MovieMan89

You realize that requires like 60% drops both this weekend and next weekend right? Nothing's impossible, but that would be shocking. IW is showing every indication of sub 45% this weekend.

Wow, can't believe there are people who legitimately think IW's number is bad. Holding slightly better than BP today was always the absolute best case scenario, though unlikely given the stronger Tue. It dropped less than 2% more on Wed, which could have easily been worse given the fact that it held 3% stronger than BP on Tue. Some of y'all need to get a reality stone.

Not gonna lie, I completely forgot #2-4 existed for most of the last 10 years. And Ashton Kutcher. That is a throwback.

Yeah, I suppose TA4 and GotG3, 4, and 5 all have a shot.

True, but Zoe actually stars in both, not just a supporting role.

It's just now occurring to me that Zoe Saldana may star in the two highest grossing films of all time worldwide in a few weeks.

Probably hurts for uber male demo skewed movies like Expendables or something, but otherwise you're good. IW has plenty of female appeal.

Nothing about this so far looks like something Feige would come anywhere near. Will be shocked if it really is positioned in the MCU.

MD should help not hurt. Again, Fri/Sats aren't typically that affected by it, but Sun holds are stronger.

The Fri/Sat bumps were still really strong for Mother's Day last year. Just had stronger than normal Sun holds too.

You are breaking the natural laws of the universe here man.

Man I hope so, that # would pretty much lock up 700.

Well damn, now what am I supposed to say when we're arguing MCU multis? I liked it better when you were a DCEU loonie.

If it beats BP's third weekend gross or comes close, then I can't see it losing that battle. It will still have like a 50m+ lead after three weekends with a similar same point gross, that's not easy to lose that lead completely at that point. Even if the 4th weekend hold is rough, the MD one will be good for a holdover in its 5th weekend.

All I know is that the TDK movies filled the entire screen for certain scenes at the IMAX I went to and this never did. It was more of the screen than most movies, but a good chunk of the top and a small part of the bottom was black.

So I saw IW on IMAX 2d today. Went to the only true IMAX around. The thing is though, a decent chunk of the screen was still cut off at the top. I saw TDK and TDKR there and they went floor to ceiling for the IMAX scenes. I thought the whole movie was supposed to be like that if they shot with IMAX cameras?

Part A: 1. Will Life of the Party Open to more than $17.5M? 1000 YES 2. Will Life of the Party Open to more than $22.5M? 2000 NO 3. Will Breaking In open to more than $10M? 3000 YES 4. Will Breaking in open to more than $12.5M? 4000 YES 5. Will Breaking In and Life of the Party's combined OW be more than 50% of Infinity War's weekend gross? 5000 YES 6. Will Champion have a PTA above $6,000? 1000 NO 7. Will Infinity War Make more than $55M? 2000 YES 8. Will Overboard drop more than 44%? 3000 NO 9. Will Bad Samaritan stay above Ready Player One? 4000 NO 10. Will I Feel Pretty stay in the top 6? 5000 YES 11. Will Black Panther's PTA stay above $1,500? 1000 YES 12. Will Super Troopers have a PTA above $600? 2000 YES 13. Will Infinity War increase more than 55% on Saturday? 3000 YES 14. Will Quiet Place increase more than 155% on Friday? 4000 YES 15. How many people will rage because they do not know what Champion is? And then rejoice when they see it is essentially a Korean remake of Over the Top? 5000 All 7 of the people who have seen Over the Top. Bonus: 9/15 5000 10/15 8000 11/15 12,000 12/15 16,000 13/15 20,000 14/15 24,000 15/15 30,000 Part B: The top 3 predictions will score points as follows: Closest: Within 1% - 15,000, Within 2,5% - 12000, Within 5% 9,000, Within 10% - 6000 Outside 10% - 3000 points 2nd Closest: Within 1% - 12,000, Within 2,5% - 10000, Within 5% 7,000, Within 10% - 4000 Outside 10% - 2000 points 3rd Closest: Within 1% - 10,000, Within 2,5% - 8000, Within 5% 5,000, Within 10% - 2000 Outside 10% - 1000 points 1. What will Life of the Party make for its 3 day? 21.250 2. What will Rampage's percentage change be? -45.550 3. What will Tully's PTA be for the Weekend? 1,955 Part C: There will be 6 films to place and points are expanded because traditionally people haven't scored well here: 2. Life of the Party 6. I Feel Pretty 8. Black Panther 9. Tully 11. Super Troopers 12. Truth or Dare Because I realised bonuses are stupid... 1/6 4,000 2/6 10,000 3/6 18,000 4/6 25,000 5/6 36,000 6/6 - 50,000

Holy shit! What if it nearly matches the dom OW?

Monday is expected. Would’ve loved to see 9m but that wasn’t realistic looking at other MCU comps. Anyone have an educated guess for the China OW? How much higher of an OW than the Furious films is even feasible there?

The issue with Civil War is what some of us said all along: it was a Captain America movie not an Avengers one. The ceiling was always much lower. Combined with BvS already doing the whole hero v hero thing like a month prior and the GA just not going for that concept like they do heroes v villains.

Week 3: No

The OW minus previews drop is only 1.7% harsher than TA's. So that's a very good sign for legs. I wish DP2 wasn't happening until June like originally, I'd still have some confidence in it getting the 2.95x it needs to beat Avatar. But I don't think it can with the 4th weekend drop it will have.

TA/AoU are no longer a very good comparison for IW because of the week difference in release. Those movies were facing competition the same weekend IW will, except it was their 3rd weekends not 4th. IW's 4th weekend will see that competition, opposed to TA/IW which got soft holds from their 4th weekend being MD. So everything is going to be all messed up from here in terms of trying to compare weekend holds. IW is likely to get good 3rd and 5th weekend holds and a poor 4th one, while that was reversed for TA/AoU.

I would like to see IW stay ahead of BP every day until at least DP2's OD, even if it's just by a little bit. If it can do that, it should have the win pretty secured.

I never knew CDM affected box office though, and no one even brought that idea up until just now.