peludo

Ministry of Culture site Just search for the film you want and you will get something like this: Superman

Spain It is already the 4th most attended CBM ever 1. Superman: 5,267,944 2. Spider-man: 5,249,541 3. Endgame: 4,592,496 4. Joker: 4,288,593 IMO, Endgame is done in both admissions and gross (€29.2m, #11 all time). It needs another €4.3m to beat EG in euros. But I do not know if it will be able to match Superman/Spider-man. It needs another million of admissions. It will be close. Talking about entering in top 10 all time, I think it is reaching it. The target for it is TTT (€29.8m). Next spot would be FOTR (€31.3m), what could be attainable too. To think beyond that is tough right now (ROTK, €32.9m and TFA, €33.3m)

Maoyan is forecasting 1.45b Yuan as final number. That would be enough to rank #9... of 2019. I do not know if there will be any other film from now until end of the year with potential to outgross it. As @Thanos Legion has said, to enter in top 10 ever, a film will need to make 2.9-3b Yuan, what means about $415m-$430m. Btw, after being ejected Furious 8, the top 10 only has 1 Hollywood film (Endgame). I have not been able to find other moment in last 10 years with 9 local films and just 1 HLW film in top 10.

I do not know him, but data seem real.

I think I have commited a couple of mistakes with this film. First of all, and what annoys me the most, is to not have had into account the worse XRs relative to 2013, even more when I have always looked at it carefully (I even started a thread about it some years ago). The other one is to have asumed that the film could have the same room of growth than here, in Spain. The first movie was adored here. But it just did €16m (in 2013 we still were in a huge crisis. The biggest film of that year did just €17m). But taking into account that I think the film is maybe the most influential animated film here since TLK, I have always thought this sequel can explode here. And I have always felt the same beloving everywhere, so I had always thought that this sequel could explode, specially in Europe. But I have to agree that to repeat SK and Japan numbers seems a chimera. Let me make some numbers and I will try to adjust my predictions.

Really hard, but not impossible

Talking about Joker, being an inflated weekend, it is hard to compare to other 5th weekends, but I just have Avatar (€4.3m) and Ocho apellidos vascos (€4.1m) over Joker's €2.3m. As a close case, The Impossible did a €2.2m 5th weekend, and after that, it did another €6m. Other example, A monster calls did a €1.37m 5th weekend and it did other €3m after that. So, with normal drops, Joker should make at least another 5 million, reaching €29m, and matching Endgame. But I prefer to see next weekend drop and see how it normalizes.

I cannot believe I forgot Titanic. It did about $1.2b OS in 2D without China. I have just edited my post. My apologies and thank you for the correction

To pass EG? it seems likely. It needs less than €5m after a €2.2m weekend. Even if it is a bit inflated, it does not need stellar legs from now to do it. For example, Black Panther opened to €2.35m and it did €5.4m more after that. Ceiling? I do not dare to give a number. Awards season can boost it even more. 31 million? 32? To beat all LOTR films (the most beloved saga here)? Who knows...

I am using 1.12 as XR. That gives me €24.375m

Talking about the global performance, the billion is obviously locked. The most logical ending would be about $1.05b. But this film performance is everything but logical. Right now, I would not say $1.1b is impossible. Curious data: Titanic, ROTK, Skyfall and Joker (it will reach it) are the only non 3D films making $700m OS without China.

Spain number means €24.4m cume. Already top 25 ever. It has done €4m along this week. It is hard to know what has been the weekend because of the discount period "Fiesta del Cine" (€2.90 tickets). I had guessed 600k admissions during Mon-Wed period for a €22.0m by Wednesday, what would mean €2.4m for Thu-Sun. That would imply a null drop relative to last weekend. Even although it has a steep drop next weekend, let's say 40%, the objective target is already to beat Endgame as the biggest SH film ever (€29.2m). Next stop would be TTT (€29.8m) and to enter in top 10 ever. No words. Just to put into perspective the market size and what Joker is doing: €5m in Spain equates to $100m DOM, so Joker is nearly making equivalent to $600m DOM.

Joker remained yesterday at #1 in Spain facing Terminator opening. If it is able to keep the spot along the weekend, it will be the first film since local hit "Spanish Affair" (2014) winning 5 weekends in a row (Spanish Affair won 9). And beyond that, just "The Impossible" (5 weekends), "Tad: the explorer" (5), "The Orphanage" (6) and "Avatar" (9), have been able to do it since 2005.

That means that Wednesday was over 1 million admissions.

As @ScareLol has said, we can expect that 25-30% of admissions for Joker. Today will be the best day of the whole period. With about 2 million admissions for the whole 3 days period, 500k would be for Joker, so about 3.7 million before the weekend and over 4 million by Sunday.

It is a bigger figure than any Tuesday of any Fiesta del Cine since October 2016 (more than 900k admissions). The cume of 1,276,638 implies that Monday number has increased to 554,196. I can say I saw Joker yesterday. My showtime was over 90% full.

Top 10 weekend (official): 1. Joker: €2,142,037 (€20.4m cume / 3.29 million admissions) 2. Maleficent 2: €1,799,290 (€5.58m cume) 3. Addams Family: €1,277,804 4. Mientras dure la guerra: €704,537 (€7.62m cume) 5. El silencio de la ciudad blanca: €652,354 6. Abominable: €495,115 7. Zombieland: €317,292 8. Gemini Man: €279,585 9. A rainy day in New York: €221,024 10. Parasite: €179,162

Yes, it is correct. The first tweet says: "Yesterday, 547,015 people were to theaters." The second one: "Success of "Fiesta del Cine"" "547,015 admissions is a 22% higher than Monday of May 2019 Fiesta del Cine edition And it is a 62% higher than Monday of October 2019 Fiesta del Cine edition, as you well said." "It is also the second biggest Monday of any Fiesta del Cine edition." I add that it is just behind of October 2016 ("A monster calls" was the hit in that edition): Monday: about 615k admissions Tuesday: about 930k Wednesday: about 1.050m Total: 2,598,958 admissions The data I give do not sum up the total (nearly 2.6m), which is the official data. I have not been able to find exact data for each day of that edition, but those could be the numbers. Said this, we could see a huge admissions boost for every film.

Top 5 provisional: 1. Joker: €2.1m 2. Maleficent 2: €1.7m 3. Addams Family: €1.2m 4. Mientras dure la guerra: €0.6m 5. El silencio de la ciudad blanca: €0.6m

Yes. It still had a 5th and 6th weekend over 1 million, finishing 6th weekend with €18.7m. And after that another 6 weekends in a row over €500k thanks to Holiday period. And then some late legs thanks to awards season. It was a monster. It ranks #15 all time.

OS: It has done $80m during this week. Dropping weekly a 40% from now it would finish with about $690m. I find hard it misses the $700m mark. WW: It has done $110m during this week. Dropping weekly a 40% from now it would finish with $1.015b. I just checked that there are only 16 films which have done over $700m OS without China...

Endgame did €900k 4th weekend. Beyond the films mentioned, both Aquaman and Toy Story 4 did a better 4th weekend too this year. As @keysersoze123 said, EG in Spain was all about OW. The rest of its run was not specially remarkable.

And among the best ever: https://www.boxofficemojo.com/chart/top_release_gross_nth_weekend/?area=ES&by_interval=4 To put into perspective: €2.2m in terms of market size is equivalent to about $44m DOM

Well, Endgame had Fiesta del Cine boost too (there are 2 editions per year). There should not be too much difference between the average ticket price of both films. I do not dare to give a prediction for the next weekend. It could hold fine, but maybe the demand could start to be burnt after "Fiesta del Cine". It is hard to predict a phenomenon like this. I thought it would drop a 50% this weekend and look what has happened...

Do not doubt about it. Maybe I was too cautious thinking that people would save their money thinking in "Fiesta del Cine" (this is the real name of the discount period). Talking about the data, it is CRAZY. That is a €2.1m 4th weekend for a €20.1m total. It will outgross Infinity War during the upcoming discount days, and Spider-man during next weekend, becoming 2nd biggest SH film ever. €25m are locked, what would mean to bet the 3rd biggest film of the year, just behind TLK (€37m) and EG (€29m). Let's see other recent 4th weekends: FILM: 4th weekend - Cume by 4th weekend - Total A monster calls: €1.83m - €20.2m - €26.2m TFA: €1.78m - €29.0m - €33.3m Bohemian Rhapsody: €1.65m - €14.4m - €27.6m Aladdin: €1.58m - €17.6m - €25.0m Endgame: €0.9m - €26.7m - €29.2m Said this, I think it has a real chance to beat Endgame.