will increase by over 100% on Friday (not including Interstellar)? 10 Films 11. Will Ouija remain in the top 5 after the weekend? No 12. Will Birdman remain in the top 12 after the weekend? No 13. Will Before I go to sleep stay above Annabelle this Weekend? NO 14. Will John Wick drop less than 36% on Sunday? NO 15. Will Fury have made back its budget by the end of the weekend ($68m)? YES 16. Will JEssabelle have a PTA above 2,500k? NO 17. Will Interstellar's Imax Preview takings be enough to finish 3rd for the weekend on their own? no 18. Will Dracula drop more than 52% this weekend? YES 19. Will Big Hero 6 Gross more than the rest of the top 12 combined excluding Interstellar? YES 20. Will there be less than $2M gross between 3rd and 7th place? 2000 YES 15/20 = 2000 bonus 16/20 = 3000 bonus 17/20 = 4000 bonus 18/20 = 5000 bonus 19/20 = 7000 bonus 20/20 = 10000 bonus Bonus Questions 1. What will be the combined gross for Big Hero and Interstellar for the Weekends? 139.509m 2. What will Ouija's weekend drop be? -61.3% 3. What will Maze Runner's Total Gross be come Sunday? 99.311m Placements 3. Gone Girl 5. Nightcrawler 6. Ouija 8. The Book of life 11. Alexander and the Terrible, horrible no good very bad day 13. The best of me Get all 6 correct for a 6000 point bonus. Good Luck all
  18. 1) Big Hero 6 OW vs Interstellar's best 2 days of its OW Interstellar 2) Big Hero 6 Final Multiplier (against 3 day) vs Interstellar's final Multiplier (against 3 day) Abstain 3) Percentage difference between Big Hero 6 final gross and Wreck it Ralph Final gross vs Precentage difference between Interstellar's final gross and Inception's Final Gross Abstain 4) Big Hero 6 2nd Weekend % drop vs Interstellar 2nd Weekend % drop Big Hero 6 5) Big Hero 6's weakest day of its OW vs Interstellars pre-Wide release IMAX total Interstellar 6) Big Hero 6 final total +150M vs Interstellar Final Total Interstellar
  19. well here's the rub.. we've actually had 2 films pass 30m this year.. (the fact that neither film was released this year is beside the point).
  20. As someone who has contributed to a number of the opening weekend records down under, it's surprising while we did follow some of these films, the ones that dominated for so long in australia belonged to the lord the of rings. Myself, my first real introduction to box office tracking was around the the first lord of the rings.... and i do remember the amazing number that spidey put up .. though at the time i had my money on star wars 2 breaking that record, it was a big shock to see SM1 break it instead. for comparison here is the Australian Weekend Holders over the years (FYI - take a ratio of 10 x the OW in AUD is approx equiv to the US amount) PS star wars was never really that big on OW down under hence why it never appears until 99. (all Openings are 4 day weekends thursday to sunday unless noted) 1981-12 Mad Max II 324k 1983-03 Tootsie 433k 1984-11 Ghostbusters 536k 1985-04 Beverly Hills Cop 607k 1985-07 Rambo: First Blood Part II 870k 1986-04 Crocodile Dundee 1.4m 1988-05 Crocodile Dundee II 2.0m 1989-06 Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade 2.1m 1989-08 Batman 2.4m 1991-09 Terminator 2: Judgement Day 2.4m (only beat it by 28k!) 1993-01 The Bodyguard 2.7m 1993-09 Jurassic Park 4.9m 1996-06 Twister 4.9m (only 25k higher) 1996-08 Independence Day 7.7m 1999-06 Star Wars: The Phantom Menace 9.1m 2001-11 Harry Potter and the Philosopher's Stone 9.3m 2001-12 Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring 9.8m ** 13.8m 5 day OW including wednesday. 2002-05 Star Wars: Attack of the Clones 12.0m 2002-12 Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers 14.1m ** also broke the OD record previously owned by Clones ** ** Return of the King broke the OD record but failed to break the OW record a year later due to opening on friday ** ** big gap until new OW set now. 2009-07 Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince 14.3m ** 18.7m 5 day OW including wednesday / did not break OD record. 2009-11 The Twilight Saga: New Moon 16.1m (did not break OD record though) 2011-07 Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part II 18.4m ** 25.5m including wednesday / smashed OD record (7m) both OW and OD records stand to this day - only Avengers & The Hobbit have come close to date to the OD record. Not expecting the 3rd hobbit to come close as it's suffering from the same problem as the return of the king had - 3 day OW though the OD is a possibility here. The Avengers 2 is possible if the studio opens it on a thursday instead of the wednesday opening it got last time around. Also Avengers 2 opens on the 23rd april ( A week ahead of the US to take avantage of the Anzac Day long Weekend in Australia.)
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