MovieMan89
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Everything posted by MovieMan89
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The Commuter: drawing out people who haven't been to the theater in 30 years. Now THAT'S an event.
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This couldn't look less appealing to a DOM audience. I don't think it will even hit Shaun the Sheep numbers.
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Jumanji could do something like this the next two weekend given lack of competition: 20 15 Maybe it will be a photo finish between MR and J that weekend.
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If Jumanji were 3-4m higher this weekend I'd actually say it had a shot at winning the next 3 weekends. Could see MR only pulling 15-17 or so on OW.
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Ultimate pipe dream: Jumanji finishes with 400 and TGS finishes with 200
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Actually, the next 3 weekends are dead. Yeah, it may be dropping sub 30% every weekend until 2/9. Then of course it will have a great hold on VD weekend.
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Hey, no ruining the fun with your "facts."
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400 is a long shot but can't be ruled out yet given these holds. If it keeps following NATM it will push 390. So we can't really say 400 is out yet. Especially since the next two weekends are completely dead, it might have even better holds these next two weekends than NATM.
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If J did get to 400, it would only end up around 35m short of TLJ's run if you take out both movie's OWs. TLJ: 620-220 = 400m Jumanji: 400-36 = 364m
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I don't think J will have quite enough gas to get to 400, however I can see GotG2 happening.
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Coco's DOM run is so disappointing. Barely going to manage a 2.8x off its 5 day and squeak by 200. That's just unacceptable for a Pixar movie that is top tier quality and had a holiday release. Thank god it at least surprised and broke out OS or it probably wouldn't have turned much of a profit.
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Can't imagine when the last time a movie that didn't open at #1 then went on to spend 3 weekends at #1 was.
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No idea where you got all that from, but gonna trust you know what you're talking about. Thanks! Using the 221 and 181 numbers, you get these adjusted for inflation drops from first to second in the trilogies: ANH to ESB: -32% TFA to TLJ: -36% (assuming 620 for TLJ) TPM to AOTC: -39%
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Exactly, they're not going to be slashing the screens of the movie that's dropping 10% every weekend and remaining firmly planted in the top 5.
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??? We only have two new releases and neither are hitting 3000+.
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Like I argued before, if MP was truly boosting legs for anything it would be for the lukewarm/poor WOM films. Ya know, like that Space Battles movie.
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Why would it lost that many screens? Even if it did, I'll believe a 30%+ drop for TGS when I see it. Won't be surprised if it doesn't happen for many weeks yet.
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I think a cool goal post for Jumanji would be GotG2's 389m. If it beat that it would give all four stars their highest grosser DOM. And I find it pretty damn hilarious that Jumanji is gonna beat F7 as the Rock's biggest grosser DOM.
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Hard to say because I don't know whether or not ESB had a similar type of re-expansion that got it to that 209 number. Anyone know? But yes, ANH's true 1st run is more like 220.
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I'm rooting for 400 at this point. The calendar is so barren the next few weeks it might actually do it.
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Not only will TGS's 4th weekend slaughter its OW, its 5th weekend is pretty much locked to beat it too now. There is no other precedent for such a thing besides Titanic (as far as saturated releases go).
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It opened 120m higher than Jumanji and had strong legs, yet is now getting beaten by J. That's what about.
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It's blowing past that. 350 should be a near lock again after that Sat hold. Holding better than Sing this weekend and Sing's 4th weekend multi gets it to 356.
