MovieMan89

But speaking of TGS's OD: 150m would get TGS a 61x multi off its OD 160m would be 65x 170m would be 69x 180 would be 73x Titanic had a 69x.

No one obviously, lol. I called 125m after that second weekend jump though. Was just way too unprecedented to not realize something big was up with the WOM.

5th: 11.2 -10% (113.5) 6th: 10 -11% (128) 7th: 8.7 -13% (140) 8th: 7 -20% (150) 9th: 6.7 -4% (8.0 4 day) (160) 10th: 4.7 -30% (166) 11th: 4 -15% (171) 12th: 2.7 -32% (174) 13th: 2.2 -18% (177) 14th: 1.5 -32% (179) 15th: 0.8 -47% (180) +5m remaining 186m

Lack of competition makes me confident in -10-20% holds for TGS for the next 3 weekends, and then it rolls right into another Holiday weekend and another fantastic hold. I don't see it missing 160 personally.

These are fantastic for my club if they hold. Both would likely finish 85-95 and miss 100 opening to that.

I'd guess something like 255/590 as a summer release.

TLJ is lucky the calendar fell the way it did this year and made for a prolonged Holiday stretch, or it may have missed 600.

Before TGS - which only opened a mere 211m lower and 5 days later - has its first sub 1m day.

I bet TGS will have another sub 15% hold this weekend.

I think the issue here is this seems like it's kind of following the same DCEU template. A director known for style over substance, a protagonist and actor who doesn't exactly seem likely to provide a very deep or nuanced character, etc. The underwater aspect is the only reason I'm not fully expecting another DCEU miss, because that has the potential to be something very unique and fantastical from a visual standpoint that audiences haven't seen before in really any blockbuster.

I'm hoping it can pull off something like 60-70m DOM and match that OS. I feel like Anderson has a committed enough DOM fanbase now that's probably good for at least 30m or so. Then add to the fact that kids love dogs in general, and it may actually have more kid appeal than stop motion has been having in recent years. It has a prime spring break release spot and Sherlock Gnomes isn't exactly stiff competition for the spring break kid demo. So it might be in a good position to surprise and get a decent amount of interest from the family demo.

Welp. If that's where reviews are headed this is fucked. Hard. May not reach 40m DOM.

Oh yikes, didn't notice that budget for MIB3. Who the hell approved that? Smith must have demanded something absurd for it to be that high.

I'd have to imagine they'd see a profit of at least 400m on Jumanji. Unless The Rock and Hart are getting a large chunk of the profit.

I don't know the OW is disappointing too though, barely beat the first's OW in spite of the significant inflation and how much bigger in general OWs were becoming in the early '00s vs the 90's. And this was way before RT and instant internet/social media WOM could affect a films OW, so that had nothing to do with the quality.

Kind of random, but looking over Sony's top grossers, I never realized just how much MIB2 really underperformed compared to the first, both DOM and OS. Especially given 5 years worth of significant ticket price inflation. The wait between must have been too long. Should have probably done it two years sooner. All things considered, MIB3 actually did really well.

How much does J likely have left OS? Wonder if it can hit 850 WW? Sony's profit on it is going to be massive. They may not have even seen this kind of a profit from Skyfall, considering that had a $200m budget and huge marketing campaign. Could very well be their largest profit ever.

3 is the most forgettable, in spite of being more competently made than 2.

And J and TGS continue to amaze. Those week to week Tuesday holds are only about -32% and -26% respectively. And both have proven to be weekend movies, meaning we should be able to expect drops softer than that for both this weekend.

The first one is good, but it's also kind of jarring to watch today. It's just so completely far removed from modern blockbusters in every single way. It's kind of far removed from any blockbuster, tbh. Very much its own unique thing, for better or worse.

"Starring Will Smith" makes this go from a movie I'd be strongly anticipating, to something I'll have to root against.

NEVER GO BACK

If it could hit 100 DOM, then all 11 Disney releases this year should be 100+ grossers.

Ah well, at any rate I'd imagine A2 will be pitched with 3D harder than any movie since probably Gravity, so 3D shares should be pretty high again.

Aren't they aiming for glassesless 3D with this one though? If so, could see a similar 3d effect as the first. Also, even if it dropped a pretty huge amount DOM (let's say it did 450), it still can drop several hundred mil in other OS markets and hit 2b from WW minus China grosses. I'd be very surprised it it goes below 1.8b w/o China.