MovieMan89
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Everything posted by MovieMan89
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Moviepass and its Impact on the Box Office
MovieMan89 replied to Eric Quinn's topic in Box Office Discussion
And for the record entertainment in general is way overpriced these days. Using Disneyland costing $120 to justify a movie costing $15 doesn't make the movie price "reasonable." It simply makes Disneyland way the fuck overpriced. So if someone is complaining exclusively about movies being too much, I'd agree that's a silly argument. But it's not a silly argument to say they're getting to be too much along with pretty much all other entertainment. That's why subscription stuff like Netflix and Spotify are so massive. -
Moviepass and its Impact on the Box Office
MovieMan89 replied to Eric Quinn's topic in Box Office Discussion
Oh no! Not $10 million per movie for Leo instead of 20 mil! Sounds like you just found the solution. -
I suppose the fact that it was a 3 year gap for a sequel targeting kids could be the issue. If you assume that it was primarily interest from the 5-8 year old demo that fueled the first's box office, now those kids are pretty much out of that demo and the current 5-8 year olds maybe never saw the first, so therefore don't care about the second. Of course the movies are truly for all ages, but sadly I think there's a stigma that they're just for little kids.
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Daily Numbers | Thursday 18th Jan | Paddington 2 525K
MovieMan89 replied to MaxAggressor's topic in Numbers and Data
Seems like a waste that Zendaya doesn't really have anything on the slate until Homecoming 2 next year. She's in a prime spot now to actually become one of the new Hollywood it girls and establish her film career, but she should be striking while the iron's hot. Homecoming 2 is a year and a half away. -
Daily Numbers | Thursday 18th Jan | Paddington 2 525K
MovieMan89 replied to MaxAggressor's topic in Numbers and Data
True. Lots of strong Sat holds though. -
Daily Numbers | Thursday 18th Jan | Paddington 2 525K
MovieMan89 replied to MaxAggressor's topic in Numbers and Data
Y'all can call me crazy, but with that Thursday I think TGS is gonna pull around 11m this weekend. 2.8 +163% 4.9 +75% 3.2 -35% 10.9 (-12.5%) -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
MovieMan89 replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
People here tend to under-estimate live action family fare, especially these Disney ones. Happens all the time. Actually, kids/family stuff in general is underestimated here unless it's Pixar or WDAS. -
https://www.rottentomatoes.com/top/bestofrt/ RT's methodology for their top 100 really doesn't make sense to me. I know higher review count plays a big factor, but it still doesn't make much sense. Zootopia and Coco ranked higher than TS3 for example, when TS3 has way more reviews, a way higher average rating, and even a higher tomatometer than both? Same scenario for something like Wonder Woman vs The Force Awakens. Seems like it highly favors releases from the past 2 years for whatever reason.
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Daily Numbers | Wed 17th Jan | Paddington 0.530m
MovieMan89 replied to a2k's topic in Numbers and Data
Do we? Plenty of studios have been burned with movies that performed like TLJ (massive budget-massive OW-crappy legs). Far harder to get burned by a movie that cost under 100m and has a 15-20x multi of its OW. -
RED SPARROW | 03.02.18 | Fox | Jennifer Lawrence
MovieMan89 replied to kayumanggi's topic in Box Office Discussion
Eh, ever since MJ2 underperformed the way it did her track record kind of begs to differ. Just look at her last 4 films. Granted, nothing and no one would have ever made mother! do any better, but the other 3 really have no excuse. They all opened way lower than they should have if she was still any kind of real draw. This is also a much different role for her. Before she been an action heroine in mainstream widespread appealing fare like THG and X-Men. This on the other hand is a very adult oriented role. Looks like the kind of movie that will be fueled by the over 30 demo, which can be a tough sell on action. -
RED SPARROW | 03.02.18 | Fox | Jennifer Lawrence
MovieMan89 replied to kayumanggi's topic in Box Office Discussion
Yeah, I was thinking that Salt would really be the only reason to believe this could do 100, but I’d argue that Jolie was a far bigger draw in that kind of role at the time than J Law is now. And it had a summer release date with a very high profile marketing campaign. -
RED SPARROW | 03.02.18 | Fox | Jennifer Lawrence
MovieMan89 replied to kayumanggi's topic in Box Office Discussion
Idk, I'm having a hard time buying this as the kind of film that does really well at the box office from the trailers. It looks good enough, but I don't really see it having a ton of appeal. If not for J Law I feel like no one would dare bring up 100 predictions, and yet she's not the draw she was a few years ago. -
Daily Numbers | Wed 17th Jan | Paddington 0.530m
MovieMan89 replied to a2k's topic in Numbers and Data
Jumanji will also have a ridiculous OD multi, 50-55x between 360-400.