stripe

Slightly better. Great news

And that's even lowballing it. The family friendly theme and the tipical winter jumps on Saturday will help TH1

Won't drop that much on Saturday and Sunday. This is not Twilight.

After looking how Autumn / Winter films do in midnights / OD, 36M is the lowest end TH1 can gross.Paranormal Activity saga, very midnight frontloaded, had at least an OD of 3x midnight. That's the worst case scenario.I'm guessing friday will be well above 40M. So 100M OW is almost locked at this point.

The only midnight December number I can recall is RotK 8M and Tron legacy 3M. There are more to compare internal multiplier?

Right now, after so many precursors we only know the race is ultrawide this year. Amazing we can talk of possible wins for 6 films.

Michael Haneke has a stronger chance to get in than O'Russell and PTAnderson

Current BP predictions (if there's 10 spots)1. Les Miserables2. Zero Dark Thirty3. Lincoln4. Argo5. Silver Linings Playbook6. Life of Pi7. Beasts of the Southern Wild8. Django Unchained9. Best Exotic Marigold Hotel10. AmourPossible spoilers: The Master and The Impossible.

I'm still thinking its the frontrunner in BP. Lack of Director nom in Globes is almost nothing to fear about. The actors branch will be crucial IMHO. In fact, Globes went with the starpower of Tarantino and it's probable that will not translate to Oscar love

SAG went to Little Miss Sunshine, and we know the actors branch can be decisive. See Crash winning over Brokeback. This year we really don't have a frontrunner, so SAG will tell us a lot. And right now I think Les Miserables is in the strongest possition to take the SAG ensemble prize. Also, Miserables will win for sure three golden globes in musical/comedy.

Practically agree with you. I have Dolly Parton's song of Joyful Noise instead of Brave. Keith Urban's song for Act of Valor also has a chance at a nom.

Almost everything made the first cut. Moonrise kingdom is the only major omission I can recall.Anyways, I'm constantly listening to every score that is awards worth and is available at Spotify. Lincoln and Pi are almost locked, IMHO. We have three spots left. One for Desplat (which one, Argo or ZDT?). I still haven't heard anything of ZDT. I think the fourth spot will be for an epic / traditional score (The Hobbit / Brave / Anna Karenina / The Impossible), and the last spot will be for a minimalist / experimental score (The Master / On the road / Beasts of the Southern Wild).Knowing what the composers branch like the most, I'm guessing The Impossible and Beasts are the nominees. The Master is too noisy for their taste, The Hobbit is too reminiscent to LOTR, Brave does not have an instant classic leit motif.I'm begining to listen Cloud Atlas score.

LOL If they think EOW can get enough traction to receive any kind of recognition. It's not going to happen

From what I heard, my preds:Life of Pi (great score from Danna)Argo (great also from Desplat)Lincoln (master Williams cannot fail)Hobbit (Shore's score is amazing)Brave (very good score from Doyle, but the most vulnerable of my preds)Possible spoilers:Best Exotic Marigold (never underestimate Newman)Zero Dark Thirty (not heard)Souther wild (they like scores like that, it's fresh)Anna Karenina (unheard)The impossible (moving score from Velazquez)I really can't see The master being nominated.

My guess right now:I'm predicting a seven bp lineup:Les MiserablesZero Dark ThirtyLincolnArgoLife of PiSilver Linings PlaybookBeasts of the Southern wildIf more than seven:Best Exotic Marigold HotelThe ImpossibleThe master

Anyways, here are the dates of some of the precursors:http://thefilmexperience.net/blog/2012/11/30/awards-calendar-precursor-madness-begins-in-3-2-1.html

NBR predicted winner? I say Lincoln. Rest of top ten: Silver Linings, Miserables, Argo, The Master, Exotic Marigold Hotel, Zero Dark Thirty, Beasts of the southern wild, Life of Pi and The impossible (wildcard).

End of Watch? really?

Playing for keeps, with G Butler. Can't see it opening over 7M.

Next week's weekdays will be horrible. Calm before the Hobbitmageddon

I wanted Titanic to reach again the 1M mark, but with the increases I see now...

I want Titanic number!!

Yeah it's so confusing

No. Everyone trying to avoid yet another view of The Avengers trailer

Calm after the storm (=THG)