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MovieMan89

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Everything posted by MovieMan89

  1. MovieMan89
    Awesome Monday for IW. Looking good in the BP race.
  2. MovieMan89
    I doubt it will hit 1b either, but I could see 900. 250DOM+200China+450.
  3. MovieMan89
    No, BP needs to stop at 705 or so. Any further and it's too shaky for IW winning, and that messes with the balance of everything. Thanos does not approve.
  4. MovieMan89
    Fallout had the Super Bowl to debut its trailer and it got a lot of buzz in spite of the fact that it was going up against stuff like Solo, JW, and IW. I'd bet when the new trailer for this drops, it's going to do well on YT.
  5. MovieMan89
    No way does AMATW have a better chance at 1b than this. Ant-Man made like 150m less OS than Rogue Nation and less DOM too, and there hasn't been nearly as much buzz about the AMATW marketing so far as Fallout's. Mustache-gate was marketing this movie last year already, lol. IW will help AMATW obviously, but not enough double the gross of the first WW. It would need one of the big Avengers having a significant part in the film for that, and even then no MCU sequel has gotten close to doubling its predecessor's gross WW.
  6. MovieMan89
    If Solo didn't break the MD record though that holiday would officially be cursed for Disney lol.
  7. MovieMan89
    GotG2's third weekend multi gets it 707m. Considering you can probably swap GotG2's 4th and 5th weekend holds and get IW's 4th and 5th weekend holds, I see no reason it couldn't follow that from here.
  8. MovieMan89
    It's interesting, when you eliminate AoU and its ho hum reception, Marvel has put out nothing but one film after the other that highly pleased fans ever since Winter Soldier. I wonder then how much all of the phase 3 films may have been grossing pre-BP if AoU hadn't kind of deflated their sails a bit? With the quality of phase 3 combined with AoU being more like TA and IW and having that Avengers effect, all of the phase 3 films save maybe Strange may have been massive. Not that they weren't all big hits, but I'm talking like 400+/1b+ DOM/WW type of grosses.
  9. MovieMan89
    IW could match TFA pretty closely after next weekend. I think the MD drop is going to be way lighter than people are thinking because it's not only a holiday but it could also be course correcting a bit from the harsher drop in weekend 4 from losing the IMAX screens. Also, will IW get double features with Solo at drive ins from Disney? That would make sense. The 720 number is a ceiling though, I agree it probably won't get that far. I'm just hoping for 705 for the obvious reason.
  10. MovieMan89
    There's no way Disney did such a ridiculously massive expansion for any other reason than to get it to 100.
  11. MovieMan89
    I guarantee it will stay in theaters/keep being tracked at least as long as Tomorrowland. So that gives it another 2 months minimum.
  12. MovieMan89
    I'm saying it's going to take another 2 month slow crawl or so from here before WiT gets to the 100m that was the whole reason behind this gigantic expansion in the first place.
  13. MovieMan89
    The funny part is Disney still has to ride WiT out like another 2+ months before this expansion fudge this weekend pays off.
  14. MovieMan89
    So the gap between IW and TFA through their third weekends is 194m. As I've mentioned prior, TFA didn't have that exceptional of a run after weekend 3. It's not entirely impossible IW could have a similar run from this point and avoid the gap widening by much. If that happened, it could go as high as 720.
  15. MovieMan89
    Purely anecdotal here, but I've heard from most friends and family this is their #1 most anticipated film for the summer with IW out of the way, which surprises me. Really hope this thing breaks out huge and shocks everyone.
  16. MovieMan89
    JW just seems like one of those huge blockbusters that no one has talked about since it left theaters. That doesn't typically bode well for a sequel. I also don't think it helps that there's a huge movie targeting kids opening a week before, since kids played a huge part in JW's success.
  17. MovieMan89
    I'm not saying DP2's showing is atrocious or something, I'm just saying I'm not seeing signs to a much bigger OW than the first, if bigger at all.
  18. MovieMan89
    How many sequels to big CBMs clear 150 on walkup business without huge pre-sales? Treating it like the first movie makes no sense. To me pre-sales are suggesting below the first's OW. Just not big enough for 150+, imo.
  19. MovieMan89
    DP2 should be rife with pre-sales as a CBM sequel. Obviously not on an SW level, but other than that what else gets more pre-sales?
  20. MovieMan89
    I'm surprised DP2 is still so far from IW on MT. I mean the movie's not grossing massive numbers anymore, and DP2 is a hyped CBM sequel 3 days from release now. I honestly thought it'd be #1 at this point.
  21. MovieMan89
    Yeah, I'm interested to see how low JW2 can go DOM. Starting to wonder if half of JW is a possibility.
  22. MovieMan89
    Not liking Jurassic World really has no correlation to being an MCU loonie. Just ask @Telemachos
  23. MovieMan89
    Weren't toy sales way down for TLJ vs TFA? I don't think Disney's SW films have connected with kids as well as SW films in the past, which is ironic since Disney should have been a perfect fit for that aspect.
  24. MovieMan89
    How many people even realized The Matrix films were R lol? The first is one of the softest Rs I've ever seen.
  25. MovieMan89
    But a way bigger audience that showed up for it than 1. I'm saying that DP1 may have pretty much reached the potential audience cap for an R opening. I'm also not getting vibes whatsoever of a 150+ OW from either of these DP or Solo trackings. Movies that open that big tend to be a bit more lively pre-release than what we're getting.
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