MovieMan89

The critical reception is otherworldly. I know it's only like 40 reviews, but still.

How much more can TR likely add OS? Should have at least another 100m dom so hoping 850t ww can happen.

300 is officially locked I'd say. Think it lands anywhere between 315-340.

To be fair to you, your prediction of like a 2.8x multi was infinitely more realistic at the time than the multi that happened in reality.

Blade Runner has held a lot better than I thought it would honestly. Never though it would touch 3x but might just make it.

The OW to 10 day multi is 1.73 vs The Dark World and Doctor Strange 1.69 vs 1.8. So maybe it lands near the middle of their final multis.

TR had the best second weekend drop for an MCU sequel and the 5th best among all MCU films. Every MCU film to go below a 2.6x multi had a second weekend drop between 58-60%.

A 63m weekend would mean it needs a 2.85x multi off of that to get to 335. Definitely doable with the holiday.

Thor will definitely make a run for Homecoming DOM if that weekend number pans out. Still way too early though, so won't get too excited yet.

I think it could hit 60m, but that's still a little over 50%, so I'd say no to under.

Deal.

The trailer views might not mean a whole lot for a movie like this, I do really worry that the marketing just hasn't been connecting at all with DOM audiences. It just seems like this has generated very little internet or real world buzz from what I can tell. I am concerned about the opening, I feel like even TGD had more awareness and a marketing presence by this point, and we know how that turned out. This desperately needs as good of reviews as it can get going into OW.

Looks like I'm at 550 points based on what my search in this thread turns up. That said, I bet 100 points @Christmas baumer that Ragnarok passes a 2.5x multi. Accept?

Solo over IW? Really? I give it like a 10% chance. Can see it beating DP2 if it's well received. Can't see it beating the other 3.

I think Spielberg's draw power days are officially over, outside of a big franchise. So I don't have high hopes for RPO at the box office, or at least not to have a big OW. Maybe WOM will be great if the movie delivers.

I think if Disney acquires Fox, they should just have an "XMU" separate from the MCU.

Lots of unusual things with Solo though in terms of an SW release. First time an SW film is being released amidst tons of major competition. The only SW film to have notable competition at all really was AotC, which dealt with Spider-man releasing and overshadowing it only a couple weeks prior. AotC is also the least attended SW film, which is probably not entirely unrelated to the fact that it actually had a huge competitor to deal with. Solo has 4. Solo is the first SW film that has to worry about franchise fatigue actually being a thing, coming off the back of 3 SW films in two and a half years. Solo is the first SW film that won't have the long marketing campaign to really build hype like the franchise usually enjoys, marketing might not even start at all until 2018. Solo is the first SW film where the Force and all the elements that go along with it (i.e. Jedis and Sith and lightsabers) will (likely) be absent. Meaning it could really come off as just any generic action blockbuster with the SW name attached. Finally, Solo has had the most troubled production of any of the films, even switching directors completely a good ways in. Tons of signs point to it being the least successful SW film by a wide margin. Especially staying in that release slot.

Knowing about the troubled production has nothing to do with it, I'm just saying it's an indicator we could get a less than stellar final product. Will they get those same people when they just saw TLJ 3-5 months ago? Hell, some of the audience who want to see TLJ may just be getting around to it in value theaters when Solo comes out. I can't see anyway it hits 400 staying where it's at. It is the most susceptible to being cannibalized out of the 5 huge May/June releases.

It really makes no sense when the August-September stretch is practically begging for a high profile release, and the May-July stretch is so insanely crowded.

I'll go even further and say sub 300 could happen in that release slot if reception is mediocre, which is entirely possible given the production it's had.

Maybe so, but my ceiling for Ralph 2 is a little higher than my floor for Grinch, so won't call it impossible.

Disney will likely have the highest grossing release of 5 months next year, with the potential for that to go up to 8: February: Black Panther March: A Wrinkle in Time May: Infinity War June: Incredibles 2 (big maybe over JW2) July: Ant-Man and the Wasp August: Christopher Robin (another big maybe, really a crapshoot right now as to the highest grossing release of this month) November: WiR2 (highly unlikely it beats Grinch or FB2, but not impossible) December: Mary Poppins Returns

They should move this to Labor Day weekend. Been wanting to see a studio put anything of note there for like 3 or 4 years now, and considering how crowded next summer is on the whole along with the delay due to Cruise's injury, gives them a good reason to move it and finally prove that weekend can be viable.

I genuinely think incorporating the X-Men into MCU is an awful idea. At that point there'd simply be far too many characters to juggle and way too much going on. Seems like it would just get too clusterfuck-ish. But seeing the Fantastic Four in MCU would be great.