MovieMan89
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Everything posted by MovieMan89
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If 16m pans out, that's the same Friday increase as GotG2's mother's day weekend. The same Sat/Sun holds get 63m. Or if you want to use GotG2's third weekend instead, the FSS holds were nearly identical.
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A 16m Friday would easily clear 60 for the weekend unless we get another bad sat hold like last weekend. But everyone attributed that to Cinqo De Mayo.
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So basically audiences are wishing they could break out of their Breaking In screenings?
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I thought everyone had finally moved on from trying to compare this to that wretched beast which should not be named? IW is obviously way more casual appealing than that ever was. I don't see why it would be any less appealing of an MD film than GotG2.
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IW has also been the king of Sun holds so far, and this time it has a holiday Sunday. Sub 20% wouldn't totally shock me for MD.
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Those Sat and Sun holds don't look super optimistic. GotG2 held significantly better with Mother's Day in its second weekend. This is IW's third weekend, that should be an advantage over being in its second weekend.
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Why not? Everyone from MCU is in it, that should increase the female appeal not decrease it.
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With GotG2's Mother Day weekend holds, IW does about 63m this weekend. If that happens, 700m+ is pretty safe.
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Honestly, theaters are hard up for kid's films right now though. Parents literally have zero options right now for younger kids, and that's not changing for another month+. I'm starting to understand now why some here are expecting Incredibles 2 to explode so huge.
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Though Nutcracker really isn't any kind of lock for 100, so WiT fudging may be moot for that record. Its release date is counter-productive to holiday legs since it's nearly two months away from Xmas-New Years.
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I mean to be fair, no studio has ever pulled off a calendar year's slate of 100+ grossers DOM. I can see why they'd want that record. They can't go for it next year because of Penguins.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
MovieMan89 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Black Panther is going to launch on home video while still in over 1400 theaters. Sorry, but that's a big fuck up on Disney's part. Home video release should have been pushed back. -
Disney can smell their perfect year of 100m+ releases DOM and they're not about to let WiT ruin it lol.
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In all seriousness, running the numbers WiT actually could still get to 100m if it has the same 9th weekend multi as Tomorrowland, which believe it or not managed like a 13x multi off its 9th frame. That would put it at 100.4m. @Porthos
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I enjoy Ghostbusters quite a bit and don't understand the hate, but McCarthy is by far the most forgettable aspect of it, imo.
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I meant her last three comedies have all been her on autopilot without making much effort.
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Three comedies in a row is a lot to be on autopilot. Will take real effort from her soon or else she's not gonna be able to open movies on her name alone for much longer.
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I predicted 144m OW and 397 total in the game, so I'm on board with BO's projections. Been saying for months now the hype just isn't there for this.
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Spy may honestly be one of my all time favorite comedies. The writing and delivery by everyone in that movie is comedic gold. So underrated. McCarthy has definitely seemed like she's not even trying anymore in everything since that.
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The Spy Who Dumped Me | August 3, 2018 | Lionsgate
MovieMan89 replied to NickDisney13's topic in Box Office Discussion
This will do very well. Especially coming right off the heels of the testosterone fueled onslaught of July action films. -
Well that trailer explains why they moved it out of summer lol. Honestly, it's amazing to me this franchise even still exists three decades later. The first only did well because Arnold was in his prime as the biggest action star in the world at the time, and even then it wasn't any huge blockbuster. The rest have all had middling success at best.
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Summer 2008 was dichotomous as all get out. Had some of the best and worst blockbusters ever.
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I guess you've never done research on the effects of trauma on memory.
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That still requires a nasty hold this weekend, inexplicably so with Mother's Day. Weeks 5, 6, and 7 aren't gonna be harsh on it. 5 is a holiday weekend and 6 and 7 have no competition. DP2 is the only weekend where a harsh drop seems likely.
